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Home Β» Predictions Β» Al Jabalain x Al Zulfi Betting tips for September 30 in Saudi Arabia Division 1
Monday, 30 September 2024, 12h35 Saudi Arabia Division 1
Al Jabalain Al Jabalain
PREDICTION No tip
Al Zulfi Al Zulfi
Don't miss this prediction!

Al Jabalain x Al Zulfi Betting tips for September 30 in Saudi Arabia Division 1

Our betting tip for Al Jabalain x Al Zulfi, Monday, 30/9/2024
πŸ“… 30/9/2024
12:35
Al Jabalain Al Jabalain
1.78
X
3.32
Al Zulfi Al Zulfi
3.96

Our algorithm has selected this tip for Al Jabalain x Al Zulfi:

πŸ‘Ž Umm…too bad! We did not find any positive expected value bets for Al Jabalain x Al Zulfi

Some important points for the tip for Al Jabalain x Al Zulfi:

πŸ‘‰ If you had bet $100 on Al Jabalain in each of its last 5 matches as home, you would have had a profit of $335.0.
πŸ‘‰ If you had bet $100 on Al Zulfi in each of its last 5 matches as away, you would have had a profit of $90.0.
πŸ‘‰ In the last 3 Al Zulfi matches as the away team, it finished over 2.5 goals.

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Summary

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Analysis from Al Jabalain x Al Zulfi for the Saudi Arabia Division 1 – 30 of September

🏟️ Al Jabalain X Al Zulfi – Saudi Arabia Division 1
πŸ“… 30 of September, 2024 – 12:35
πŸ”΅ Al Jabalain – Winning probability: 56.68% | Fair line: 1.76
βšͺ Tied game – Probability of tied match: 25.40% | Fair line: 3.94
πŸ”΄ Al Zulfi – Winning probability: 17.92% | Fair line: 5.58
βš– Handicap 1×2: -0.5 Al Jabalain
⚽ Expected goals: 2.25 goals
β›³ Expected corner kicks: 8.75 corner kicks

Even though it may not seem intuitive, a good betting model should not seek to get the result for Al Jabalain x Al Zulfi right, but instead show us in which events we have a positive expected value opportunity.

And to do so, the algorithm analysed more than 1191189 matches on our football database looking for patterns to find the probabilities of the match ending with a victory for the home team, a tie or even a victory for the away team. Getting down to these values:

Tips for the Match Odds market for Al Jabalain x Al Zulfi

Is it worth betting on Al Jabalain?

πŸ”΅ Al Jabalain: the algorithm believes the chances of this event happening are 56.68% and we have noticed that the avarage odds offered by the bookmakers are 1.78. In other words, this means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

  • Would have hit 570 times – having a profit of $444.60;
  • And would lose other 430 times – losing -$430.00 with them.

Even if it is a positive expected value bet, the expected profit is just πŸ’°$14.60 which is not worth the risk in our opinion.

Is it worth betting on draw?

βšͺ draw: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 25.4% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 3.32. That is, when you make 1000 bets of $1 like this one, you:

  • Would have hit 250 times – having a profit of $580.00;
  • And would have lost other 750 times – with a loss of -$750.00 because of them.

Mathematically speaking, it is a negative expected value bet, because you would have an expected final loss of πŸ’°-$170.00.

Is betting on Al Zulfi worth it?

πŸ”΄ Al Zulfi: our artificial intelligence has calculated that the probability of this event happening is around 17.92%, meanwhile the bookies are offering avarage odds of 3.96. That is, when you make 1000 bets of $1 like this one, you:

  • Would hit 180 times – this would give you a profit of $532.80
  • And would lose other 820 times – losing -$820.00 with them.

That is why this bet does not have value. In the end, you would have had a final loss of πŸ’°-$287.20.

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Handicaps analysis for the match Al Jabalain x Al Zulfi

Another important market to analyse is the Asian handicaps one, our algorithm is also going to help you with that. Maybe you do not even know what this is. If handicap is a 7-headed monster for you, all you have to do is click on our article about Asian handicap on football betting and you will find a complete material to quickly teach you how it works. Click on it and leave it open on another tab to read later..

Moving ahead we can see what the model has in store for these markets here:

βš– Handicap 1×2: -0.5 Al Jabalain
⚽ Expected goals: 2.25 goals

Tips for the Handicap 1×2 market for Al Jabalain x Al Zulfi

βš– Handicap 1×2: our model believes that the ideal handicap is -0.5 Al Jabalain and the available handicap to bet at the moment is -0.5 Al Jabalain.

The handicap that our algorithm found is the same as the bookies, which means that there is not any value to bet on the Handicap 1×2 market.

Tips for the Goals Handicap market for Al Jabalain x Al Zulfi

⚽ Goals Handicap: our model believes that the ideal handicap is 2.25 goals and the available handicap to bet at the moment is 2.50 goals.

We can notice that the difference between the handicap predicted by the model and the one available to bet at the bookmaker is -0.25. Therefore, the recommended bet for the Goals Handicap is on: – 2.50 goals.

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Written by

Autor
Humberto Alves

Hi there! You can call me Beto! I'm 32 years old, graduated in Business Management and now I'm doing my second degree in Statistics and Data Science, which is really helpful to bring the Machine Learning models applied in sports betting that you see here. Even though I'm in this betting world since 2010, there's still a lot to be learned.

> Check other content created by Humberto Alves
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