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Home » Predictions » Others » Aguia de Maraba x GA Sampaio Betting tips for April 20 in Brazil Serie D
Sunday, 20 April 2025, 20h00 Brazil Serie D
Aguia de Maraba Aguia de Maraba
PREDICTION GA Sampaio Wins Probability 27% 1 X 2
GA Sampaio GA Sampaio
ODD: @3.3 Don't miss this prediction!

Aguia de Maraba x GA Sampaio Betting tips for April 20 in Brazil Serie D

Our betting tip for Aguia de Maraba x GA Sampaio, Sunday, 20/4/2025
📅 20/4/2025
20:00
Aguia de Maraba Aguia de Maraba
2.15
X
3.00
GA Sampaio GA Sampaio
3.30

Our algorithm has selected this tip for Aguia de Maraba x GA Sampaio:

🔮 GA Sampaio wins the match
💰 When you bet the bonus of $500 from Bet365 on GA Sampaio, you can win up to $1650.00!

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The main points for the tip for Aguia de Maraba x GA Sampaio:

👉 If you had bet $100 on Aguia de Maraba in each of its last 5 matches as home, you would have had a loss of $-343.0.
👉 In the last 8 matches as the away team, GA Sampaio scored at least 1 goal(s).
👉 In the last 7 GA Sampaio matches as the away team, it finished over 2.5 goals.
👉 GA Sampaio is hard to beat as a visitor: it has 4 wins in a row in its last road matches.

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Summary

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Analysis from Aguia de Maraba x GA Sampaio for the Brazil Serie D – 20 of April

🏟️ Aguia de Maraba X GA Sampaio – Brazil Serie D
📅 20 of April, 2025 – 20:00
🔵 Aguia de Maraba – Winning probability: 45.47% | Fair line: 2.2
Tied game – Probability of tied match: 27.50% | Fair line: 3.64
🔴 GA Sampaio – Winning probability: 27.03% | Fair line: 3.7
⚖ Handicap 1×2: +0.25 Aguia de Maraba
⚽ Expected goals: 3.25 goals
⛳ Expected corner kicks: 9.75 corner kicks

When the best bet on Aguia de Maraba x GA Sampaio is analysed, notice that our AI model is not interested in getting the right result, but instead in looking for situations where the bookies offer us a positive expected value.

To achieve that, the algorithm analyses more than 1306948 matches from our database seeking for patterns to get to the winning probabilities for the home team, a tie or a victory for the away team. That was the conclusion from our artificial intelligence:

Tips for the Match Odds market for Aguia de Maraba x GA Sampaio

Is betting on Aguia de Maraba worth it?

🔵 Aguia de Maraba: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 45.47% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 2.15. That is, when you make 1000 bets of $1 like this one, you:

  • Would have hit 450 times – having a profit of $517.50;
  • And would have lost other 550 times – with a loss of -$550.00 because of them.

So this bet does not have value. After all, you would have an expected loss of 💰-$32.50.

Is betting on draw worth it?

draw: the algorithm believes the chances of this event happening are 27.5% and we have noticed that the avarage odds offered by the bookmakers are 3.00. In other words, this means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

  • Would hit 280 times – this would give you a profit of $560.00
  • And would have lost other 720 times – with a loss of -$720.00 because of them.

We are talking about a bet without profit, because after all you would have an expected final loss of 💰-$160.00.

Is betting on GA Sampaio worth it?

🔴 GA Sampaio: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 27.03% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 3.30. This means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

  • Would hit 270 times – this would give you a profit of $621.00
  • And would lose other 730 times – having a loss of -$730.00 with them.

That is why this is a value bet. In the end, you would have had a final profit of 💰$109.00.

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Handicaps analysis for the match Aguia de Maraba x GA Sampaio

Another important market to analyse is the Asian handicaps one, our algorithm is also going to help you with that. If you have no idea what a handicap is, do not worry! We have a complete article about the Asian handicap on sporting betting that will answer all your questions. You can click on it and leave it open on another tab so you can read later.

Take a look at what our artificial intelligence has set apart for these markets:

⚖ Handicap 1×2: +0.25 Aguia de Maraba
⚽ Expected goals: 3.25 goals

Tips for the Handicap 1×2 market for Aguia de Maraba x GA Sampaio

⚖ Handicap 1×2: our model believes that the ideal handicap is +0.25 Aguia de Maraba and the available handicap to bet at the moment is -0.25 Aguia de Maraba.

We can notice that the difference between the handicap predicted by the model and the one available to bet at the bookmaker is 0.50. Therefore, the recommended bet for the Handicap 1×2 is on: 0.25 GA Sampaio.

Tips for the Goals Handicap market for Aguia de Maraba x GA Sampaio

⚽ Goals Handicap: our model believes that the ideal handicap is 3.25 goals and the available handicap to bet at the moment is 2.00 goals.

We can notice that the difference between the handicap predicted by the model and the one available to bet at the bookmaker is 1.25. Therefore, the recommended bet for the Goals Handicap is on: + 2.00 goals.

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Written by
Autor
Humberto Alves

Hi there! You can call me Beto! I'm 32 years old, graduated in Business Management and now I'm doing my second degree in Statistics and Data Science, which is really helpful to bring the Machine Learning models applied in sports betting that you see here. Even though I'm in this betting world since 2010, there's still a lot to be learned.

> Check other content created by Humberto Alves
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