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Home » Predictions » Others » Al Arabi Umm Al Quwain x Gulf United FC Betting tips for January 11 in UAE Division 1
Saturday, 11 January 2025, 12h55 UAE Division 1
Al Arabi Umm Al Quwain Al Arabi Umm Al Quwain
PREDICTION Al Arabi Umm Al Quwain wins Probability 89% 1 X 2
Gulf United FC Gulf United FC
ODD: @1.3 Don't miss this prediction!

Al Arabi Umm Al Quwain x Gulf United FC Betting tips for January 11 in UAE Division 1

Our betting tip for Al Arabi Umm Al Quwain x Gulf United FC, Saturday, 11/1/2025
📅 11/1/2025
12:55
Al Arabi Umm Al Quwain Al Arabi Umm Al Quwain
1.30
X
4.50
Gulf United FC Gulf United FC
8.25

This is the tip that our machine learning model has selected for Al Arabi Umm Al Quwain x Gulf United FC:

🔮 Al Arabi Umm Al Quwain wins the match
💰 When you bet the bonus of $500 from Bet365 on Al Arabi Umm Al Quwain, you can win up to $650.00!

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The main points for the tip for Al Arabi Umm Al Quwain x Gulf United FC:

👉 If you had bet $100 on Al Arabi Umm Al Quwain in each of its last 5 matches as home, you would have had a profit of $67.0.
👉 If you had bet $100 on Gulf United FC in each of its last 5 matches as away, you would have had a loss of $-500.
👉 In the last 3 Al Arabi Umm Al Quwain matches as the home team, it finished under 2.5 goals.
👉 In the last 9 matches as the away team, Gulf United FC conceded at least 1 goal(s).
👉 It is not a good time for Gulf United FC as away team: it comes from 5 losses in a row in its last away matches.

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Summary

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Analysis from Al Arabi Umm Al Quwain x Gulf United FC for the UAE Division 1 – 11 of January

🏟️ Al Arabi Umm Al Quwain X Gulf United FC – UAE Division 1
📅 11 of January, 2025 – 12:55
🔵 Al Arabi Umm Al Quwain – Winning probability: 89.13% | Fair line: 1.12
Tied game – Probability of tied match: 9.40% | Fair line: 10.63
🔴 Gulf United FC – Winning probability: 1.47% | Fair line: 68.08
⚖ Handicap 1×2: -1.75 Al Arabi Umm Al Quwain
⚽ Expected goals: 2.75 goals
⛳ Expected corner kicks: 9.50 corner kicks

When the best bet on Al Arabi Umm Al Quwain x Gulf United FC is analysed, notice that our AI model is not interested in getting the right result, but instead in looking for situations where the bookies offer us a positive expected value.

And to do so, the algorithm analysed more than 1244516 matches on our football database looking for patterns to find the probabilities of the match ending with a victory for the home team, a tie or even a victory for the away team. Getting down to these values:

Tips for the 1×2 market for Al Arabi Umm Al Quwain x Gulf United FC

Is betting on Al Arabi Umm Al Quwain worth it?

🔵 Al Arabi Umm Al Quwain: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 89.13% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 1.30. This means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

  • Would hit 890 times – profiting $267.00;
  • And would have lost other 110 times – with a loss of -$110.00 because of them.

That is why this is a value bet. In the end, you would have had a final profit of 💰$157.00.

Is betting on draw worth it?

draw: the algorithm believes the chances of this event happening are 9.4% and we have noticed that the avarage odds offered by the bookmakers are 4.50. That is, when you make 1000 bets of $1 like this one, you:

  • Would have hit 90 times – having a profit of $315.00;
  • And would have lost other 910 times – with a loss of -$910.00 because of them.

That is why this bet does not have value. In the end, you would have had a final loss of 💰-$595.00.

Is betting on Gulf United FC worth it?

🔴 Gulf United FC: the algorithm believes the chances of this event happening are 1.47% and we have noticed that the avarage odds offered by the bookmakers are 8.25. This means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

  • Would hit 10 times – this would give you a profit of $72.50
  • And would have lost other 990 times – with a loss of -$990.00 because of them.

Mathematically speaking, it is a negative expected value bet, because you would have an expected final loss of 💰-$917.50.

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Handicaps analysis for the match Al Arabi Umm Al Quwain x Gulf United FC

The handicap market is also very searched for by bettors in professional bookmakers and our model can help you with that. Maybe you do not even know what this is. If handicap is a 7-headed monster for you, all you have to do is click on our article about Asian handicap on football betting and you will find a complete material to quickly teach you how it works. Click on it and leave it open on another tab to read later..

This is what our nice robot has to tell us about these markets:

⚖ Handicap 1×2: -1.75 Al Arabi Umm Al Quwain
⚽ Expected goals: 2.75 goals

Tips for the Handicap 1×2 market for Al Arabi Umm Al Quwain x Gulf United FC

⚖ Handicap 1×2: considering the estimates of our model, the main handicap should be -1.75 Al Arabi Umm Al Quwain, and the current handicap offered by bookies is -1.5 Al Arabi Umm Al Quwain.

Since the difference between the handicap we calculated and the offered by the bookie is -0.25, this means that the best bet for the Handicap 1×2 is on: -1.5 Al Arabi Umm Al Quwain.

Tips for the Goals Handicap market for Al Arabi Umm Al Quwain x Gulf United FC

⚽ Goals Handicap: our model believes that the ideal handicap is 2.75 goals and the available handicap to bet at the moment is 2.50 goals.

Since the difference between the handicap we calculated and the offered by the bookie is 0.25, this means that the best bet for the Goals Handicap is on: + 2.50 goals.

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Written by

Autor
Humberto Alves

Hi there! You can call me Beto! I'm 32 years old, graduated in Business Management and now I'm doing my second degree in Statistics and Data Science, which is really helpful to bring the Machine Learning models applied in sports betting that you see here. Even though I'm in this betting world since 2010, there's still a lot to be learned.

> Check other content created by Humberto Alves
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