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Home » Predictions » Aguilas x CD Castellon Betting tips for October 30 in Spain Copa del Rey
Wednesday, 30 October 2024, 20h00 Spain Copa del Rey
Aguilas Aguilas
PREDICTION CD Castellon Wins Probability 78% 1 X 2
CD Castellon CD Castellon
ODD: @1.57 Don't miss this prediction!

Aguilas x CD Castellon Betting tips for October 30 in Spain Copa del Rey

Our betting tip for Aguilas x CD Castellon, Wednesday, 30/10/2024
📅 30/10/2024
20:00
Aguilas Aguilas
5.50
X
3.60
CD Castellon CD Castellon
1.57

Our algorithm has selected this tip for Aguilas x CD Castellon:

🔮 CD Castellon wins the match
💰 When you bet the bonus of $500 from Bet365 on CD Castellon, you can win up to $785.00!

Or access: https://www.bet365.com
 

The main points for the tip for Aguilas x CD Castellon:

👉 If you had bet $100 on Aguilas in each of its last 5 matches as home, you would have had a loss of $-170.0.
👉 If you had bet $100 on CD Castellon in each of its last 5 matches as away, you would have had a profit of $800.0.
👉 Aguilas did not concede a goal in the last 3 matches as home team.
👉 In the last 5 matches as the away team, CD Castellon scored at least 1 goal(s).
👉 In the last 3 Aguilas matches as the home team, it finished under 2.5 goals.
👉 In the last 4 CD Castellon matches as the away team, it finished over 2.5 goals.
👉 In the last 4 matches as the away team, CD Castellon conceded at least 1 goal(s).

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Summary

Do you want other options of bookmakers to bet on Aguilas x CD Castellon?

If you want other options of bookmakers to bet on Aguilas x CD Castellon, no problem. Right below you have the sports betting sites that we used the most in 2024. You will be in good hands on any of them, just pick your favorite and start betting:

Analysis from Aguilas x CD Castellon for the Spain Copa del Rey – 30 of October

🏟️ Aguilas X CD Castellon – Spain Copa del Rey
📅 30 of October, 2024 – 20:00
🔵 Aguilas – Winning probability: 9.38% | Fair line: 10.66
Tied game – Probability of tied match: 11.87% | Fair line: 8.43
🔴 CD Castellon – Winning probability: 78.75% | Fair line: 1.27
⚖ Handicap 1×2: +0.75 Aguilas
⚽ Expected goals: 3.25 goals
⛳ Expected corner kicks: 9.50 corner kicks

Even though it may not seem intuitive, a good betting model should not seek to get the result for Aguilas x CD Castellon right, but instead show us in which events we have a positive expected value opportunity.

To achieve that, the algorithm analyses more than 1212778 matches from our database seeking for patterns to get to the winning probabilities for the home team, a tie or a victory for the away team. That was the conclusion from our artificial intelligence:

Tips for the 1×2 market for Aguilas x CD Castellon

Is it a good idea to bet on Aguilas?

🔵 Aguilas: the algorithm believes the chances of this event happening are 9.38% and we have noticed that the avarage odds offered by the bookmakers are 5.50. That is, when you make 1000 bets of $1 like this one, you:

  • Would hit 90 times – profiting $405.00;
  • And would lose other 910 times – losing -$910.00 with them.

So this bet does not have value. After all, you would have an expected loss of 💰-$505.00.

Is it a good idea to bet on draw?

draw: the algorithm believes the chances of this event happening are 11.87% and we have noticed that the avarage odds offered by the bookmakers are 3.60. This means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

  • Would hit 120 times – profiting $312.00;
  • And would have lost other 880 times – with a loss of -$880.00 because of them.

So this bet does not have value. After all, you would have an expected loss of 💰-$568.00.

Is it a good idea to bet on CD Castellon?

🔴 CD Castellon: the algorithm believes the chances of this event happening are 78.75% and we have noticed that the avarage odds offered by the bookmakers are 1.57. This means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

  • Would hit 790 times – this would give you a profit of $450.30
  • And would lose other 210 times – having a loss of -$210.00 with them.

It is a value bet, since after all you would have an expected final profit of 💰$240.30.

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Handicaps analysis for the match Aguilas x CD Castellon

Maybe you prefer another approach: betting on Asian handicaps. We thought about it and our model also seeks to find the main handicaps of the most important markets. In case you do not know what handicaps are, we will solve this problem now: we sorted out the material about Asian handicap on betting so you can click and save it to learn about it on the first opportunity.

These are the handicaps that our algorithm analysed for you:

⚖ Handicap 1×2: +0.75 Aguilas
⚽ Expected goals: 3.25 goals

Tips for the Handicap 1×2 market for Aguilas x CD Castellon

⚖ Handicap 1×2: considering the estimates of our model, the main handicap should be +0.75 Aguilas, and the current handicap offered by bookies is +1.0 Aguilas.

Since the difference between the handicap we calculated and the offered by the bookie is -0.25, this means that the best bet for the Handicap 1×2 is on: +1.0 Aguilas.

Tips for the Goals Handicap market for Aguilas x CD Castellon

⚽ Goals Handicap: our model believes that the ideal handicap is 3.25 goals and the available handicap to bet at the moment is 2.25 goals.

Since the difference between the handicap we calculated and the offered by the bookie is 1.00, this means that the best bet for the Goals Handicap is on: + 2.25 goals.

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Written by

Autor
Humberto Alves

Hi there! You can call me Beto! I'm 32 years old, graduated in Business Management and now I'm doing my second degree in Statistics and Data Science, which is really helpful to bring the Machine Learning models applied in sports betting that you see here. Even though I'm in this betting world since 2010, there's still a lot to be learned.

> Check other content created by Humberto Alves
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