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17/1/2022 12:40 |
 Al Kholood2.93 |
X 2.90 |
Hajer  2.35 |
Our algorithm has selected this tip for Al Kholood x Hajer:
๐ฎ Tied Match
๐ฐ When you bet the bonus of $500 from Bet365 on a tie, you can win up to $1450.00!
๐ Check out the full analysis on Betfellows: Prognostic for Al Kholood x Hajer
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Analysis from Al Kholood x Hajer for the Saudi Arabia Division 1 – 17 of January
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๐๏ธ Al Kholood X Hajer – Saudi Arabia Division 1 |
Even though it may not seem intuitive, a good betting model should not seek to get the result for Al Kholood x Hajer right, but instead show us in which events we have a positive expected value opportunity.
To achieve that, the algorithm analyses more than 288303 matches from Betfellows database, our collaborative prediction platform, seeking for patterns to get to the winning probabilities for the home team, a tie or a victory for the away team. That was the conclusion from our artificial intelligence:
Tips for the 1×2 market for Al Kholood x Hajer
Is it worth betting on Al Kholood?
๐ต Al Kholood: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 26.8% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 2.93. This means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:
- Would hit 270 times – profiting $521.10;
- And would have lost other 730 times – with a loss of -$730.00 because of them.
That is why this bet does not have value. In the end, you would have had a final loss of ๐ฐ-$208.90.
Is it worth betting on draw?
โช draw: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 38.98% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 2.90. This means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:
- Would have hit 390 times – having a profit of $741.00;
- And would have lost other 610 times – with a loss of -$610.00 because of them.
Mathematically speaking, this is a value bet because you would have an expected final profit of ๐ฐ$131.00.
Should you bet on Hajer?
๐ด Hajer: the algorithm believes the chances of this event happening are 34.22% and we have noticed that the avarage odds offered by the bookmakers are 2.35. In other words, this means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:
- Would hit 340 times – this would give you a profit of $457.30
- And would lose other 660 times – having a loss of -$660.00 with them.
That is why this bet does not have value. In the end, you would have had a final loss of ๐ฐ-$202.70.
Handicaps analysis for the match Al Kholood x Hajer
Maybe you prefer another approach: betting on Asian handicaps. We thought about it and our model also seeks to find the main handicaps of the most important markets. In case you do not know what handicaps are, we will solve this problem now: we sorted out the material about Asian handicap on betting so you can click and save it to learn about it on the first opportunity.
Take a look at what our artificial intelligence has set apart for these markets:
โ Handicap 1×2: +0.5 Al Kholood
โฝ Expected goals: 2.50 goals
Tips for the Handicap 1×2 market for Al Kholood x Hajer
โ Handicap 1×2: considering the estimates of our model, the main handicap should be +0.5 Al Kholood, and the current handicap offered by bookies is +0.25 Al Kholood.
Since the difference between the handicap we calculated and the offered by the bookie is 0.25, this means that the best bet for the Handicap 1×2 is on: -0.25 Hajer.
Tips for the Goals Handicap market for Al Kholood x Hajer
โฝ Goals Handicap: our model believes that the ideal handicap is 2.50 goals and the available handicap to bet at the moment is 2.25 goals.
Since the difference between the handicap we calculated and the offered by the bookie is 0.25, this means that the best bet for the Goals Handicap is on: + 2.25 goals.
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Written by
Humberto Alves
Hi there! You can call me Beto! I'm 32 years old, graduated in Business Management and now I'm doing my second degree in Statistics and Data Science, which is really helpful to bring the Machine Learning models applied in sports betting that you see here. Even though I'm in this betting world since 2010, there's still a lot to be learned.
> Check other content created by Humberto Alves
