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16/1/2022 13:00 |
 Al Ittihad Kalba2.40 |
X 3.60 |
Baniyas SC  2.40 |
This is the bet made by our artificial intelligence for Al Ittihad Kalba x Baniyas SC:
๐ฎ Baniyas SC wins the match
๐ฐ When you bet the bonus of $500 from Bet365 on Baniyas SC, you can win up to $1200.00!
๐ Check out the full analysis on Betfellows: Prognostic for Al Ittihad Kalba x Baniyas SC
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Analysis from Al Ittihad Kalba x Baniyas SC for the UAE Cup – 16 of January
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๐๏ธ Al Ittihad Kalba X Baniyas SC – UAE Cup |
Even though it may not seem intuitive, a good betting model should not seek to get the result for Al Ittihad Kalba x Baniyas SC right, but instead show us in which events we have a positive expected value opportunity.
Therefore, to find the numbers, our artificial intelligence has colected information from around 288046 matches on the betting prognostics platform Betfellows , in order to calculate the probabilities of this match ending with a home team victory, a tied match or even an away team victory. Check out the results:
Tips for the Match Odds market for Al Ittihad Kalba x Baniyas SC
Should you bet on Al Ittihad Kalba?
๐ต Al Ittihad Kalba: the algorithm believes the chances of this event happening are 27.13% and we have noticed that the avarage odds offered by the bookmakers are 2.40. That is, when you make 1000 bets of $1 like this one, you:
- Would have hit 270 times – having a profit of $378.00;
- And would have lost other 730 times – with a loss of -$730.00 because of them.
We are talking about a bet without profit, because after all you would have an expected final loss of ๐ฐ-$352.00.
Is it a good idea to bet on draw?
โช draw: the algorithm believes the chances of this event happening are 27.3% and we have noticed that the avarage odds offered by the bookmakers are 3.60. This means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:
- Would hit 270 times – this would give you a profit of $702.00
- And would have lost other 730 times – with a loss of -$730.00 because of them.
Mathematically speaking, it is a negative expected value bet, because you would have an expected final loss of ๐ฐ-$28.00.
Is it worth betting on Baniyas SC?
๐ด Baniyas SC: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 45.57% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 2.40. That is, when you make 1000 bets of $1 like this one, you:
- Would hit 460 times – this would give you a profit of $644.00
- And would lose other 540 times – having a loss of -$540.00 with them.
That is why this is a value bet. In the end, you would have had a final profit of ๐ฐ$104.00.
Handicaps analysis for the match Al Ittihad Kalba x Baniyas SC
Another important market to analyse is the Asian handicaps one, our algorithm is also going to help you with that. If you have no idea what a handicap is, do not worry! We have a complete article about the Asian handicap on sporting betting that will answer all your questions. You can click on it and leave it open on another tab so you can read later.
Take a look at what our artificial intelligence has set apart for these markets:
โ Handicap 1×2: 0.0 Al Ittihad Kalba
โฝ Expected goals: 3.00 goals
Tips for the Handicap 1×2 market for Al Ittihad Kalba x Baniyas SC
โ Handicap 1×2: considering the estimates of our model, the main handicap should be 0.0 Al Ittihad Kalba, and the current handicap offered by bookies is 0.0 Al Ittihad Kalba. As the handicap available on the market is the same as that indicated by our robot, we will do nothing since there is not value bets on the Handicap 1×2 market.
Tips for the Goals Handicap market for Al Ittihad Kalba x Baniyas SC
โฝ Goals Handicap: our model believes that the ideal handicap is 3.00 goals and the available handicap to bet at the moment is 3.00 goals.
Since there is not big differences between the handicap offered by bookies and the one suggested by our algorithm, we can consider that there is no value to bet on the Goals Handicap market.
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Written by
Humberto Alves
Hi there! You can call me Beto! I'm 32 years old, graduated in Business Management and now I'm doing my second degree in Statistics and Data Science, which is really helpful to bring the Machine Learning models applied in sports betting that you see here. Even though I'm in this betting world since 2010, there's still a lot to be learned.
> Check other content created by Humberto Alves
