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Home » Predictions » Al Gharraf x Al Shorta SC Betting tips for February 4 in Iraq Stars League
Wednesday, 04 February 2026, 12h00 Iraq Stars League
Al Gharraf Al Gharraf
PREDICTION No tip
Al Shorta SC Al Shorta SC
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Al Gharraf x Al Shorta SC Betting tips for February 4 in Iraq Stars League

Our betting tip for Al Gharraf x Al Shorta SC, Wednesday, 4/2/2026
📅 4/2/2026
12:00
Al Gharraf Al Gharraf
3.60
X
3.19
Al Shorta SC Al Shorta SC
1.95

This is the bet from our artificial intelligence for Al Gharraf x Al Shorta SC:

👎 Unfortunately, we did not find any positive expected value bets for Al Gharraf x Al Shorta SC

Some important points for the tip for Al Gharraf x Al Shorta SC:

👉 If you had bet $100 on Al Gharraf in each of its last 5 matches as home, you would have had a loss of $-7.0.
👉 If you had bet $100 on Al Shorta SC in each of its last 5 matches as away, you would have had a loss of $-388.0.
👉 In the last 4 matches as the away team, Al Shorta SC scored at least 1 goal(s).
👉 In the last 8 matches as the away team, Al Shorta SC conceded at least 1 goal(s).
👉 In the last 3 road matches, Al Shorta SC has not lost any of them.

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Summary

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Analysis from Al Gharraf x Al Shorta SC for the Iraq Stars League – 4 of February

🏟️ Al Gharraf X Al Shorta SC – Iraq Stars League
📅 4 of February, 2026 – 12:00
🔵 Al Gharraf – Winning probability: 25.56% | Fair line: 3.91
Tied game – Probability of tied match: 25.07% | Fair line: 3.99
🔴 Al Shorta SC – Winning probability: 49.36% | Fair line: 2.03
⚖ Handicap 1×2: +0.5 Al Gharraf
⚽ Expected goals: 2.50 goals
⛳ Expected corner kicks: 9.50 corner kicks

How the handicap and odds moved for Al Gharraf x Al Shorta SC

It is always useful to analyse how the odds and the handicap behaved over time. This helps us understand where the betting market is heading and what punters expect for the match between Al Gharraf x Al Shorta SC.

Below you will see a summary that compares the opening odds with the current odds in the main markets: 1X2, handicap and goals.

📊 With a variation of 0.00%, the odds for Al Gharraf are virtually stable in relation to its opening: the market opened with odds of @3.6 for Al Gharraf and now the odds are @3.6.
📊 With a variation of 0.00%, the odds for Draw are virtually stable in relation to its opening: the market opened with odds of @3.2 for Draw and now the odds are @3.2.
📊 With a variation of 0.00%, the odds for Al Shorta SC are virtually stable in relation to its opening: the market opened with odds of @1.909 for Al Shorta SC and now the odds are @1.909.
📊 The main handicap is stable: the current handicap of 0.50 for Al Shorta SC is exactly the same from its opening.
📊 The Goal Market remains stable: the current handicap of 2.0 goals is exactly the same from its opening.

Tips for the Match Odds market for Al Gharraf x Al Shorta SC

Even though it may not seem intuitive, a good betting model should not seek to get the result for Al Gharraf x Al Shorta SC right, but instead show us in which events we have a positive expected value opportunity.

To achieve that, the algorithm analyses more than 1474414 matches from our database seeking for patterns to get to the winning probabilities for the home team, a tie or a victory for the away team. That was the conclusion from our artificial intelligence:

Should you bet on Al Gharraf?

🔵 Al Gharraf: our artificial intelligence has calculated that the probability of this event happening is around 25.56%, meanwhile the bookies are offering avarage odds of 3.60. That is, when you make 1000 bets of $1 like this one, you:

  • Would hit 260 times – this would give you a profit of $676.00
  • And would lose other 740 times – having a loss of -$740.00 with them.

Mathematically speaking, it is a negative expected value bet, because you would have an expected final loss of 💰-$64.00.

Is betting on draw worth it?

draw: our artificial intelligence has calculated that the probability of this event happening is around 25.07%, meanwhile the bookies are offering avarage odds of 3.19. That is, when you make 1000 bets of $1 like this one, you:

  • Would hit 250 times – this would give you a profit of $547.50
  • And would have lost other 750 times – with a loss of -$750.00 because of them.

