Al Gharafa x Al Ain SCC Betting tips for October 1 in AFC Champions League Elite

Our betting tip for Al Gharafa x Al Ain SCC, Tuesday, 1/10/2024

📅 1/10/2024 15:00

Al Gharafa 3.90

X 3.71

Al Ain SCC 1.75

This is the bet made by our artificial intelligence for Al Gharafa x Al Ain SCC:

🔮 Al Ain SCC wins the match
💰 When you bet the bonus of $500 from Bet365 on Al Ain SCC, you can win up to $875.00!

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Important information for your tip for Al Gharafa x Al Ain SCC: 👉 If you had bet $100 on Al Gharafa in each of its last 5 matches as home, you would have had a profit of $165.0. 👉 If you had bet $100 on Al Ain SCC in each of its last 5 matches as away, you would have had a profit of $610.0. 👉 In the last 6 matches as the away team, Al Ain SCC scored at least 1 goal(s). 👉 In the last 4 Al Ain SCC matches as the away team, it finished over 2.5 goals. 👉 In the last 3 matches as the home team, Al Gharafa conceded at least 1 goal(s). 👉 In the last 4 matches as the away team, Al Ain SCC conceded at least 2 goal(s). 👉 In the last 3 road matches, Al Ain SCC has not lost any of them.

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Analysis from Al Gharafa x Al Ain SCC for the AFC Champions League Elite – 1 of October

Even though it may not seem intuitive, a good betting model should not seek to get the result for Al Gharafa x Al Ain SCC right, but instead show us in which events we have a positive expected value opportunity.

And to do so, the algorithm analysed more than 1192611 matches on our football database looking for patterns to find the probabilities of the match ending with a victory for the home team, a tie or even a victory for the away team. Getting down to these values:

Tips for the Match Odds market for Al Gharafa x Al Ain SCC

Is it a good idea to bet on Al Gharafa?

🔵 Al Gharafa: our artificial intelligence has calculated that the probability of this event happening is around 19.93%, meanwhile the bookies are offering avarage odds of 3.90. In other words, this means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

• Would have hit 200 times – having a profit of $580.00;
• And would lose other 800 times – having a loss of -$800.00 with them.

Mathematically speaking, it is a negative expected value bet, because you would have an expected final loss of 💰-$220.00.

Is it worth betting on draw?

⚪ draw: our artificial intelligence has calculated that the probability of this event happening is around 11.93%, meanwhile the bookies are offering avarage odds of 3.71. That is, when you make 1000 bets of $1 like this one, you:

• Would have hit 120 times – having a profit of $325.20;
• And would lose other 880 times – having a loss of -$880.00 with them.

Mathematically speaking, it is a negative expected value bet, because you would have an expected final loss of 💰-$554.80.

Is it a good idea to bet on Al Ain SCC?

🔴 Al Ain SCC: our artificial intelligence has calculated that the probability of this event happening is around 68.15%, meanwhile the bookies are offering avarage odds of 1.75. This means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

• Would have hit 680 times – having a profit of $510.00;
• And would lose other 320 times – losing -$320.00 with them.

It is a value bet, since after all you would have an expected final profit of 💰$190.00.

Handicaps analysis for the match Al Gharafa x Al Ain SCC

Another important market to analyse is the Asian handicaps one, our algorithm is also going to help you with that. If you have no idea what a handicap is, do not worry! We have a complete article about the Asian handicap on sporting betting that will answer all your questions. You can click on it and leave it open on another tab so you can read later.

Take a look at what our artificial intelligence has set apart for these markets:

⚖ Handicap 1×2: +0.25 Al Gharafa
⚽ Expected goals: 3.00 goals

Tips for the Handicap 1×2 market for Al Gharafa x Al Ain SCC

⚖ Handicap 1×2: our model believes that the ideal handicap is +0.25 Al Gharafa and the available handicap to bet at the moment is +0.75 Al Gharafa.

Since the difference between the handicap we calculated and the offered by the bookie is -0.50, this means that the best bet for the Handicap 1×2 is on: +0.75 Al Gharafa.

Tips for the Goals Handicap market for Al Gharafa x Al Ain SCC

⚽ Goals Handicap: considering the estimates of our model, the main handicap should be 3.00 goals, and the current handicap offered by bookies is 2.75 goals.

Since the difference between the handicap we calculated and the offered by the bookie is 0.25, this means that the best bet for the Goals Handicap is on: + 2.75 goals.