AIK x Hammarby Betting tips for September 29 in Sweden Allsvenskan
๐
29/9/2024 09:00 |
AIK 2.05 |
X 3.42 |
Hammarby 3.30 |
This is the tip that our machine learning model has selected for AIK x Hammarby:
๐ฎ Tied Match
๐ฐ When you bet the bonus of $500 from Bet365 on a tie, you can win up to $1710.00!
Important information for your tip for AIK x Hammarby: ๐ If you had bet $100 on AIK in each of its last 5 matches as home, you would have had a loss of $-150.0. |
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Analysis from AIK x Hammarby for the Sweden Allsvenskan – 29 of September
๐๏ธ AIK X Hammarby – Sweden Allsvenskan |
Even though it may not seem intuitive, a good betting model should not seek to get the result for AIK x Hammarby right, but instead show us in which events we have a positive expected value opportunity.
To achieve that, the algorithm analyses more than 1190630 matches from our database seeking for patterns to get to the winning probabilities for the home team, a tie or a victory for the away team. That was the conclusion from our artificial intelligence:
Tips for the 1×2 market for AIK x Hammarby
Is betting on AIK worth it?
๐ต AIK: our artificial intelligence has calculated that the probability of this event happening is around 43.58%, meanwhile the bookies are offering avarage odds of 2.05. That is, when you make 1000 bets of $1 like this one, you:
- Would hit 440 times – profiting $462.00;
- And would lose other 560 times – losing -$560.00 with them.
We are talking about a bet without profit, because after all you would have an expected final loss of ๐ฐ-$98.00.
Should you bet on draw?
โช draw: the algorithm believes the chances of this event happening are 34.92% and we have noticed that the avarage odds offered by the bookmakers are 3.42. This means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:
- Would have hit 350 times – having a profit of $847.00;
- And would lose other 650 times – having a loss of -$650.00 with them.
Mathematically speaking, this is a value bet because you would have an expected final profit of ๐ฐ$197.00.
Is betting on Hammarby worth it?
๐ด Hammarby: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 21.51% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 3.30. In other words, this means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:
- Would have hit 220 times – having a profit of $506.00;
- And would have lost other 780 times – with a loss of -$780.00 because of them.
That is why this bet does not have value. In the end, you would have had a final loss of ๐ฐ-$274.00.
Handicaps analysis for the match AIK x Hammarby
Another important market to analyse is the Asian handicaps one, our algorithm is also going to help you with that. In case you do not know what handicaps are, we will solve this problem now: we sorted out the material about Asian handicap on betting so you can click and save it to learn about it on the first opportunity.
Take a look at what our artificial intelligence has set apart for these markets:
โ Handicap 1×2: -0.25 AIK
โฝ Expected goals: 2.50 goals
Tips for the Handicap 1×2 market for AIK x Hammarby
โ Handicap 1×2: considering the estimates of our model, the main handicap should be -0.25 AIK, and the current handicap offered by bookies is -0.25 AIK.
Since there is not big differences between the handicap offered by bookies and the one suggested by our algorithm, we can consider that there is no value to bet on the Handicap 1×2 market.
Tips for the Goals Handicap market for AIK x Hammarby
โฝ Goals Handicap: our model believes that the ideal handicap is 2.50 goals and the available handicap to bet at the moment is 2.50 goals.
Since there is not big differences between the handicap offered by bookies and the one suggested by our algorithm, we can consider that there is no value to bet on the Goals Handicap market.