Mathematically speaking, it is a negative expected value bet, because you would have an expected final loss of 💰-$202.50.

Is it a good idea to bet on Al Shorta SC?

🔴 Al Shorta SC: our artificial intelligence has calculated that the probability of this event happening is around 49.36%, meanwhile the bookies are offering avarage odds of 1.95. This means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

  • Would have hit 490 times – having a profit of $465.50;
  • And would lose other 510 times – losing -$510.00 with them.

So this bet does not have value. After all, you would have an expected loss of 💰-$44.50.

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Handicaps analysis for the match Al Gharraf x Al Shorta SC

Maybe you prefer another approach: betting on Asian handicaps. We thought about it and our model also seeks to find the main handicaps of the most important markets. If you have no idea what a handicap is, do not worry! We have a complete article about the Asian handicap on sporting betting that will answer all your questions. You can click on it and leave it open on another tab so you can read later.

Take a look at what our artificial intelligence has set apart for these markets:

⚖ Handicap 1×2: +0.5 Al Gharraf
⚽ Expected goals: 2.50 goals

Tips for the Handicap 1×2 market for Al Gharraf x Al Shorta SC

⚖ Handicap 1×2: our model believes that the ideal handicap is +0.5 Al Gharraf and the available handicap to bet at the moment is +0.5 Al Gharraf. As the handicap available on the market is the same as that indicated by our robot, we will do nothing since there is not value bets on the Handicap 1×2 market.

Tips for the Goals Handicap market for Al Gharraf x Al Shorta SC

⚽ Goals Handicap: our model believes that the ideal handicap is 2.50 goals and the available handicap to bet at the moment is 2.25 goals.

We can notice that the difference between the handicap predicted by the model and the one available to bet at the bookmaker is 0.25. Therefore, the recommended bet for the Goals Handicap is on: + 2.25 goals.

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FAQs: Frequently asked questions about the tip for Al Gharraf x Al Shorta SC

Which team is the favourite in Al Gharraf x Al Shorta SC?

Based on our calculations, the team most likely to win is Al Shorta SC, with an estimated chance of 49.36%. Remember: surprises happen in football!

Who will win: Al Gharraf x Al Shorta SC?

Keep in mind: there are no certainties in sports betting and we cannot guarantee a winner. But based on our analysis, we believe Al Shorta SC has the higher chance to win this game, with a probability of 49.36%. If you bet on Al Shorta SC, do so responsibly!

What are the chances of Al Gharraf beating Al Shorta SC today?

According to our analysis, out of every 100 games we expect Al Gharraf to win approximately 26 of them against Al Shorta SC.

What are the chances of Al Shorta SC beating Al Gharraf today?

Based on our calculations, in every 100 matches we estimate Al Shorta SC would win about 49 of those versus Al Gharraf.

Which team should I bet on: Al Gharraf or Al Shorta SC?

We did not identify an obvious positive EV bet for this game. Stay disciplined with bankroll management and avoid risking more than 2% of your funds!

How much is Al Gharraf paying today? See what you can win by betting on Al Gharraf x Al Shorta SC:

The average odds for Al Gharraf to beat Al Shorta SC today are 3.60. So a KSh1000 stake could pay KSh3600.00 if Al Gharraf wins. Bet responsibly and remember outcomes are not certain.

How much is Al Shorta SC paying today? See what you can win by betting on Al Gharraf x Al Shorta SC:

The average odds for Al Shorta SC to beat Al Gharraf today are 1.95. So a KSh1000 stake could pay KSh1950.00 if Al Shorta SC wins. Bet responsibly and remember outcomes are not certain.

Which bookmaker is best for betting on Al Gharraf x Al Shorta SC?

To bet on the match between Al Gharraf and Al Shorta SC, we recommend using licensed and reputable bookmakers. Here are three bookmakers we suggest for this fixture:

Always gamble responsibly!

Written by
Autor
Humberto Alves

Hi there! You can call me Beto! I'm 32 years old, graduated in Business Management and now I'm doing my second degree in Statistics and Data Science, which is really helpful to bring the Machine Learning models applied in sports betting that you see here. Even though I'm in this betting world since 2010, there's still a lot to be learned.

> Check other content created by Humberto Alves