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Home » Predictions » Others » Al-Ahli Manama x East Riffa Betting tips for January 9 in Bahrain Premier League
Thursday, 09 January 2025, 16h00 Bahrain Premier League
Al-Ahli Manama Al-Ahli Manama
PREDICTION Al-Ahli Manama wins Probability 72% 1 X 2
East Riffa East Riffa
ODD: @1.48 Don't miss this prediction!

Al-Ahli Manama x East Riffa Betting tips for January 9 in Bahrain Premier League

Our betting tip for Al-Ahli Manama x East Riffa, Thursday, 9/1/2025
📅 9/1/2025
16:00
Al-Ahli Manama Al-Ahli Manama
1.48
X
3.90
East Riffa East Riffa
5.67

Our algorithm has selected this tip for Al-Ahli Manama x East Riffa:

🔮 Al-Ahli Manama wins the match
💰 When you bet the bonus of $500 from Bet365 on Al-Ahli Manama, you can win up to $740.00!

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Some important points for the tip for Al-Ahli Manama x East Riffa:

👉 If you had bet $100 on Al-Ahli Manama in each of its last 5 matches as home, you would have had a loss of $-128.0.
👉 If you had bet $100 on East Riffa in each of its last 5 matches as away, you would have had a loss of $-373.0.
👉 In the last 3 matches as the home team, Al-Ahli Manama scored at least 1 goal(s).
👉 In the last 4 matches as the home team against East Riffa, Al-Ahli Manama scored at least 1 goal(s).
👉 In the last 3 matches as the away team, East Riffa conceded at least 1 goal(s).
👉 Al-Ahli Manama has not lost any of the last 4 head-to-head matches against East Riffa playing at home.
👉 It is not a good time for East Riffa as away team: it comes from 3 losses in a row in its last away matches.

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Summary

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Analysis from Al-Ahli Manama x East Riffa for the Bahrain Premier League – 9 of January

🏟️ Al-Ahli Manama X East Riffa – Bahrain Premier League
📅 9 of January, 2025 – 16:00
🔵 Al-Ahli Manama – Winning probability: 72.37% | Fair line: 1.38
Tied game – Probability of tied match: 20.72% | Fair line: 4.83
🔴 East Riffa – Winning probability: 6.90% | Fair line: 14.48
⚖ Handicap 1×2: -0.75 Al-Ahli Manama
⚽ Expected goals: 3.00 goals
⛳ Expected corner kicks: 9.00 corner kicks

Even though it may not seem intuitive, a good betting model should not seek to get the result for Al-Ahli Manama x East Riffa right, but instead show us in which events we have a positive expected value opportunity.

And to do so, the algorithm analysed more than 1243929 matches on our football database looking for patterns to find the probabilities of the match ending with a victory for the home team, a tie or even a victory for the away team. Getting down to these values:

Tips for the Match Odds market for Al-Ahli Manama x East Riffa

Is it worth betting on Al-Ahli Manama?

🔵 Al-Ahli Manama: our artificial intelligence has calculated that the probability of this event happening is around 72.37%, meanwhile the bookies are offering avarage odds of 1.48. This means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

  • Would hit 720 times – profiting $345.60;
  • And would have lost other 280 times – with a loss of -$280.00 because of them.

That is why this is a value bet. In the end, you would have had a final profit of 💰$65.60.

Is it worth betting on draw?

draw: the algorithm believes the chances of this event happening are 20.72% and we have noticed that the avarage odds offered by the bookmakers are 3.90. This means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

  • Would hit 210 times – profiting $609.00;
  • And would have lost other 790 times – with a loss of -$790.00 because of them.

Mathematically speaking, it is a negative expected value bet, because you would have an expected final loss of 💰-$181.00.

Is it a good idea to bet on East Riffa?

🔴 East Riffa: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 6.9% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 5.67. In other words, this means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

  • Would hit 70 times – profiting $326.90;
  • And would lose other 930 times – having a loss of -$930.00 with them.

We are talking about a bet without profit, because after all you would have an expected final loss of 💰-$603.10.

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Handicaps analysis for the match Al-Ahli Manama x East Riffa

The handicap market is also very searched for by bettors in professional bookmakers and our model can help you with that. Maybe you do not even know what this is. If handicap is a 7-headed monster for you, all you have to do is click on our article about Asian handicap on football betting and you will find a complete material to quickly teach you how it works. Click on it and leave it open on another tab to read later..

These are the handicaps that our algorithm analysed for you:

⚖ Handicap 1×2: -0.75 Al-Ahli Manama
⚽ Expected goals: 3.00 goals

Tips for the Handicap 1×2 market for Al-Ahli Manama x East Riffa

⚖ Handicap 1×2: considering the estimates of our model, the main handicap should be -0.75 Al-Ahli Manama, and the current handicap offered by bookies is -1.0 Al-Ahli Manama.

We can notice that the difference between the handicap predicted by the model and the one available to bet at the bookmaker is 0.25. Therefore, the recommended bet for the Handicap 1×2 is on: 1.0 East Riffa.

Tips for the Goals Handicap market for Al-Ahli Manama x East Riffa

⚽ Goals Handicap: our model believes that the ideal handicap is 3.00 goals and the available handicap to bet at the moment is 2.50 goals.

Since the difference between the handicap we calculated and the offered by the bookie is 0.50, this means that the best bet for the Goals Handicap is on: + 2.50 goals.

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Written by

Autor
Humberto Alves

Hi there! You can call me Beto! I'm 32 years old, graduated in Business Management and now I'm doing my second degree in Statistics and Data Science, which is really helpful to bring the Machine Learning models applied in sports betting that you see here. Even though I'm in this betting world since 2010, there's still a lot to be learned.

> Check other content created by Humberto Alves
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