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Ajax Reserves x FC Den Bosch Betting tips for January 17 in Netherlands Eerste Divisie

Our betting tip for Ajax Reserves x FC Den Bosch, Monday, 17/1/2022
๐Ÿ“… 17/1/2022
19:00
Ajax Reserves
1.53
X
4.30
FC Den Bosch
4.85

Our algorithm has selected this tip for Ajax Reserves x FC Den Bosch:

๐Ÿ”ฎ FC Den Bosch wins the match
๐Ÿ’ฐ When you bet the bonus of $500 from Bet365 on FC Den Bosch, you can win up to $2425.00!

Or access: https://www.bet365.com
 

๐Ÿ“Š Check out the full analysis on Betfellows: Prognostic for Ajax Reserves x FC Den Bosch

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Analysis from Ajax Reserves x FC Den Bosch for the Netherlands Eerste Divisie – 17 of January

๐ŸŸ๏ธ Ajax Reserves X FC Den Bosch – Netherlands Eerste Divisie
๐Ÿ“… 17 of January, 2022 – 19:00
๐Ÿ”ต Ajax Reserves – Winning probability: 66.52% | Fair line: 1.5
โšช Tied game – Probability of tied match: 5.90% | Fair line: 16.96
๐Ÿ”ด FC Den Bosch – Winning probability: 27.58% | Fair line: 3.63
โš– Handicap 1×2: -1.25 Ajax Reserves
โšฝ Expected goals: 3.00 goals
โ›ณ Expected corner kicks: 10.00 corner kicks

A good bettor is not the one with a high hits percentage, but the one who bets on positive expected value events. Our AI model knows it very well and has looked for these opportunities for the match between Ajax Reserves and FC Den Bosch.

Therefore, to find the numbers, our artificial intelligence has colected information from around 288856 matches on the betting prognostics platform Betfellows , in order to calculate the probabilities of this match ending with a home team victory, a tied match or even an away team victory. Check out the results:

Tips for the Match Odds market for Ajax Reserves x FC Den Bosch

Is betting on Ajax Reserves worth it?

๐Ÿ”ต Ajax Reserves: our artificial intelligence has calculated that the probability of this event happening is around 66.52%, meanwhile the bookies are offering avarage odds of 1.53. That is, when you make 1000 bets of $1 like this one, you:

  • Would hit 670 times – profiting $355.44;
  • And would lose other 330 times – having a loss of -$330.00 with them.

Although this bet has some value, notice that the expected profit is just ๐Ÿ’ฐ$25.44, which is not worth the risk in our point of view.

Is betting on draw worth it?

โšช draw: the algorithm believes the chances of this event happening are 5.9% and we have noticed that the avarage odds offered by the bookmakers are 4.30. This means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

  • Would hit 60 times – profiting $198.00;
  • And would lose other 940 times – having a loss of -$940.00 with them.

So this bet does not have value. After all, you would have an expected loss of ๐Ÿ’ฐ-$742.00.

Is it worth betting on FC Den Bosch?

๐Ÿ”ด FC Den Bosch: the algorithm believes the chances of this event happening are 27.58% and we have noticed that the avarage odds offered by the bookmakers are 4.85. That is, when you make 1000 bets of $1 like this one, you:

  • Would have hit 280 times – having a profit of $1078.00;
  • And would lose other 720 times – having a loss of -$720.00 with them.

So this is a value bet. After all, at the end of these bets, you would have an expected profit of ๐Ÿ’ฐ$358.00.

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Handicaps analysis for the match Ajax Reserves x FC Den Bosch

Maybe you prefer another approach: betting on Asian handicaps. We thought about it and our model also seeks to find the main handicaps of the most important markets. In case you do not know what handicaps are, we will solve this problem now: we sorted out the material about Asian handicap on betting so you can click and save it to learn about it on the first opportunity.

Take a look at what our artificial intelligence has set apart for these markets:

โš– Handicap 1×2: -1.25 Ajax Reserves
โšฝ Expected goals: 3.00 goals

Tips for the Handicap 1×2 market for Ajax Reserves x FC Den Bosch

โš– Handicap 1×2: our model believes that the ideal handicap is -1.25 Ajax Reserves and the available handicap to bet at the moment is -1.0 Ajax Reserves.

Since the difference between the handicap we calculated and the offered by the bookie is -0.25, this means that the best bet for the Handicap 1×2 is on: -1.0 Ajax Reserves.

Tips for the Goals Handicap market for Ajax Reserves x FC Den Bosch

โšฝ Goals Handicap: our model believes that the ideal handicap is 3.00 goals and the available handicap to bet at the moment is 3.50 goals.

We can notice that the difference between the handicap predicted by the model and the one available to bet at the bookmaker is -0.50. Therefore, the recommended bet for the Goals Handicap is on: – 3.50 goals.

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Our tips are also on YouTube

Our tipsters are also on our betting tips channel on YouTube analysing the main bets for Monday. Right above you can check our latest predictions and do not forget to subscribe to our channel!

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Written by

Autor
Humberto Alves

Hi there! You can call me Beto! I'm 32 years old, graduated in Business Management and now I'm doing my second degree in Statistics and Data Science, which is really helpful to bring the Machine Learning models applied in sports betting that you see here. Even though I'm in this betting world since 2010, there's still a lot to be learned.

> Check other content created by Humberto Alves