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Home » Predictions » Others » Ajax Reserves x FC Emmen Betting tips for March 11 in Netherlands Eerste Divisie
Tuesday, 11 March 2025, 19h00 Netherlands Eerste Divisie
Ajax Reserves Ajax Reserves
PREDICTION Draw Match Probability 29% 1 X 2
FC Emmen FC Emmen
ODD: @3.6 Don't miss this prediction!

Ajax Reserves x FC Emmen Betting tips for March 11 in Netherlands Eerste Divisie

Our betting tip for Ajax Reserves x FC Emmen, Tuesday, 11/3/2025
📅 11/3/2025
19:00
Ajax Reserves Ajax Reserves
2.95
X
3.60
FC Emmen FC Emmen
2.15

This is the tip that our machine learning model has selected for Ajax Reserves x FC Emmen:

🔮 Tied Match
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Some important points for the tip for Ajax Reserves x FC Emmen:

👉 If you had bet $100 on Ajax Reserves in each of its last 5 matches as home, you would have had a profit of $357.0.
👉 If you had bet $100 on FC Emmen in each of its last 5 matches as away, you would have had a loss of $-67.0.
👉 In the last 5 matches as the home team against FC Emmen, Ajax Reserves scored at least 1 goal(s).
👉 In the last 3 FC Emmen matches as the away team, it finished over 2.5 goals.
👉 In the last 3 matches as the home team, Ajax Reserves conceded at least 1 goal(s).
👉 Ajax Reserves has not lost any of the last 5 head-to-head matches against FC Emmen playing at home.

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Summary

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Analysis from Ajax Reserves x FC Emmen for the Netherlands Eerste Divisie – 11 of March

🏟️ Ajax Reserves X FC Emmen – Netherlands Eerste Divisie
📅 11 of March, 2025 – 19:00
🔵 Ajax Reserves – Winning probability: 27.82% | Fair line: 3.59
Tied game – Probability of tied match: 29.58% | Fair line: 3.38
🔴 FC Emmen – Winning probability: 42.60% | Fair line: 2.35
⚖ Handicap 1×2: 0.0 Ajax Reserves
⚽ Expected goals: 3.00 goals
⛳ Expected corner kicks: 10.25 corner kicks

A good bettor is not the one with a high hits percentage, but the one who bets on positive expected value events. Our AI model knows it very well and has looked for these opportunities for the match between Ajax Reserves and FC Emmen.

Therefore, to find the numbers, our artificial intelligence has colected information from around 1279005 matches on our betting database, in order to calculate the probabilities of this match ending with a home team victory, a tied match or even an away team victory. Check out the results:

Tips for the Match Odds market for Ajax Reserves x FC Emmen

Is it worth betting on Ajax Reserves?

🔵 Ajax Reserves: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 27.82% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 2.95. That is, when you make 1000 bets of $1 like this one, you:

  • Would have hit 280 times – having a profit of $546.00;
  • And would have lost other 720 times – with a loss of -$720.00 because of them.

That is why this bet does not have value. In the end, you would have had a final loss of 💰-$174.00.

Should you bet on draw?

draw: the algorithm believes the chances of this event happening are 29.58% and we have noticed that the avarage odds offered by the bookmakers are 3.60. That is, when you make 1000 bets of $1 like this one, you:

  • Would hit 300 times – this would give you a profit of $780.00
  • And would lose other 700 times – having a loss of -$700.00 with them.

That is why this is a value bet. In the end, you would have had a final profit of 💰$80.00.

Is betting on FC Emmen worth it?

🔴 FC Emmen: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 42.6% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 2.15. That is, when you make 1000 bets of $1 like this one, you:

  • Would have hit 430 times – having a profit of $494.50;
  • And would lose other 570 times – losing -$570.00 with them.

That is why this bet does not have value. In the end, you would have had a final loss of 💰-$75.50.

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Handicaps analysis for the match Ajax Reserves x FC Emmen

The handicap market is also very searched for by bettors in professional bookmakers and our model can help you with that. If you have no idea what a handicap is, do not worry! We have a complete article about the Asian handicap on sporting betting that will answer all your questions. You can click on it and leave it open on another tab so you can read later.

This is what our nice robot has to tell us about these markets:

⚖ Handicap 1×2: 0.0 Ajax Reserves
⚽ Expected goals: 3.00 goals

Tips for the Handicap 1×2 market for Ajax Reserves x FC Emmen

⚖ Handicap 1×2: our model believes that the ideal handicap is 0.0 Ajax Reserves and the available handicap to bet at the moment is +0.25 Ajax Reserves.

Since the difference between the handicap we calculated and the offered by the bookie is -0.25, this means that the best bet for the Handicap 1×2 is on: +0.25 Ajax Reserves.

Tips for the Goals Handicap market for Ajax Reserves x FC Emmen

⚽ Goals Handicap: our model believes that the ideal handicap is 3.00 goals and the available handicap to bet at the moment is 3.00 goals.

Since the handicap offered by bookmakers is the same as the one we got with our model, there is not any value bets on the Goals Handicap market.

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Written by
Autor
Humberto Alves

Hi there! You can call me Beto! I'm 32 years old, graduated in Business Management and now I'm doing my second degree in Statistics and Data Science, which is really helpful to bring the Machine Learning models applied in sports betting that you see here. Even though I'm in this betting world since 2010, there's still a lot to be learned.

> Check other content created by Humberto Alves
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