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Ajaccio U19 x Toulouse U19 Betting tips for January 16 in France U19 League

Our betting tip for Ajaccio U19 x Toulouse U19, Sunday, 16/1/2022
πŸ“… 16/1/2022
11:00
Ajaccio U19
4.45
X
3.80
Toulouse U19
1.60

This is the bet made by our artificial intelligence for Ajaccio U19 x Toulouse U19:

πŸ‘Ž Umm…what a pity! We do not have any positive expected value tips for Ajaccio U19 x Toulouse U19

πŸ“Š Check out the analysis on Betfellows for this match: Full prognostic for Ajaccio U19 x Toulouse U19

Place your Bet with Bet365 Bonus

Do you want other suggestions of bookmakers to bet on Ajaccio U19 x Toulouse U19?

If you want other options of bookmakers to bet on Ajaccio U19 x Toulouse U19, no problem. Right below you have the bookies that we used the most in 2022. You will be in good hands on any of them, just pick your favorite and start betting:

Analysis from Ajaccio U19 x Toulouse U19 for the France U19 League – 16 of January

🏟️ Ajaccio U19 X Toulouse U19 – France U19 League
πŸ“… 16 of January, 2022 – 11:00
πŸ”΅ Ajaccio U19 – Winning probability: 10.35% | Fair line: 9.66
βšͺ Tied game – Probability of tied match: 27.05% | Fair line: 3.7
πŸ”΄ Toulouse U19 – Winning probability: 62.59% | Fair line: 1.6
βš– Handicap 1×2: +0.75 Ajaccio U19
⚽ Expected goals: 2.50 goals
β›³ Expected corner kicks: 9.25 corner kicks

Even though it may not seem intuitive, a good betting model should not seek to get the result for Ajaccio U19 x Toulouse U19 right, but instead show us in which events we have a positive expected value opportunity.

To achieve that, the algorithm analyses more than 288046 matches from Betfellows database, our collaborative prediction platform, seeking for patterns to get to the winning probabilities for the home team, a tie or a victory for the away team. That was the conclusion from our artificial intelligence:

Tips for the Match Odds market for Ajaccio U19 x Toulouse U19

Is it a good idea to bet on Ajaccio U19?

πŸ”΅ Ajaccio U19: our artificial intelligence has calculated that the probability of this event happening is around 10.35%, meanwhile the bookies are offering avarage odds of 4.45. That is, when you make 1000 bets of $1 like this one, you:

  • Would hit 100 times – this would give you a profit of $345.00
  • And would lose other 900 times – having a loss of -$900.00 with them.

That is why this bet does not have value. In the end, you would have had a final loss of πŸ’°-$555.00.

Should you bet on draw?

βšͺ draw: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 27.05% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 3.80. In other words, this means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

  • Would hit 270 times – profiting $756.00;
  • And would lose other 730 times – having a loss of -$730.00 with them.

Even if it is a positive expected value bet, the expected profit is just πŸ’°$26.00 which is not worth the risk in our opinion.

Should you bet on Toulouse U19?

πŸ”΄ Toulouse U19: the algorithm believes the chances of this event happening are 62.59% and we have noticed that the avarage odds offered by the bookmakers are 1.60. In other words, this means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

  • Would hit 630 times – profiting $378.00;
  • And would lose other 370 times – having a loss of -$370.00 with them.

Even if it is a positive expected value bet, the expected profit is just πŸ’°$8.00 which is not worth the risk in our opinion.

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Handicaps analysis for the match Ajaccio U19 x Toulouse U19

Another approach is trying to find the fair handicap for the main markets and our machine learning model will also give you a helping hand with that. If you have no idea what a handicap is, do not worry! We have a complete article about the Asian handicap on sporting betting that will answer all your questions. You can click on it and leave it open on another tab so you can read later.

This is what our nice robot has to tell us about these markets:

βš– Handicap 1×2: +0.75 Ajaccio U19
⚽ Expected goals: 2.50 goals

Tips for the Handicap 1×2 market for Ajaccio U19 x Toulouse U19

βš– Handicap 1×2: considering the estimates of our model, the main handicap should be +0.75 Ajaccio U19, and the current handicap offered by bookies is +0.75 Ajaccio U19.

Since there is not big differences between the handicap offered by bookies and the one suggested by our algorithm, we can consider that there is no value to bet on the Handicap 1×2 market.

Tips for the Goals Handicap market for Ajaccio U19 x Toulouse U19

⚽ Goals Handicap: our model believes that the ideal handicap is 2.50 goals and the available handicap to bet at the moment is 3.00 goals.

We can notice that the difference between the handicap predicted by the model and the one available to bet at the bookmaker is -0.50. Therefore, the recommended bet for the Goals Handicap is on: – 3.00 goals.

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You can check out our tips on YouTube

Besides the artificial intelligence that you have here, our sporting bets experts are on YouTube searching for the best bets for Sunday. Right above you can check our last analysis and be a part of the community by subscribing on our betting tips channel on YouTube.

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Written by

Autor
Humberto Alves

Hi there! You can call me Beto! I'm 32 years old, graduated in Business Management and now I'm doing my second degree in Statistics and Data Science, which is really helpful to bring the Machine Learning models applied in sports betting that you see here. Even though I'm in this betting world since 2010, there's still a lot to be learned.

> Check other content created by Humberto Alves