📊 Check out the analysis from this match on Betfellows: Complete prognostic for Al Jabalain x Al Orubah
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Analysis from Al Jabalain x Al Orubah for the Saudi Arabia Division 1 – 18 of January
🏟️ Al Jabalain X Al Orubah – Saudi Arabia Division 1
A good bettor is not the one with a high hits percentage, but the one who bets on positive expected value events. Our AI model knows it very well and has looked for these opportunities for the match between Al Jabalain and Al Orubah.
To achieve that, the algorithm analyses more than 288868 matches from Betfellows database, our collaborative prediction platform, seeking for patterns to get to the winning probabilities for the home team, a tie or a victory for the away team. That was the conclusion from our artificial intelligence:
Tips for the Match Odds market for Al Jabalain x Al Orubah
Is betting on Al Jabalain worth it?
🔵 Al Jabalain: our artificial intelligence has calculated that the probability of this event happening is around 48.93%, meanwhile the bookies are offering avarage odds of 1.85. That is, when you make 1000 bets of $1 like this one, you:
- Would hit 490 times – profiting $416.50;
- And would lose other 510 times – losing -$510.00 with them.
We are talking about a bet without profit, because after all you would have an expected final loss of 💰-$93.50.
Is it a good idea to bet on draw?
⚪ draw: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 28.38% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 3.20. This means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:
- Would hit 280 times – profiting $616.00;
- And would have lost other 720 times – with a loss of -$720.00 because of them.
That is why this bet does not have value. In the end, you would have had a final loss of 💰-$104.00.
Should you bet on Al Orubah?
🔴 Al Orubah: the algorithm believes the chances of this event happening are 22.68% and we have noticed that the avarage odds offered by the bookmakers are 4.00. That is, when you make 1000 bets of $1 like this one, you:
- Would have hit 230 times – having a profit of $690.00;
- And would lose other 770 times – losing -$770.00 with them.
So this bet does not have value. After all, you would have an expected loss of 💰-$80.00.
Handicaps analysis for the match Al Jabalain x Al Orubah
The handicap market is also very searched for by bettors in professional bookmakers and our model can help you with that. If you have no idea what a handicap is, do not worry! We have a complete article about the Asian handicap on sporting betting that will answer all your questions. You can click on it and leave it open on another tab so you can read later.
Moving ahead we can see what the model has in store for these markets here:
⚖ Handicap 1×2: 0.0 Al Jabalain
⚽ Expected goals: 2.25 goals
Tips for the Handicap 1×2 market for Al Jabalain x Al Orubah
⚖ Handicap 1×2: considering the estimates of our model, the main handicap should be 0.0 Al Jabalain, and the current handicap offered by bookies is -0.5 Al Jabalain.
We can notice that the difference between the handicap predicted by the model and the one available to bet at the bookmaker is 0.50. Therefore, the recommended bet for the Handicap 1×2 is on: 0.5 Al Orubah.
Tips for the Goals Handicap market for Al Jabalain x Al Orubah
⚽ Goals Handicap: considering the estimates of our model, the main handicap should be 2.25 goals, and the current handicap offered by bookies is 2.25 goals.
The handicap that our algorithm found is the same as the bookies, which means that there is not any value to bet on the Goals Handicap market.
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Hi there! You can call me Beto! I'm 32 years old, graduated in Business Management and now I'm doing my second degree in Statistics and Data Science, which is really helpful to bring the Machine Learning models applied in sports betting that you see here. Even though I'm in this betting world since 2010, there's still a lot to be learned.> Check other content created by Humberto Alves