Afturelding x HK Kopavogur Betting tips for March 9 in Iceland League Cup

Our betting tip for Afturelding x HK Kopavogur, Sunday, 9/3/2025

📅 9/3/2025
17:00

Afturelding
1.51

X
4.10

HK Kopavogur

5.00

This is the tip that our machine learning model has selected for Afturelding x HK Kopavogur:

🔮 Afturelding wins the match
💰 When you bet the bonus of $500 from Bet365 on Afturelding, you can win up to $755.00!

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Some important points for the tip for Afturelding x HK Kopavogur:

👉 If you had bet $100 on Afturelding in each of its last 5 matches as home, you would have had a profit of $347.0.
👉 If you had bet $100 on HK Kopavogur in each of its last 5 matches as away, you would have had a loss of $-500.
👉 In the last 6 matches as the home team, Afturelding scored at least 1 goal(s).
👉 In the last 4 Afturelding matches as the home team, it finished over 2.5 goals.
👉 In the last 7 matches as the away team, HK Kopavogur conceded at least 2 goal(s).
👉 Afturelding is good playing home: it has 5 wins in a row in its last matches at home.
👉 It is not a good time for HK Kopavogur as away team: it comes from 4 losses in a row in its last away matches.

Summary

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Analysis from Afturelding x HK Kopavogur for the Iceland League Cup – 9 of March

🏟️ Afturelding X HK Kopavogur – Iceland League Cup
📅 9 of March, 2025 – 17:00
🔵 Afturelding – Winning probability: 87.20% | Fair line: 1.15
⚪ Tied game – Probability of tied match: 6.08% | Fair line: 16.45
🔴 HK Kopavogur – Winning probability: 6.72% | Fair line: 14.88
⚖ Handicap 1×2: -1.25 Afturelding
⚽ Expected goals: 3.25 goals
⛳ Expected corner kicks: 9.75 corner kicks

A good bettor is not the one with a high hits percentage, but the one who bets on positive expected value events. Our AI model knows it very well and has looked for these opportunities for the match between Afturelding and HK Kopavogur.

And to do so, the algorithm analysed more than 1277138 matches on our football database looking for patterns to find the probabilities of the match ending with a victory for the home team, a tie or even a victory for the away team. Getting down to these values:

Tips for the Match Odds market for Afturelding x HK Kopavogur

Should you bet on Afturelding?

🔵 Afturelding: our artificial intelligence has calculated that the probability of this event happening is around 87.2%, meanwhile the bookies are offering avarage odds of 1.51. That is, when you make 1000 bets of $1 like this one, you:

Would have hit 870 times – having a profit of $443.70;
And would lose other 130 times – losing -$130.00 with them.

Mathematically speaking, this is a value bet because you would have an expected final profit of 💰$313.70.

Should you bet on draw?

⚪ draw: our artificial intelligence has calculated that the probability of this event happening is around 6.08%, meanwhile the bookies are offering avarage odds of 4.10. In other words, this means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

Would hit 60 times – this would give you a profit of $186.00
And would lose other 940 times – having a loss of -$940.00 with them.

Mathematically speaking, it is a negative expected value bet, because you would have an expected final loss of 💰-$754.00.

Should you bet on HK Kopavogur?

🔴 HK Kopavogur: our artificial intelligence has calculated that the probability of this event happening is around 6.72%, meanwhile the bookies are offering avarage odds of 5.00. That is, when you make 1000 bets of $1 like this one, you:

Would hit 70 times – this would give you a profit of $280.00
And would have lost other 930 times – with a loss of -$930.00 because of them.

We are talking about a bet without profit, because after all you would have an expected final loss of 💰-$650.00.

Handicaps analysis for the match Afturelding x HK Kopavogur

The handicap market is also very searched for by bettors in professional bookmakers and our model can help you with that. If you have no idea what a handicap is, do not worry! We have a complete article about the Asian handicap on sporting betting that will answer all your questions. You can click on it and leave it open on another tab so you can read later.

This is what our nice robot has to tell us about these markets:

⚖ Handicap 1×2: -1.25 Afturelding
⚽ Expected goals: 3.25 goals

Tips for the Handicap 1×2 market for Afturelding x HK Kopavogur

⚖ Handicap 1×2: considering the estimates of our model, the main handicap should be -1.25 Afturelding, and the current handicap offered by bookies is -1.0 Afturelding.

We can notice that the difference between the handicap predicted by the model and the one available to bet at the bookmaker is -0.25. Therefore, the recommended bet for the Handicap 1×2 is on: -1.0 Afturelding.

Tips for the Goals Handicap market for Afturelding x HK Kopavogur

⚽ Goals Handicap: considering the estimates of our model, the main handicap should be 3.25 goals, and the current handicap offered by bookies is 3.00 goals.

We can notice that the difference between the handicap predicted by the model and the one available to bet at the bookmaker is 0.25. Therefore, the recommended bet for the Goals Handicap is on: + 3.00 goals.