Akademija Pandev x Pelister Bitola Betting tips for September 29 in North Macedonia First League

Our betting tip for Akademija Pandev x Pelister Bitola, Sunday, 29/9/2024

📅 29/9/2024 09:00

Akademija Pandev 1.68

X 3.45

Pelister Bitola 4.44

This is the tip that our machine learning model has selected for Akademija Pandev x Pelister Bitola:

👎 Umm…what a pity! We do not have any positive expected value tips for Akademija Pandev x Pelister Bitola

Important information for your tip for Akademija Pandev x Pelister Bitola: 👉 If you had bet $100 on Akademija Pandev in each of its last 5 matches as home, you would have had a profit of $565.0. 👉 If you had bet $100 on Pelister Bitola in each of its last 5 matches as away, you would have had a profit of $37.0. 👉 In the last 5 matches as the home team against Pelister Bitola, Akademija Pandev scored at least 1 goal(s). 👉 Akademija Pandev has not lost any of the last 5 head-to-head matches against Pelister Bitola playing at home.

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Analysis from Akademija Pandev x Pelister Bitola for the North Macedonia First League – 29 of September

When the best bet on Akademija Pandev x Pelister Bitola is analysed, notice that our AI model is not interested in getting the right result, but instead in looking for situations where the bookies offer us a positive expected value.

Therefore, to find the numbers, our artificial intelligence has colected information from around 1190630 matches on our betting database, in order to calculate the probabilities of this match ending with a home team victory, a tied match or even an away team victory. Check out the results:

Tips for the 1×2 market for Akademija Pandev x Pelister Bitola

Is betting on Akademija Pandev worth it?

🔵 Akademija Pandev: our artificial intelligence has calculated that the probability of this event happening is around 58.94%, meanwhile the bookies are offering avarage odds of 1.68. In other words, this means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

• Would hit 590 times – profiting $401.20;
• And would lose other 410 times – having a loss of -$410.00 with them.

We are talking about a bet without profit, because after all you would have an expected final loss of 💰-$8.80.

Is it worth betting on draw?

⚪ draw: the algorithm believes the chances of this event happening are 28.58% and we have noticed that the avarage odds offered by the bookmakers are 3.45. In other words, this means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

• Would hit 290 times – this would give you a profit of $710.50
• And would have lost other 710 times – with a loss of -$710.00 because of them.

Although this bet has some value, notice that the expected profit is just 💰$0.50, which is not worth the risk in our point of view.

Is it worth betting on Pelister Bitola?

🔴 Pelister Bitola: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 12.49% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 4.44. That is, when you make 1000 bets of $1 like this one, you:

• Would hit 120 times – this would give you a profit of $412.80
• And would lose other 880 times – losing -$880.00 with them.

So this bet does not have value. After all, you would have an expected loss of 💰-$467.20.

Handicaps analysis for the match Akademija Pandev x Pelister Bitola

The handicap market is also very searched for by bettors in professional bookmakers and our model can help you with that. If you have no idea what a handicap is, do not worry! We have a complete article about the Asian handicap on sporting betting that will answer all your questions. You can click on it and leave it open on another tab so you can read later.

Take a look at what our artificial intelligence has set apart for these markets:

⚖ Handicap 1×2: -0.75 Akademija Pandev
⚽ Expected goals: 2.50 goals

Tips for the Handicap 1×2 market for Akademija Pandev x Pelister Bitola

⚖ Handicap 1×2: considering the estimates of our model, the main handicap should be -0.75 Akademija Pandev, and the current handicap offered by bookies is -0.75 Akademija Pandev.

Since there is not big differences between the handicap offered by bookies and the one suggested by our algorithm, we can consider that there is no value to bet on the Handicap 1×2 market.

Tips for the Goals Handicap market for Akademija Pandev x Pelister Bitola

⚽ Goals Handicap: our model believes that the ideal handicap is 2.50 goals and the available handicap to bet at the moment is 2.25 goals.

We can notice that the difference between the handicap predicted by the model and the one available to bet at the bookmaker is 0.25. Therefore, the recommended bet for the Goals Handicap is on: + 2.25 goals.