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Home » Predictions » Others » Aguacateros CDU x Lobos ULM Betting tips for January 11 in Mexico Segunda Division
Saturday, 11 January 2025, 22h00 Mexico Segunda Division
Aguacateros CDU Aguacateros CDU
PREDICTION Aguacateros CDU wins Probability 76% 1 X 2
Lobos ULM Lobos ULM
ODD: @1.5 Don't miss this prediction!

Aguacateros CDU x Lobos ULM Betting tips for January 11 in Mexico Segunda Division

Our betting tip for Aguacateros CDU x Lobos ULM, Saturday, 11/1/2025
📅 11/1/2025
22:00
Aguacateros CDU Aguacateros CDU
1.50
X
3.90
Lobos ULM Lobos ULM
5.25

This is the bet made by our artificial intelligence for Aguacateros CDU x Lobos ULM:

🔮 Aguacateros CDU wins the match
💰 When you bet the bonus of $500 from Bet365 on Aguacateros CDU, you can win up to $750.00!

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Some important points for the tip for Aguacateros CDU x Lobos ULM:

👉 If you had bet $100 on Aguacateros CDU in each of its last 5 matches as home, you would have had a loss of $-356.0.
👉 If you had bet $100 on Lobos ULM in each of its last 5 matches as away, you would have had a loss of $-500.
👉 In the last 4 matches as the away team, Lobos ULM scored at least 1 goal(s).
👉 In the last 9 matches as the home team, Aguacateros CDU conceded at least 1 goal(s).
👉 In the last 4 matches as the away team, Lobos ULM conceded at least 1 goal(s).

Place your Bet with Bet365 Bonus

Summary

Looking for more options of bookmakers for your bet on Aguacateros CDU x Lobos ULM?

If you want other options of bookmakers to bet on Aguacateros CDU x Lobos ULM, no problem. Right below you have the sports betting sites that we used the most in 2025. You will be in good hands on any of them, just pick your favorite and start betting:

Analysis from Aguacateros CDU x Lobos ULM for the Mexico Segunda Division – 11 of January

🏟️ Aguacateros CDU X Lobos ULM – Mexico Segunda Division
📅 11 of January, 2025 – 22:00
🔵 Aguacateros CDU – Winning probability: 76.70% | Fair line: 1.3
Tied game – Probability of tied match: 13.52% | Fair line: 7.4
🔴 Lobos ULM – Winning probability: 9.79% | Fair line: 10.22
⚖ Handicap 1×2: -1.25 Aguacateros CDU
⚽ Expected goals: 2.75 goals
⛳ Expected corner kicks: 9.50 corner kicks

Even though it may not seem intuitive, a good betting model should not seek to get the result for Aguacateros CDU x Lobos ULM right, but instead show us in which events we have a positive expected value opportunity.

And to do so, the algorithm analysed more than 1244796 matches on our football database looking for patterns to find the probabilities of the match ending with a victory for the home team, a tie or even a victory for the away team. Getting down to these values:

Tips for the Match Odds market for Aguacateros CDU x Lobos ULM

Should you bet on Aguacateros CDU?

🔵 Aguacateros CDU: the algorithm believes the chances of this event happening are 76.7% and we have noticed that the avarage odds offered by the bookmakers are 1.50. This means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

  • Would hit 770 times – this would give you a profit of $385.00
  • And would lose other 230 times – having a loss of -$230.00 with them.

Mathematically speaking, this is a value bet because you would have an expected final profit of 💰$155.00.

Should you bet on draw?

draw: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 13.52% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 3.90. That is, when you make 1000 bets of $1 like this one, you:

  • Would hit 140 times – this would give you a profit of $406.00
  • And would lose other 860 times – having a loss of -$860.00 with them.

Mathematically speaking, it is a negative expected value bet, because you would have an expected final loss of 💰-$454.00.

Is betting on Lobos ULM worth it?

🔴 Lobos ULM: our artificial intelligence has calculated that the probability of this event happening is around 9.79%, meanwhile the bookies are offering avarage odds of 5.25. This means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

  • Would hit 100 times – this would give you a profit of $425.00
  • And would lose other 900 times – losing -$900.00 with them.

We are talking about a bet without profit, because after all you would have an expected final loss of 💰-$475.00.

Place your Bet with Bet365 Bonus

Handicaps analysis for the match Aguacateros CDU x Lobos ULM

Maybe you prefer another approach: betting on Asian handicaps. We thought about it and our model also seeks to find the main handicaps of the most important markets. If you have no idea what a handicap is, do not worry! We have a complete article about the Asian handicap on sporting betting that will answer all your questions. You can click on it and leave it open on another tab so you can read later.

These are the handicaps that our algorithm analysed for you:

⚖ Handicap 1×2: -1.25 Aguacateros CDU
⚽ Expected goals: 2.75 goals

Tips for the Handicap 1×2 market for Aguacateros CDU x Lobos ULM

⚖ Handicap 1×2: our model believes that the ideal handicap is -1.25 Aguacateros CDU and the available handicap to bet at the moment is -0.75 Aguacateros CDU.

Since the difference between the handicap we calculated and the offered by the bookie is -0.50, this means that the best bet for the Handicap 1×2 is on: -0.75 Aguacateros CDU.

Tips for the Goals Handicap market for Aguacateros CDU x Lobos ULM

⚽ Goals Handicap: our model believes that the ideal handicap is 2.75 goals and the available handicap to bet at the moment is 2.50 goals.

We can notice that the difference between the handicap predicted by the model and the one available to bet at the bookmaker is 0.25. Therefore, the recommended bet for the Goals Handicap is on: + 2.50 goals.

Place your Bet with Bet365 Bonus

Written by

Autor
Humberto Alves

Hi there! You can call me Beto! I'm 32 years old, graduated in Business Management and now I'm doing my second degree in Statistics and Data Science, which is really helpful to bring the Machine Learning models applied in sports betting that you see here. Even though I'm in this betting world since 2010, there's still a lot to be learned.

> Check other content created by Humberto Alves
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