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Home » Predictions » Others » Aguilas Doradas x Union Magdalena Betting tips for April 16 in Colombia Primera A
Wednesday, 16 April 2025, 19h00 Colombia Primera A
Aguilas Doradas Aguilas Doradas
PREDICTION Aguilas Doradas wins Probability 63% 1 X 2
Union Magdalena Union Magdalena
ODD: @1.72 Don't miss this prediction!

Aguilas Doradas x Union Magdalena Betting tips for April 16 in Colombia Primera A

Our betting tip for Aguilas Doradas x Union Magdalena, Wednesday, 16/4/2025
📅 16/4/2025
19:00
Aguilas Doradas Aguilas Doradas
1.72
X
3.20
Union Magdalena Union Magdalena
5.00

Our algorithm has selected this tip for Aguilas Doradas x Union Magdalena:

🔮 Aguilas Doradas wins the match
💰 When you bet the bonus of $500 from Bet365 on Aguilas Doradas, you can win up to $860.00!

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Some important points for the tip for Aguilas Doradas x Union Magdalena:

👉 If you had bet $100 on Aguilas Doradas in each of its last 5 matches as home, you would have had a loss of $-347.0.
👉 If you had bet $100 on Union Magdalena in each of its last 5 matches as away, you would have had a loss of $-500.
👉 In the last 7 matches as the away team, Union Magdalena conceded at least 1 goal(s).
👉 It is not a good time for Union Magdalena as away team: it comes from 4 losses in a row in its last away matches.

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Summary

Looking for another bookie to bet on Aguilas Doradas x Union Magdalena?

If you want to take a look at more options of betting websites, we, from the Clube, have listed our favorites for you. Right below you can check the best kenyan betting sites from 2025, carefully analysed by us. Pick yours and start betting now on Aguilas Doradas x Union Magdalena:

Analysis from Aguilas Doradas x Union Magdalena for the Colombia Primera A – 16 of April

🏟️ Aguilas Doradas X Union Magdalena – Colombia Primera A
📅 16 of April, 2025 – 19:00
🔵 Aguilas Doradas – Winning probability: 63.80% | Fair line: 1.57
Tied game – Probability of tied match: 27.63% | Fair line: 3.62
🔴 Union Magdalena – Winning probability: 8.56% | Fair line: 11.68
⚖ Handicap 1×2: -0.75 Aguilas Doradas
⚽ Expected goals: 2.00 goals
⛳ Expected corner kicks: 10.25 corner kicks

When the best bet on Aguilas Doradas x Union Magdalena is analysed, notice that our AI model is not interested in getting the right result, but instead in looking for situations where the bookies offer us a positive expected value.

To achieve that, the algorithm analyses more than 1304980 matches from our database seeking for patterns to get to the winning probabilities for the home team, a tie or a victory for the away team. That was the conclusion from our artificial intelligence:

Tips for the Match Odds market for Aguilas Doradas x Union Magdalena

Is betting on Aguilas Doradas worth it?

🔵 Aguilas Doradas: the algorithm believes the chances of this event happening are 63.8% and we have noticed that the avarage odds offered by the bookmakers are 1.72. That is, when you make 1000 bets of $1 like this one, you:

  • Would have hit 640 times – having a profit of $460.80;
  • And would have lost other 360 times – with a loss of -$360.00 because of them.

That is why this is a value bet. In the end, you would have had a final profit of 💰$100.80.

Is betting on draw worth it?

draw: our artificial intelligence has calculated that the probability of this event happening is around 27.63%, meanwhile the bookies are offering avarage odds of 3.20. That is, when you make 1000 bets of $1 like this one, you:

  • Would hit 280 times – this would give you a profit of $616.00
  • And would lose other 720 times – losing -$720.00 with them.

It is a low stake bet, since after all you would have an final expected profit of just 💰$104.00. Which is not even that worthy considering the risk!

Is it a good idea to bet on Union Magdalena?

🔴 Union Magdalena: the algorithm believes the chances of this event happening are 8.56% and we have noticed that the avarage odds offered by the bookmakers are 5.00. This means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

  • Would hit 90 times – profiting $360.00;
  • And would lose other 910 times – losing -$910.00 with them.

So this bet does not have value. After all, you would have an expected loss of 💰-$550.00.

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Handicaps analysis for the match Aguilas Doradas x Union Magdalena

Another approach is trying to find the fair handicap for the main markets and our machine learning model will also give you a helping hand with that. If you have no idea what a handicap is, do not worry! We have a complete article about the Asian handicap on sporting betting that will answer all your questions. You can click on it and leave it open on another tab so you can read later.

Moving ahead we can see what the model has in store for these markets here:

⚖ Handicap 1×2: -0.75 Aguilas Doradas
⚽ Expected goals: 2.00 goals

Tips for the Handicap 1×2 market for Aguilas Doradas x Union Magdalena

⚖ Handicap 1×2: our model believes that the ideal handicap is -0.75 Aguilas Doradas and the available handicap to bet at the moment is -0.75 Aguilas Doradas.

The handicap that our algorithm found is the same as the bookies, which means that there is not any value to bet on the Handicap 1×2 market.

Tips for the Goals Handicap market for Aguilas Doradas x Union Magdalena

⚽ Goals Handicap: our model believes that the ideal handicap is 2.00 goals and the available handicap to bet at the moment is 2.00 goals.

Since the handicap offered by bookmakers is the same as the one we got with our model, there is not any value bets on the Goals Handicap market.

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Written by
Autor
Humberto Alves

Hi there! You can call me Beto! I'm 32 years old, graduated in Business Management and now I'm doing my second degree in Statistics and Data Science, which is really helpful to bring the Machine Learning models applied in sports betting that you see here. Even though I'm in this betting world since 2010, there's still a lot to be learned.

> Check other content created by Humberto Alves
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