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18/1/2022 14:50 |
 Al Jeel2.90 |
X 2.94 |
Al Khaleej Saihat  2.37 |
This is the tip that our machine learning model has selected for Al Jeel x Al Khaleej Saihat:
๐ฎ Tied Match
๐ฐ When you bet the bonus of $500 from Bet365 on a tie, you can win up to $1467.50!
๐ Check out the full analysis on Betfellows: Prognostic for Al Jeel x Al Khaleej Saihat
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Analysis from Al Jeel x Al Khaleej Saihat for the Saudi Arabia Division 1 – 18 of January
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๐๏ธ Al Jeel X Al Khaleej Saihat – Saudi Arabia Division 1 |
Even though it may not seem intuitive, a good betting model should not seek to get the result for Al Jeel x Al Khaleej Saihat right, but instead show us in which events we have a positive expected value opportunity.
To achieve that, the algorithm analyses more than 288868 matches from Betfellows database, our collaborative prediction platform, seeking for patterns to get to the winning probabilities for the home team, a tie or a victory for the away team. That was the conclusion from our artificial intelligence:
Tips for the 1×2 market for Al Jeel x Al Khaleej Saihat
Should you bet on Al Jeel?
๐ต Al Jeel: the algorithm believes the chances of this event happening are 19.35% and we have noticed that the avarage odds offered by the bookmakers are 2.90. In other words, this means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:
- Would hit 190 times – profiting $361.95;
- And would lose other 810 times – having a loss of -$810.00 with them.
That is why this bet does not have value. In the end, you would have had a final loss of ๐ฐ-$448.05.
Is betting on draw worth it?
โช draw: the algorithm believes the chances of this event happening are 42.71% and we have noticed that the avarage odds offered by the bookmakers are 2.94. That is, when you make 1000 bets of $1 like this one, you:
- Would have hit 430 times – having a profit of $832.05;
- And would have lost other 570 times – with a loss of -$570.00 because of them.
Mathematically speaking, this is a value bet because you would have an expected final profit of ๐ฐ$262.05.
Should you bet on Al Khaleej Saihat?
๐ด Al Khaleej Saihat: the algorithm believes the chances of this event happening are 37.94% and we have noticed that the avarage odds offered by the bookmakers are 2.37. In other words, this means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:
- Would have hit 380 times – having a profit of $520.60;
- And would have lost other 620 times – with a loss of -$620.00 because of them.
So this bet does not have value. After all, you would have an expected loss of ๐ฐ-$99.40.
Handicaps analysis for the match Al Jeel x Al Khaleej Saihat
Maybe you prefer another approach: betting on Asian handicaps. We thought about it and our model also seeks to find the main handicaps of the most important markets. Maybe you do not even know what this is. If handicap is a 7-headed monster for you, all you have to do is click on our article about Asian handicap on soccer betting and you will find a complete material to quickly teach you how it works. Click on it and leave it open on another tab to read later..
Take a look at what our artificial intelligence has set apart for these markets:
โ Handicap 1×2: +0.25 Al Jeel
โฝ Expected goals: 2.50 goals
Tips for the Handicap 1×2 market for Al Jeel x Al Khaleej Saihat
โ Handicap 1×2: considering the estimates of our model, the main handicap should be +0.25 Al Jeel, and the current handicap offered by bookies is +0.25 Al Jeel.
The handicap that our algorithm found is the same as the bookies, which means that there is not any value to bet on the Handicap 1×2 market.
Tips for the Goals Handicap market for Al Jeel x Al Khaleej Saihat
โฝ Goals Handicap: considering the estimates of our model, the main handicap should be 2.50 goals, and the current handicap offered by bookies is 2.25 goals.
We can notice that the difference between the handicap predicted by the model and the one available to bet at the bookmaker is 0.25. Therefore, the recommended bet for the Goals Handicap is on: + 2.25 goals.
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Written by
Humberto Alves
Hi there! You can call me Beto! I'm 32 years old, graduated in Business Management and now I'm doing my second degree in Statistics and Data Science, which is really helpful to bring the Machine Learning models applied in sports betting that you see here. Even though I'm in this betting world since 2010, there's still a lot to be learned.
> Check other content created by Humberto Alves
