Al Fateh SC x Al Ittihad Jeddah Betting tips for April 17 in Saudi Arabia Pro League

Our betting tip for Al Fateh SC x Al Ittihad Jeddah, Thursday, 17/4/2025

📅 17/4/2025
18:00

Al Fateh SC
4.00

X
4.40

Al Ittihad Jeddah

1.65

Our algorithm has selected this tip for Al Fateh SC x Al Ittihad Jeddah:

🔮 Al Ittihad Jeddah wins the match
💰 When you bet the bonus of $500 from Bet365 on Al Ittihad Jeddah, you can win up to $825.00!

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Important information for your tip for Al Fateh SC x Al Ittihad Jeddah:

👉 If you had bet $100 on Al Fateh SC in each of its last 5 matches as home, you would have had a profit of $102.0.
👉 If you had bet $100 on Al Ittihad Jeddah in each of its last 5 matches as away, you would have had a loss of $-210.0.
👉 In the last 6 matches as the home team, Al Fateh SC scored at least 1 goal(s).
👉 In the last 7 matches as the away team, Al Ittihad Jeddah scored at least 1 goal(s).
👉 In the last 5 matches as the home team against Al Ittihad Jeddah, Al Fateh SC scored at least 1 goal(s).
👉 In the last 5 head-to-head matches between Al Fateh SC x Al Ittihad Jeddah, with Al Fateh SC as the home team, they finished over 2.5 goals.
👉 In the last 7 matches as the away team, Al Ittihad Jeddah conceded at least 1 goal(s).
👉 Playing as the home team, Al Fateh SC conceded at least 2 goal(s) in all the last 5 head-to-head against Al Ittihad Jeddah.
👉 In the last 5 road matches, Al Ittihad Jeddah has not lost any of them.

Summary

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Analysis from Al Fateh SC x Al Ittihad Jeddah for the Saudi Arabia Pro League – 17 of April

🏟️ Al Fateh SC X Al Ittihad Jeddah – Saudi Arabia Pro League
📅 17 of April, 2025 – 18:00
🔵 Al Fateh SC – Winning probability: 12.54% | Fair line: 7.98
⚪ Tied game – Probability of tied match: 14.02% | Fair line: 7.13
🔴 Al Ittihad Jeddah – Winning probability: 73.44% | Fair line: 1.36
⚖ Handicap 1×2: +1.0 Al Fateh SC
⚽ Expected goals: 3.50 goals
⛳ Expected corner kicks: 10.00 corner kicks

Even though it may not seem intuitive, a good betting model should not seek to get the result for Al Fateh SC x Al Ittihad Jeddah right, but instead show us in which events we have a positive expected value opportunity.

And to do so, the algorithm analysed more than 1304980 matches on our football database looking for patterns to find the probabilities of the match ending with a victory for the home team, a tie or even a victory for the away team. Getting down to these values:

Tips for the Match Odds market for Al Fateh SC x Al Ittihad Jeddah

Is it worth betting on Al Fateh SC?

🔵 Al Fateh SC: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 12.54% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 4.00. That is, when you make 1000 bets of $1 like this one, you:

Would have hit 130 times – having a profit of $390.00;
And would have lost other 870 times – with a loss of -$870.00 because of them.

That is why this bet does not have value. In the end, you would have had a final loss of 💰-$480.00.

Should you bet on draw?

⚪ draw: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 14.02% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 4.40. This means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

Would have hit 140 times – having a profit of $476.00;
And would lose other 860 times – having a loss of -$860.00 with them.

Mathematically speaking, it is a negative expected value bet, because you would have an expected final loss of 💰-$384.00.

Should you bet on Al Ittihad Jeddah?

🔴 Al Ittihad Jeddah: the algorithm believes the chances of this event happening are 73.44% and we have noticed that the avarage odds offered by the bookmakers are 1.65. That is, when you make 1000 bets of $1 like this one, you:

Would have hit 730 times – having a profit of $474.50;
And would lose other 270 times – having a loss of -$270.00 with them.

It is a value bet, since after all you would have an expected final profit of 💰$204.50.

Handicaps analysis for the match Al Fateh SC x Al Ittihad Jeddah

Maybe you prefer another approach: betting on Asian handicaps. We thought about it and our model also seeks to find the main handicaps of the most important markets. In case you do not know what handicaps are, we will solve this problem now: we sorted out the material about Asian handicap on betting so you can click and save it to learn about it on the first opportunity.

This is what our nice robot has to tell us about these markets:

⚖ Handicap 1×2: +1.0 Al Fateh SC
⚽ Expected goals: 3.50 goals

Tips for the Handicap 1×2 market for Al Fateh SC x Al Ittihad Jeddah

⚖ Handicap 1×2: considering the estimates of our model, the main handicap should be +1.0 Al Fateh SC, and the current handicap offered by bookies is +1.0 Al Fateh SC.

Since there is not big differences between the handicap offered by bookies and the one suggested by our algorithm, we can consider that there is no value to bet on the Handicap 1×2 market.

Tips for the Goals Handicap market for Al Fateh SC x Al Ittihad Jeddah

⚽ Goals Handicap: our model believes that the ideal handicap is 3.50 goals and the available handicap to bet at the moment is 3.50 goals.

Since there is not big differences between the handicap offered by bookies and the one suggested by our algorithm, we can consider that there is no value to bet on the Goals Handicap market.