Al Karma x Al Zawraa Betting tips for November 25 in Iraq League
| 📅 25/11/2024 11:30 |
 Al Karma4.00 |
X 3.40 |
Al Zawraa  1.77 |
This is the bet made by our artificial intelligence for Al Karma x Al Zawraa:
🔮 Al Zawraa wins the match
💰 When you bet the bonus of $500 from Bet365 on Al Zawraa, you can win up to $885.00!
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Important information for your tip for Al Karma x Al Zawraa: 👉 If you had bet $100 on Al Karma in each of its last 3 matches as home, you would have had a profit of $140.0. |
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Analysis from Al Karma x Al Zawraa for the Iraq League – 25 of November
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🏟️ Al Karma X Al Zawraa – Iraq League |
Even though it may not seem intuitive, a good betting model should not seek to get the result for Al Karma x Al Zawraa right, but instead show us in which events we have a positive expected value opportunity.
And to do so, the algorithm analysed more than 1226828 matches on our football database looking for patterns to find the probabilities of the match ending with a victory for the home team, a tie or even a victory for the away team. Getting down to these values:
Tips for the 1×2 market for Al Karma x Al Zawraa
Is it a good idea to bet on Al Karma?
🔵 Al Karma: the algorithm believes the chances of this event happening are 6.9% and we have noticed that the avarage odds offered by the bookmakers are 4.00. In other words, this means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:
- Would hit 70 times – this would give you a profit of $210.00
- And would lose other 930 times – losing -$930.00 with them.
Mathematically speaking, it is a negative expected value bet, because you would have an expected final loss of 💰-$720.00.
Should you bet on draw?
⚪ draw: our artificial intelligence has calculated that the probability of this event happening is around 12.5%, meanwhile the bookies are offering avarage odds of 3.40. In other words, this means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:
- Would hit 130 times – profiting $312.00;
- And would have lost other 870 times – with a loss of -$870.00 because of them.
So this bet does not have value. After all, you would have an expected loss of 💰-$558.00.
Is it worth betting on Al Zawraa?
🔴 Al Zawraa: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 80.59% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 1.77. That is, when you make 1000 bets of $1 like this one, you:
- Would hit 810 times – profiting $623.70;
- And would lose other 190 times – having a loss of -$190.00 with them.
That is why this is a value bet. In the end, you would have had a final profit of 💰$433.70.
Handicaps analysis for the match Al Karma x Al Zawraa
Another approach is trying to find the fair handicap for the main markets and our machine learning model will also give you a helping hand with that. In case you do not know what handicaps are, we will solve this problem now: we sorted out the material about Asian handicap on betting so you can click and save it to learn about it on the first opportunity.
These are the handicaps that our algorithm analysed for you:
⚖ Handicap 1×2: +0.75 Al Karma
⚽ Expected goals: 2.50 goals
Tips for the Handicap 1×2 market for Al Karma x Al Zawraa
⚖ Handicap 1×2: considering the estimates of our model, the main handicap should be +0.75 Al Karma, and the current handicap offered by bookies is +0.5 Al Karma.
We can notice that the difference between the handicap predicted by the model and the one available to bet at the bookmaker is 0.25. Therefore, the recommended bet for the Handicap 1×2 is on: -0.5 Al Zawraa.
Tips for the Goals Handicap market for Al Karma x Al Zawraa
⚽ Goals Handicap: our model believes that the ideal handicap is 2.50 goals and the available handicap to bet at the moment is 2.25 goals.
We can notice that the difference between the handicap predicted by the model and the one available to bet at the bookmaker is 0.25. Therefore, the recommended bet for the Goals Handicap is on: + 2.25 goals.
