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Home » Predictions » Others » Al Gharafa x Pakhtakor Tashkent Betting tips for February 4 in AFC Champions League Elite
Tuesday, 04 February 2025, 16h00 AFC Champions League Elite
Al Gharafa Al Gharafa
PREDICTION Pakhtakor Tashkent Wins Probability 33% 1 X 2
Pakhtakor Tashkent Pakhtakor Tashkent
ODD: @4.2 Don't miss this prediction!

Al Gharafa x Pakhtakor Tashkent Betting tips for February 4 in AFC Champions League Elite

Our betting tip for Al Gharafa x Pakhtakor Tashkent, Tuesday, 4/2/2025
📅 4/2/2025
16:00
Al Gharafa Al Gharafa
1.87
X
3.34
Pakhtakor Tashkent Pakhtakor Tashkent
4.20

This is the tip that our machine learning model has selected for Al Gharafa x Pakhtakor Tashkent:

🔮 Pakhtakor Tashkent wins the match
💰 When you bet the bonus of $500 from Bet365 on Pakhtakor Tashkent, you can win up to $2100.00!

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Some important points for the tip for Al Gharafa x Pakhtakor Tashkent:

👉 If you had bet $100 on Al Gharafa in each of its last 5 matches as home, you would have had a profit of $69.0.
👉 If you had bet $100 on Pakhtakor Tashkent in each of its last 5 matches as away, you would have had a loss of $-146.0.
👉 In the last 7 matches as the home team, Al Gharafa scored at least 1 goal(s).
👉 In the last 3 Pakhtakor Tashkent matches as the away team, it finished under 2.5 goals.

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Summary

Looking for another bookie to bet on Al Gharafa x Pakhtakor Tashkent?

If you want other options of bookmakers to bet on Al Gharafa x Pakhtakor Tashkent, no problem. Right below you have the sports betting sites that we used the most in 2025. You will be in good hands on any of them, just pick your favorite and start betting:

Analysis from Al Gharafa x Pakhtakor Tashkent for the AFC Champions League Elite – 4 of February

🏟️ Al Gharafa X Pakhtakor Tashkent – AFC Champions League Elite
📅 4 of February, 2025 – 16:00
🔵 Al Gharafa – Winning probability: 43.39% | Fair line: 2.3
Tied game – Probability of tied match: 23.35% | Fair line: 4.28
🔴 Pakhtakor Tashkent – Winning probability: 33.26% | Fair line: 3.01
⚖ Handicap 1×2: 0.0 Al Gharafa
⚽ Expected goals: 2.50 goals
⛳ Expected corner kicks: 10.00 corner kicks

When the best bet on Al Gharafa x Pakhtakor Tashkent is analysed, notice that our AI model is not interested in getting the right result, but instead in looking for situations where the bookies offer us a positive expected value.

Therefore, to find the numbers, our artificial intelligence has colected information from around 1256585 matches on our betting database, in order to calculate the probabilities of this match ending with a home team victory, a tied match or even an away team victory. Check out the results:

Tips for the 1×2 market for Al Gharafa x Pakhtakor Tashkent

Is it worth betting on Al Gharafa?

🔵 Al Gharafa: the algorithm believes the chances of this event happening are 43.39% and we have noticed that the avarage odds offered by the bookmakers are 1.87. This means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

  • Would have hit 430 times – having a profit of $374.10;
  • And would have lost other 570 times – with a loss of -$570.00 because of them.

That is why this bet does not have value. In the end, you would have had a final loss of 💰-$195.90.

Should you bet on draw?

draw: our artificial intelligence has calculated that the probability of this event happening is around 23.35%, meanwhile the bookies are offering avarage odds of 3.34. In other words, this means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

  • Would hit 230 times – this would give you a profit of $538.20
  • And would lose other 770 times – losing -$770.00 with them.

We are talking about a bet without profit, because after all you would have an expected final loss of 💰-$231.80.

Is betting on Pakhtakor Tashkent worth it?

🔴 Pakhtakor Tashkent: our artificial intelligence has calculated that the probability of this event happening is around 33.26%, meanwhile the bookies are offering avarage odds of 4.20. In other words, this means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

  • Would hit 330 times – this would give you a profit of $1056.00
  • And would lose other 670 times – having a loss of -$670.00 with them.

Mathematically speaking, this is a value bet because you would have an expected final profit of 💰$386.00.

Place your Bet with Bet365 Bonus

Handicaps analysis for the match Al Gharafa x Pakhtakor Tashkent

Another important market to analyse is the Asian handicaps one, our algorithm is also going to help you with that. Maybe you do not even know what this is. If handicap is a 7-headed monster for you, all you have to do is click on our article about Asian handicap on football betting and you will find a complete material to quickly teach you how it works. Click on it and leave it open on another tab to read later..

Take a look at what our artificial intelligence has set apart for these markets:

⚖ Handicap 1×2: 0.0 Al Gharafa
⚽ Expected goals: 2.50 goals

Tips for the Handicap 1×2 market for Al Gharafa x Pakhtakor Tashkent

⚖ Handicap 1×2: considering the estimates of our model, the main handicap should be 0.0 Al Gharafa, and the current handicap offered by bookies is -0.5 Al Gharafa.

Since the difference between the handicap we calculated and the offered by the bookie is 0.50, this means that the best bet for the Handicap 1×2 is on: 0.5 Pakhtakor Tashkent.

Tips for the Goals Handicap market for Al Gharafa x Pakhtakor Tashkent

⚽ Goals Handicap: considering the estimates of our model, the main handicap should be 2.50 goals, and the current handicap offered by bookies is 2.25 goals.

Since the difference between the handicap we calculated and the offered by the bookie is 0.25, this means that the best bet for the Goals Handicap is on: + 2.25 goals.

Place your Bet with Bet365 Bonus

Written by

Autor
Humberto Alves

Hi there! You can call me Beto! I'm 32 years old, graduated in Business Management and now I'm doing my second degree in Statistics and Data Science, which is really helpful to bring the Machine Learning models applied in sports betting that you see here. Even though I'm in this betting world since 2010, there's still a lot to be learned.

> Check other content created by Humberto Alves
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