| π
16/1/2022 10:00 |
 Akhisarspor1.94 |
X 3.20 |
Zonguldak Komurspor  3.44 |
This is the bet from our artificial intelligence for Akhisarspor x Zonguldak Komurspor:
π Umm…what a pity! We do not have any positive expected value tips for Akhisarspor x Zonguldak Komurspor
π Check out the full analysis on Betfellows: Prognostic for Akhisarspor x Zonguldak Komurspor
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Analysis from Akhisarspor x Zonguldak Komurspor for the Turkey 2 Lig Beyaz – 16 of January
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ποΈ Akhisarspor X Zonguldak Komurspor – Turkey 2 Lig Beyaz |
When the best bet on Akhisarspor x Zonguldak Komurspor is analysed, notice that our AI model is not interested in getting the right result, but instead in looking for situations where the bookies offer us a positive expected value.
And to do so, the algorithm analysed more than 288046 matches on the database from our soccer prognostics platform, Betfellows, looking for patterns to find the probabilities of the match ending with a victory for the home team, a tie or even a victory for the away team. Getting down to these values:
Tips for the 1×2 market for Akhisarspor x Zonguldak Komurspor
Should you bet on Akhisarspor?
π΅ Akhisarspor: the algorithm believes the chances of this event happening are 49.47% and we have noticed that the avarage odds offered by the bookmakers are 1.94. This means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:
- Would hit 490 times – this would give you a profit of $460.60
- And would lose other 510 times – losing -$510.00 with them.
That is why this bet does not have value. In the end, you would have had a final loss of π°-$49.40.
Is it a good idea to bet on draw?
βͺ draw: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 30.1% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 3.20. This means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:
- Would hit 300 times – profiting $660.00;
- And would have lost other 700 times – with a loss of -$700.00 because of them.
Mathematically speaking, it is a negative expected value bet, because you would have an expected final loss of π°-$40.00.
Is it worth betting on Zonguldak Komurspor?
π΄ Zonguldak Komurspor: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 20.43% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 3.44. This means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:
- Would have hit 200 times – having a profit of $489.00;
- And would have lost other 800 times – with a loss of -$800.00 because of them.
Mathematically speaking, it is a negative expected value bet, because you would have an expected final loss of π°-$311.00.
Handicaps analysis for the match Akhisarspor x Zonguldak Komurspor
The handicap market is also very searched for by bettors in professional bookmakers and our model can help you with that. Maybe you do not even know what this is. If handicap is a 7-headed monster for you, all you have to do is click on our article about Asian handicap on soccer betting and you will find a complete material to quickly teach you how it works. Click on it and leave it open on another tab to read later..
Moving ahead we can see what the model has in store for these markets here:
β Handicap 1×2: -0.5 Akhisarspor
β½ Expected goals: 2.75 goals
Tips for the Handicap 1×2 market for Akhisarspor x Zonguldak Komurspor
β Handicap 1×2: considering the estimates of our model, the main handicap should be -0.5 Akhisarspor, and the current handicap offered by bookies is -0.5 Akhisarspor.
Since the handicap offered by bookmakers is the same as the one we got with our model, there is not any value bets on the Handicap 1×2 market.
Tips for the Goals Handicap market for Akhisarspor x Zonguldak Komurspor
β½ Goals Handicap: considering the estimates of our model, the main handicap should be 2.75 goals, and the current handicap offered by bookies is 2.50 goals.
We can notice that the difference between the handicap predicted by the model and the one available to bet at the bookmaker is 0.25. Therefore, the recommended bet for the Goals Handicap is on: + 2.50 goals.
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Written by
Humberto Alves
Hi there! You can call me Beto! I'm 32 years old, graduated in Business Management and now I'm doing my second degree in Statistics and Data Science, which is really helpful to bring the Machine Learning models applied in sports betting that you see here. Even though I'm in this betting world since 2010, there's still a lot to be learned.
> Check other content created by Humberto Alves
