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Home » Predictions » Others » Al Bourj x Safa Beirut Betting tips for February 6 in Lebanon League
Thursday, 06 February 2025, 12h15 Lebanon League
Al Bourj Al Bourj
PREDICTION No tip
Safa Beirut Safa Beirut
Don't miss this prediction!

Al Bourj x Safa Beirut Betting tips for February 6 in Lebanon League

Our betting tip for Al Bourj x Safa Beirut, Thursday, 6/2/2025
📅 6/2/2025
12:15
Al Bourj Al Bourj
3.22
X
3.22
Safa Beirut Safa Beirut
2.21

This is the bet from our artificial intelligence for Al Bourj x Safa Beirut:

👎 Umm…too bad! We did not find any positive expected value bets for Al Bourj x Safa Beirut

Some important points for the tip for Al Bourj x Safa Beirut:

👉 If you had bet $100 on Al Bourj in each of its last 5 matches as home, you would have had a loss of $-500.
👉 If you had bet $100 on Safa Beirut in each of its last 5 matches as away, you would have had a loss of $-305.0.
👉 In the last 4 head-to-head matches between Al Bourj x Safa Beirut, with Al Bourj as the home team, they finished under 2.5 goals.

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Summary

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Analysis from Al Bourj x Safa Beirut for the Lebanon League – 6 of February

🏟️ Al Bourj X Safa Beirut – Lebanon League
📅 6 of February, 2025 – 12:15
🔵 Al Bourj – Winning probability: 19.33% | Fair line: 5.17
Tied game – Probability of tied match: 17.47% | Fair line: 5.72
🔴 Safa Beirut – Winning probability: 63.20% | Fair line: 1.58
⚖ Handicap 1×2: 0.0 Al Bourj
⚽ Expected goals: 3.00 goals
⛳ Expected corner kicks: 9.50 corner kicks

Even though it may not seem intuitive, a good betting model should not seek to get the result for Al Bourj x Safa Beirut right, but instead show us in which events we have a positive expected value opportunity.

And to do so, the algorithm analysed more than 1257960 matches on our football database looking for patterns to find the probabilities of the match ending with a victory for the home team, a tie or even a victory for the away team. Getting down to these values:

Tips for the Match Odds market for Al Bourj x Safa Beirut

Is it worth betting on Al Bourj?

🔵 Al Bourj: our artificial intelligence has calculated that the probability of this event happening is around 19.33%, meanwhile the bookies are offering avarage odds of 3.22. In other words, this means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

  • Would hit 190 times – profiting $421.80;
  • And would lose other 810 times – having a loss of -$810.00 with them.

Mathematically speaking, it is a negative expected value bet, because you would have an expected final loss of 💰-$388.20.

Is it a good idea to bet on draw?

draw: the algorithm believes the chances of this event happening are 17.47% and we have noticed that the avarage odds offered by the bookmakers are 3.22. That is, when you make 1000 bets of $1 like this one, you:

  • Would hit 170 times – this would give you a profit of $377.40
  • And would lose other 830 times – losing -$830.00 with them.

That is why this bet does not have value. In the end, you would have had a final loss of 💰-$452.60.

Should you bet on Safa Beirut?

🔴 Safa Beirut: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 63.2% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 2.21. This means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

  • Would have hit 630 times – having a profit of $762.30;
  • And would lose other 370 times – having a loss of -$370.00 with them.

So this bet does not have value. After all, you would have an expected loss of 💰-$392.30.

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Handicaps analysis for the match Al Bourj x Safa Beirut

The handicap market is also very searched for by bettors in professional bookmakers and our model can help you with that. Maybe you do not even know what this is. If handicap is a 7-headed monster for you, all you have to do is click on our article about Asian handicap on football betting and you will find a complete material to quickly teach you how it works. Click on it and leave it open on another tab to read later..

Moving ahead we can see what the model has in store for these markets here:

⚖ Handicap 1×2: 0.0 Al Bourj
⚽ Expected goals: 3.00 goals

Tips for the Handicap 1×2 market for Al Bourj x Safa Beirut

⚖ Handicap 1×2: considering the estimates of our model, the main handicap should be 0.0 Al Bourj, and the current handicap offered by bookies is +0.5 Al Bourj.

Since the difference between the handicap we calculated and the offered by the bookie is -0.50, this means that the best bet for the Handicap 1×2 is on: +0.5 Al Bourj.

Tips for the Goals Handicap market for Al Bourj x Safa Beirut

⚽ Goals Handicap: our model believes that the ideal handicap is 3.00 goals and the available handicap to bet at the moment is 2.25 goals.

We can notice that the difference between the handicap predicted by the model and the one available to bet at the bookmaker is 0.75. Therefore, the recommended bet for the Goals Handicap is on: + 2.25 goals.

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Written by

Autor
Humberto Alves

Hi there! You can call me Beto! I'm 32 years old, graduated in Business Management and now I'm doing my second degree in Statistics and Data Science, which is really helpful to bring the Machine Learning models applied in sports betting that you see here. Even though I'm in this betting world since 2010, there's still a lot to be learned.

> Check other content created by Humberto Alves
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