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Home ยป Predictions ยป Others ยป AIK x Hammarby Betting tips for September 29 in Sweden Allsvenskan
Sunday, 29 September 2024, 09h00 Sweden Allsvenskan
AIK AIK
PREDICTION Draw Match Probability 34% 1 X 2
Hammarby Hammarby
ODD: @3.42 Don't miss this prediction!

AIK x Hammarby Betting tips for September 29 in Sweden Allsvenskan

Our betting tip for AIK x Hammarby, Sunday, 29/9/2024
๐Ÿ“… 29/9/2024
09:00
AIK AIK
2.05
X
3.42
Hammarby Hammarby
3.30

This is the tip that our machine learning model has selected for AIK x Hammarby:

๐Ÿ”ฎ Tied Match
๐Ÿ’ฐ When you bet the bonus of $500 from Bet365 on a tie, you can win up to $1710.00!

Or access: https://www.bet365.com
 

Important information for your tip for AIK x Hammarby:

๐Ÿ‘‰ If you had bet $100 on AIK in each of its last 5 matches as home, you would have had a loss of $-150.0.
๐Ÿ‘‰ If you had bet $100 on Hammarby in each of its last 5 matches as away, you would have had a profit of $530.0.
๐Ÿ‘‰ Hammarby did not concede a goal in the last 3 matches as away team.
๐Ÿ‘‰ In the last 5 matches as the home team against Hammarby, AIK scored at least 2 goal(s).
๐Ÿ‘‰ In the last 6 road matches, Hammarby has not lost any of them.
๐Ÿ‘‰ AIK has not lost any of the last 5 head-to-head matches against Hammarby playing at home.

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Summary

Do you want other suggestions of bookmakers to bet on AIK x Hammarby?

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Analysis from AIK x Hammarby for the Sweden Allsvenskan – 29 of September

๐ŸŸ๏ธ AIK X Hammarby – Sweden Allsvenskan
๐Ÿ“… 29 of September, 2024 – 09:00
๐Ÿ”ต AIK – Winning probability: 43.58% | Fair line: 2.29
โšช Tied game – Probability of tied match: 34.92% | Fair line: 2.86
๐Ÿ”ด Hammarby – Winning probability: 21.51% | Fair line: 4.65
โš– Handicap 1×2: -0.25 AIK
โšฝ Expected goals: 2.50 goals
โ›ณ Expected corner kicks: 9.50 corner kicks

Even though it may not seem intuitive, a good betting model should not seek to get the result for AIK x Hammarby right, but instead show us in which events we have a positive expected value opportunity.

To achieve that, the algorithm analyses more than 1190630 matches from our database seeking for patterns to get to the winning probabilities for the home team, a tie or a victory for the away team. That was the conclusion from our artificial intelligence:

Tips for the 1×2 market for AIK x Hammarby

Is betting on AIK worth it?

๐Ÿ”ต AIK: our artificial intelligence has calculated that the probability of this event happening is around 43.58%, meanwhile the bookies are offering avarage odds of 2.05. That is, when you make 1000 bets of $1 like this one, you:

  • Would hit 440 times – profiting $462.00;
  • And would lose other 560 times – losing -$560.00 with them.

We are talking about a bet without profit, because after all you would have an expected final loss of ๐Ÿ’ฐ-$98.00.

Should you bet on draw?

โšช draw: the algorithm believes the chances of this event happening are 34.92% and we have noticed that the avarage odds offered by the bookmakers are 3.42. This means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

  • Would have hit 350 times – having a profit of $847.00;
  • And would lose other 650 times – having a loss of -$650.00 with them.

Mathematically speaking, this is a value bet because you would have an expected final profit of ๐Ÿ’ฐ$197.00.

Is betting on Hammarby worth it?

๐Ÿ”ด Hammarby: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 21.51% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 3.30. In other words, this means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

  • Would have hit 220 times – having a profit of $506.00;
  • And would have lost other 780 times – with a loss of -$780.00 because of them.

That is why this bet does not have value. In the end, you would have had a final loss of ๐Ÿ’ฐ-$274.00.

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Handicaps analysis for the match AIK x Hammarby

Another important market to analyse is the Asian handicaps one, our algorithm is also going to help you with that. In case you do not know what handicaps are, we will solve this problem now: we sorted out the material about Asian handicap on betting so you can click and save it to learn about it on the first opportunity.

Take a look at what our artificial intelligence has set apart for these markets:

โš– Handicap 1×2: -0.25 AIK
โšฝ Expected goals: 2.50 goals

Tips for the Handicap 1×2 market for AIK x Hammarby

โš– Handicap 1×2: considering the estimates of our model, the main handicap should be -0.25 AIK, and the current handicap offered by bookies is -0.25 AIK.

Since there is not big differences between the handicap offered by bookies and the one suggested by our algorithm, we can consider that there is no value to bet on the Handicap 1×2 market.

Tips for the Goals Handicap market for AIK x Hammarby

โšฝ Goals Handicap: our model believes that the ideal handicap is 2.50 goals and the available handicap to bet at the moment is 2.50 goals.

Since there is not big differences between the handicap offered by bookies and the one suggested by our algorithm, we can consider that there is no value to bet on the Goals Handicap market.

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Written by

Autor
Humberto Alves

Hi there! You can call me Beto! I'm 32 years old, graduated in Business Management and now I'm doing my second degree in Statistics and Data Science, which is really helpful to bring the Machine Learning models applied in sports betting that you see here. Even though I'm in this betting world since 2010, there's still a lot to be learned.

> Check other content created by Humberto Alves
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