Aguilas x Xerez Deportivo FC Betting tips for September 29 in Spain Segunda Division RFEF Group 4

Our betting tip for Aguilas x Xerez Deportivo FC, Sunday, 29/9/2024

📅 29/9/2024 13:00

Aguilas 1.91

X 3.10

Xerez Deportivo FC 3.60

This is the bet made by our artificial intelligence for Aguilas x Xerez Deportivo FC:

👎 Umm…what a pity! We do not have any positive expected value tips for Aguilas x Xerez Deportivo FC

Some important points for the tip for Aguilas x Xerez Deportivo FC: 👉 If you had bet $100 on Aguilas in each of its last 5 matches as home, you would have had a profit of $222.0. 👉 If you had bet $100 on Xerez Deportivo FC in each of its last 5 matches as away, you would have had a loss of $-240.0. 👉 In the last 9 matches as the home team, Aguilas scored at least 1 goal(s). 👉 In the last 4 Xerez Deportivo FC matches as the away team, it finished under 2.5 goals. 👉 In the last 4 Aguilas matches as the home team, it finished over 2.5 goals.

Do you want other options of bookmakers to bet on Aguilas x Xerez Deportivo FC?

If you want other options of bookmakers to bet on Aguilas x Xerez Deportivo FC, no problem. Right below you have the sports betting sites that we used the most in 2024. You will be in good hands on any of them, just pick your favorite and start betting:

Analysis from Aguilas x Xerez Deportivo FC for the Spain Segunda Division RFEF Group 4 – 29 of September

A good bettor is not the one with a high hits percentage, but the one who bets on positive expected value events. Our AI model knows it very well and has looked for these opportunities for the match between Aguilas and Xerez Deportivo FC.

To achieve that, the algorithm analyses more than 1190630 matches from our database seeking for patterns to get to the winning probabilities for the home team, a tie or a victory for the away team. That was the conclusion from our artificial intelligence:

Tips for the Match Odds market for Aguilas x Xerez Deportivo FC

Is it worth betting on Aguilas?

🔵 Aguilas: the algorithm believes the chances of this event happening are 47.04% and we have noticed that the avarage odds offered by the bookmakers are 1.91. This means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

• Would have hit 470 times – having a profit of $427.70;
• And would lose other 530 times – losing -$530.00 with them.

We are talking about a bet without profit, because after all you would have an expected final loss of 💰-$102.30.

Should you bet on draw?

⚪ draw: the algorithm believes the chances of this event happening are 32.3% and we have noticed that the avarage odds offered by the bookmakers are 3.10. That is, when you make 1000 bets of $1 like this one, you:

• Would hit 320 times – profiting $672.00;
• And would have lost other 680 times – with a loss of -$680.00 because of them.

Although this bet has some value, notice that the expected profit is just 💰$8.00, which is not worth the risk in our point of view.

Should you bet on Xerez Deportivo FC?

🔴 Xerez Deportivo FC: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 20.66% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 3.60. In other words, this means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

• Would hit 210 times – profiting $546.00;
• And would lose other 790 times – losing -$790.00 with them.

Mathematically speaking, it is a negative expected value bet, because you would have an expected final loss of 💰-$244.00.

Handicaps analysis for the match Aguilas x Xerez Deportivo FC

Maybe you prefer another approach: betting on Asian handicaps. We thought about it and our model also seeks to find the main handicaps of the most important markets. If you have no idea what a handicap is, do not worry! We have a complete article about the Asian handicap on sporting betting that will answer all your questions. You can click on it and leave it open on another tab so you can read later.

Take a look at what our artificial intelligence has set apart for these markets:

⚖ Handicap 1×2: -0.5 Aguilas
⚽ Expected goals: 3.00 goals

Tips for the Handicap 1×2 market for Aguilas x Xerez Deportivo FC

⚖ Handicap 1×2: our model believes that the ideal handicap is -0.5 Aguilas and the available handicap to bet at the moment is -0.5 Aguilas.

Since there is not big differences between the handicap offered by bookies and the one suggested by our algorithm, we can consider that there is no value to bet on the Handicap 1×2 market.

Tips for the Goals Handicap market for Aguilas x Xerez Deportivo FC

⚽ Goals Handicap: considering the estimates of our model, the main handicap should be 3.00 goals, and the current handicap offered by bookies is 2.00 goals.

We can notice that the difference between the handicap predicted by the model and the one available to bet at the bookmaker is 1.00. Therefore, the recommended bet for the Goals Handicap is on: + 2.00 goals.