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17/1/2022 14:45 |
 Al Nahdha3.00 |
X 2.90 |
Al Qadisiya Al Khubar  2.26 |
This is the tip that our machine learning model has selected for Al Nahdha x Al Qadisiya Al Khubar:
๐ฎ Tied Match
๐ฐ When you bet the bonus of $500 from Bet365 on a tie, you can win up to $1450.00!
๐ Check out the analysis on Betfellows for this match: Full prognostic for Al Nahdha x Al Qadisiya Al Khubar
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Analysis from Al Nahdha x Al Qadisiya Al Khubar for the Saudi Arabia Division 1 – 17 of January
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๐๏ธ Al Nahdha X Al Qadisiya Al Khubar – Saudi Arabia Division 1 |
A good bettor is not the one with a high hits percentage, but the one who bets on positive expected value events. Our AI model knows it very well and has looked for these opportunities for the match between Al Nahdha and Al Qadisiya Al Khubar.
And to do so, the algorithm analysed more than 288303 matches on the database from our soccer prognostics platform, Betfellows, looking for patterns to find the probabilities of the match ending with a victory for the home team, a tie or even a victory for the away team. Getting down to these values:
Tips for the 1×2 market for Al Nahdha x Al Qadisiya Al Khubar
Should you bet on Al Nahdha?
๐ต Al Nahdha: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 23.89% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 3.00. That is, when you make 1000 bets of $1 like this one, you:
- Would hit 240 times – this would give you a profit of $480.00
- And would lose other 760 times – losing -$760.00 with them.
We are talking about a bet without profit, because after all you would have an expected final loss of ๐ฐ-$280.00.
Is betting on draw worth it?
โช draw: our artificial intelligence has calculated that the probability of this event happening is around 37.05%, meanwhile the bookies are offering avarage odds of 2.90. That is, when you make 1000 bets of $1 like this one, you:
- Would hit 370 times – this would give you a profit of $703.00
- And would lose other 630 times – having a loss of -$630.00 with them.
It is a value bet, since after all you would have an expected final profit of ๐ฐ$73.00.
Should you bet on Al Qadisiya Al Khubar?
๐ด Al Qadisiya Al Khubar: the algorithm believes the chances of this event happening are 39.06% and we have noticed that the avarage odds offered by the bookmakers are 2.26. In other words, this means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:
- Would hit 390 times – this would give you a profit of $491.40
- And would lose other 610 times – having a loss of -$610.00 with them.
We are talking about a bet without profit, because after all you would have an expected final loss of ๐ฐ-$118.60.
Handicaps analysis for the match Al Nahdha x Al Qadisiya Al Khubar
Another important market to analyse is the Asian handicaps one, our algorithm is also going to help you with that. Maybe you do not even know what this is. If handicap is a 7-headed monster for you, all you have to do is click on our article about Asian handicap on soccer betting and you will find a complete material to quickly teach you how it works. Click on it and leave it open on another tab to read later..
Moving ahead we can see what the model has in store for these markets here:
โ Handicap 1×2: +0.5 Al Nahdha
โฝ Expected goals: 2.75 goals
Tips for the Handicap 1×2 market for Al Nahdha x Al Qadisiya Al Khubar
โ Handicap 1×2: considering the estimates of our model, the main handicap should be +0.5 Al Nahdha, and the current handicap offered by bookies is +0.25 Al Nahdha.
We can notice that the difference between the handicap predicted by the model and the one available to bet at the bookmaker is 0.25. Therefore, the recommended bet for the Handicap 1×2 is on: -0.25 Al Qadisiya Al Khubar.
Tips for the Goals Handicap market for Al Nahdha x Al Qadisiya Al Khubar
โฝ Goals Handicap: considering the estimates of our model, the main handicap should be 2.75 goals, and the current handicap offered by bookies is 2.25 goals.
We can notice that the difference between the handicap predicted by the model and the one available to bet at the bookmaker is 0.50. Therefore, the recommended bet for the Goals Handicap is on: + 2.25 goals.
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Written by
Humberto Alves
Hi there! You can call me Beto! I'm 32 years old, graduated in Business Management and now I'm doing my second degree in Statistics and Data Science, which is really helpful to bring the Machine Learning models applied in sports betting that you see here. Even though I'm in this betting world since 2010, there's still a lot to be learned.
> Check other content created by Humberto Alves
