📊 Check out the full analysis on Betfellows: Prognostic for Al Hilal Riyadh x Al Taawon Buraidah
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Analysis from Al Hilal Riyadh x Al Taawon Buraidah for the Saudi Arabia Premier League – 15 of January
🏟️ Al Hilal Riyadh X Al Taawon Buraidah – Saudi Arabia Premier League
A good bettor is not the one with a high hits percentage, but the one who bets on positive expected value events. Our AI model knows it very well and has looked for these opportunities for the match between Al Hilal Riyadh and Al Taawon Buraidah.
To achieve that, the algorithm analyses more than 287992 matches from Betfellows database, our collaborative prediction platform, seeking for patterns to get to the winning probabilities for the home team, a tie or a victory for the away team. That was the conclusion from our artificial intelligence:
Tips for the Match Odds market for Al Hilal Riyadh x Al Taawon Buraidah
Should you bet on Al Hilal Riyadh?
🔵 Al Hilal Riyadh: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 77.31% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 1.44. This means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:
- Would hit 770 times – profiting $338.80;
- And would lose other 230 times – losing -$230.00 with them.
That is why this is a value bet. In the end, you would have had a final profit of 💰$108.80.
Should you bet on draw?
⚪ draw: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 14.22% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 4.14. In other words, this means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:
- Would hit 140 times – profiting $439.60;
- And would lose other 860 times – having a loss of -$860.00 with them.
That is why this bet does not have value. In the end, you would have had a final loss of 💰-$420.40.
Is it a good idea to bet on Al Taawon Buraidah?
🔴 Al Taawon Buraidah: our artificial intelligence has calculated that the probability of this event happening is around 8.47%, meanwhile the bookies are offering avarage odds of 5.56. In other words, this means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:
- Would have hit 80 times – having a profit of $364.80;
- And would lose other 920 times – losing -$920.00 with them.
Mathematically speaking, it is a negative expected value bet, because you would have an expected final loss of 💰-$555.20.
Handicaps analysis for the match Al Hilal Riyadh x Al Taawon Buraidah
The handicap market is also very searched for by bettors in professional bookmakers and our model can help you with that. In case you do not know what handicaps are, we will solve this problem now: we sorted out the material about Asian handicap on betting so you can click and save it to learn about it on the first opportunity.
This is what our nice robot has to tell us about these markets:
⚖ Handicap 1×2: -1.0 Al Hilal Riyadh
⚽ Expected goals: 3.25 goals
Tips for the Handicap 1×2 market for Al Hilal Riyadh x Al Taawon Buraidah
⚖ Handicap 1×2: considering the estimates of our model, the main handicap should be -1.0 Al Hilal Riyadh, and the current handicap offered by bookies is -1.25 Al Hilal Riyadh.
Since the difference between the handicap we calculated and the offered by the bookie is 0.25, this means that the best bet for the Handicap 1×2 is on: 1.25 Al Taawon Buraidah.
Tips for the Goals Handicap market for Al Hilal Riyadh x Al Taawon Buraidah
⚽ Goals Handicap: considering the estimates of our model, the main handicap should be 3.25 goals, and the current handicap offered by bookies is 2.75 goals.
We can notice that the difference between the handicap predicted by the model and the one available to bet at the bookmaker is 0.50. Therefore, the recommended bet for the Goals Handicap is on: + 2.75 goals.
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Hi there! You can call me Beto! I'm 32 years old, graduated in Business Management and now I'm doing my second degree in Statistics and Data Science, which is really helpful to bring the Machine Learning models applied in sports betting that you see here. Even though I'm in this betting world since 2010, there's still a lot to be learned.> Check other content created by Humberto Alves