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Home » Predictions » Others » Aguilas x Don Benito Betting tips for February 2 in Spain Segunda Division RFEF Group 4
Sunday, 02 February 2025, 11h00 Spain Segunda Division RFEF Group 4
Aguilas Aguilas
PREDICTION Aguilas wins Probability 70% 1 X 2
Don Benito Don Benito
ODD: @1.64 Don't miss this prediction!

Aguilas x Don Benito Betting tips for February 2 in Spain Segunda Division RFEF Group 4

Our betting tip for Aguilas x Don Benito, Sunday, 2/2/2025
📅 2/2/2025
11:00
Aguilas Aguilas
1.64
X
3.00
Don Benito Don Benito
6.00

Our algorithm has selected this tip for Aguilas x Don Benito:

🔮 Aguilas wins the match
💰 When you bet the bonus of $500 from Bet365 on Aguilas, you can win up to $820.00!

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Important information for your tip for Aguilas x Don Benito:

👉 If you had bet $100 on Aguilas in each of its last 5 matches as home, you would have had a loss of $-285.0.
👉 If you had bet $100 on Don Benito in each of its last 5 matches as away, you would have had a loss of $-500.
👉 In the last 7 Aguilas matches as the home team, it finished under 2.5 goals.
👉 In the last 6 matches as the away team, Don Benito conceded at least 1 goal(s).
👉 It is not a good time for Don Benito as away team: it comes from 6 losses in a row in its last away matches.

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Summary

Do you want more options of bookies to bet on Aguilas x Don Benito?

If you want to take a look at more options of betting websites, we, from the Clube, have listed our favorites for you. Right below you can check the best kenyan betting sites from 2025, carefully analysed by us. Pick yours and start betting now on Aguilas x Don Benito:

Analysis from Aguilas x Don Benito for the Spain Segunda Division RFEF Group 4 – 2 of February

🏟️ Aguilas X Don Benito – Spain Segunda Division RFEF Group 4
📅 2 of February, 2025 – 11:00
🔵 Aguilas – Winning probability: 70.58% | Fair line: 1.42
Tied game – Probability of tied match: 24.30% | Fair line: 4.12
🔴 Don Benito – Winning probability: 5.12% | Fair line: 19.53
⚖ Handicap 1×2: -0.5 Aguilas
⚽ Expected goals: 2.25 goals
⛳ Expected corner kicks: 9.25 corner kicks

When the best bet on Aguilas x Don Benito is analysed, notice that our AI model is not interested in getting the right result, but instead in looking for situations where the bookies offer us a positive expected value.

To achieve that, the algorithm analyses more than 1255121 matches from our database seeking for patterns to get to the winning probabilities for the home team, a tie or a victory for the away team. That was the conclusion from our artificial intelligence:

Tips for the Match Odds market for Aguilas x Don Benito

Is betting on Aguilas worth it?

🔵 Aguilas: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 70.58% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 1.64. This means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

  • Would hit 710 times – this would give you a profit of $454.40
  • And would lose other 290 times – having a loss of -$290.00 with them.

So this is a value bet. After all, at the end of these bets, you would have an expected profit of 💰$164.40.

Is betting on draw worth it?

draw: our artificial intelligence has calculated that the probability of this event happening is around 24.3%, meanwhile the bookies are offering avarage odds of 3.00. In other words, this means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

  • Would hit 240 times – this would give you a profit of $480.00
  • And would lose other 760 times – having a loss of -$760.00 with them.

Mathematically speaking, it is a negative expected value bet, because you would have an expected final loss of 💰-$280.00.

Should you bet on Don Benito?

🔴 Don Benito: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 5.12% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 6.00. That is, when you make 1000 bets of $1 like this one, you:

  • Would have hit 50 times – having a profit of $250.00;
  • And would lose other 950 times – losing -$950.00 with them.

That is why this bet does not have value. In the end, you would have had a final loss of 💰-$700.00.

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Handicaps analysis for the match Aguilas x Don Benito

Another important market to analyse is the Asian handicaps one, our algorithm is also going to help you with that. In case you do not know what handicaps are, we will solve this problem now: we sorted out the material about Asian handicap on betting so you can click and save it to learn about it on the first opportunity.

Take a look at what our artificial intelligence has set apart for these markets:

⚖ Handicap 1×2: -0.5 Aguilas
⚽ Expected goals: 2.25 goals

Tips for the Handicap 1×2 market for Aguilas x Don Benito

⚖ Handicap 1×2: considering the estimates of our model, the main handicap should be -0.5 Aguilas, and the current handicap offered by bookies is -0.75 Aguilas.

We can notice that the difference between the handicap predicted by the model and the one available to bet at the bookmaker is 0.25. Therefore, the recommended bet for the Handicap 1×2 is on: 0.75 Don Benito.

Tips for the Goals Handicap market for Aguilas x Don Benito

⚽ Goals Handicap: our model believes that the ideal handicap is 2.25 goals and the available handicap to bet at the moment is 1.75 goals.

Since the difference between the handicap we calculated and the offered by the bookie is 0.50, this means that the best bet for the Goals Handicap is on: + 1.75 goals.

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Written by

Autor
Humberto Alves

Hi there! You can call me Beto! I'm 32 years old, graduated in Business Management and now I'm doing my second degree in Statistics and Data Science, which is really helpful to bring the Machine Learning models applied in sports betting that you see here. Even though I'm in this betting world since 2010, there's still a lot to be learned.

> Check other content created by Humberto Alves
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