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Home » Predictions » Al Najaf x Al Karkh Betting tips for February 4 in Iraq Stars League
Tuesday, 04 February 2025, 14h00 Iraq Stars League
Al Najaf Al Najaf
PREDICTION Al Najaf wins Probability 75% 1 X 2
Al Karkh Al Karkh
ODD: @1.75 Don't miss this prediction!

Al Najaf x Al Karkh Betting tips for February 4 in Iraq Stars League

Our betting tip for Al Najaf x Al Karkh, Tuesday, 4/2/2025
📅 4/2/2025
14:00
Al Najaf Al Najaf
1.75
X
3.40
Al Karkh Al Karkh
4.17

This is the bet made by our artificial intelligence for Al Najaf x Al Karkh:

🔮 Al Najaf wins the match
💰 When you bet the bonus of $500 from Bet365 on Al Najaf, you can win up to $875.00!

Or access: https://www.bet365.com
 

Some important points for the tip for Al Najaf x Al Karkh:

👉 If you had bet $100 on Al Najaf in each of its last 5 matches as home, you would have had a profit of $358.0.
👉 If you had bet $100 on Al Karkh in each of its last 5 matches as away, you would have had a loss of $-80.0.
👉 In the last 5 Al Karkh matches as the away team, it finished under 2.5 goals.

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Summary

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Analysis from Al Najaf x Al Karkh for the Iraq Stars League – 4 of February

🏟️ Al Najaf X Al Karkh – Iraq Stars League
📅 4 of February, 2025 – 14:00
🔵 Al Najaf – Winning probability: 75.97% | Fair line: 1.32
Tied game – Probability of tied match: 19.17% | Fair line: 5.22
🔴 Al Karkh – Winning probability: 4.85% | Fair line: 20.6
⚖ Handicap 1×2: -0.75 Al Najaf
⚽ Expected goals: 2.50 goals
⛳ Expected corner kicks: 9.75 corner kicks

Even though it may not seem intuitive, a good betting model should not seek to get the result for Al Najaf x Al Karkh right, but instead show us in which events we have a positive expected value opportunity.

And to do so, the algorithm analysed more than 1256585 matches on our football database looking for patterns to find the probabilities of the match ending with a victory for the home team, a tie or even a victory for the away team. Getting down to these values:

Tips for the Match Odds market for Al Najaf x Al Karkh

Should you bet on Al Najaf?

🔵 Al Najaf: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 75.97% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 1.75. This means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

  • Would hit 760 times – profiting $570.00;
  • And would have lost other 240 times – with a loss of -$240.00 because of them.

So this is a value bet. After all, at the end of these bets, you would have an expected profit of 💰$330.00.

Is it a good idea to bet on draw?

draw: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 19.17% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 3.40. This means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

  • Would hit 190 times – this would give you a profit of $456.00
  • And would lose other 810 times – having a loss of -$810.00 with them.

That is why this bet does not have value. In the end, you would have had a final loss of 💰-$354.00.

Is it a good idea to bet on Al Karkh?

🔴 Al Karkh: our artificial intelligence has calculated that the probability of this event happening is around 4.85%, meanwhile the bookies are offering avarage odds of 4.17. In other words, this means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

  • Would hit 50 times – profiting $158.50;
  • And would lose other 950 times – having a loss of -$950.00 with them.

We are talking about a bet without profit, because after all you would have an expected final loss of 💰-$791.50.

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Handicaps analysis for the match Al Najaf x Al Karkh

Another important market to analyse is the Asian handicaps one, our algorithm is also going to help you with that. Maybe you do not even know what this is. If handicap is a 7-headed monster for you, all you have to do is click on our article about Asian handicap on football betting and you will find a complete material to quickly teach you how it works. Click on it and leave it open on another tab to read later..

This is what our nice robot has to tell us about these markets:

⚖ Handicap 1×2: -0.75 Al Najaf
⚽ Expected goals: 2.50 goals

Tips for the Handicap 1×2 market for Al Najaf x Al Karkh

⚖ Handicap 1×2: our model believes that the ideal handicap is -0.75 Al Najaf and the available handicap to bet at the moment is -0.75 Al Najaf.

The handicap that our algorithm found is the same as the bookies, which means that there is not any value to bet on the Handicap 1×2 market.

Tips for the Goals Handicap market for Al Najaf x Al Karkh

⚽ Goals Handicap: considering the estimates of our model, the main handicap should be 2.50 goals, and the current handicap offered by bookies is 2.50 goals.

The handicap that our algorithm found is the same as the bookies, which means that there is not any value to bet on the Goals Handicap market.

Place your Bet with Bet365 Bonus

Written by

Autor
Humberto Alves

Hi there! You can call me Beto! I'm 32 years old, graduated in Business Management and now I'm doing my second degree in Statistics and Data Science, which is really helpful to bring the Machine Learning models applied in sports betting that you see here. Even though I'm in this betting world since 2010, there's still a lot to be learned.

> Check other content created by Humberto Alves
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