Al Najaf x Naft Maysan Betting tips for November 26 in Iraq League
| 📅 26/11/2024 14:15 |
 Al Najaf2.09 |
X 2.90 |
Naft Maysan  3.40 |
This is the bet made by our artificial intelligence for Al Najaf x Naft Maysan:
👎 Umm…what a pity! We do not have any positive expected value tips for Al Najaf x Naft Maysan
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Some important points for the tip for Al Najaf x Naft Maysan: 👉 If you had bet $100 on Al Najaf in each of its last 5 matches as home, you would have had a loss of $-203.0. |
Do you want more options of bookies to bet on Al Najaf x Naft Maysan?
If you want other options of bookmakers to bet on Al Najaf x Naft Maysan, no problem. Right below you have the sports betting sites that we used the most in 2024. You will be in good hands on any of them, just pick your favorite and start betting:
Analysis from Al Najaf x Naft Maysan for the Iraq League – 26 of November
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🏟️ Al Najaf X Naft Maysan – Iraq League |
Even though it may not seem intuitive, a good betting model should not seek to get the result for Al Najaf x Naft Maysan right, but instead show us in which events we have a positive expected value opportunity.
And to do so, the algorithm analysed more than 1227868 matches on our football database looking for patterns to find the probabilities of the match ending with a victory for the home team, a tie or even a victory for the away team. Getting down to these values:
Tips for the Match Odds market for Al Najaf x Naft Maysan
Is it a good idea to bet on Al Najaf?
🔵 Al Najaf: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 45.68% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 2.09. In other words, this means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:
- Would hit 460 times – profiting $501.40;
- And would have lost other 540 times – with a loss of -$540.00 because of them.
Mathematically speaking, it is a negative expected value bet, because you would have an expected final loss of 💰-$38.60.
Is betting on draw worth it?
⚪ draw: the algorithm believes the chances of this event happening are 32.14% and we have noticed that the avarage odds offered by the bookmakers are 2.90. That is, when you make 1000 bets of $1 like this one, you:
- Would have hit 320 times – having a profit of $608.00;
- And would have lost other 680 times – with a loss of -$680.00 because of them.
We are talking about a bet without profit, because after all you would have an expected final loss of 💰-$72.00.
Is it a good idea to bet on Naft Maysan?
🔴 Naft Maysan: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 22.18% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 3.40. That is, when you make 1000 bets of $1 like this one, you:
- Would hit 220 times – profiting $528.00;
- And would have lost other 780 times – with a loss of -$780.00 because of them.
Mathematically speaking, it is a negative expected value bet, because you would have an expected final loss of 💰-$252.00.
Handicaps analysis for the match Al Najaf x Naft Maysan
Another approach is trying to find the fair handicap for the main markets and our machine learning model will also give you a helping hand with that. In case you do not know what handicaps are, we will solve this problem now: we sorted out the material about Asian handicap on betting so you can click and save it to learn about it on the first opportunity.
These are the handicaps that our algorithm analysed for you:
⚖ Handicap 1×2: -0.25 Al Najaf
⚽ Expected goals: 2.00 goals
Tips for the Handicap 1×2 market for Al Najaf x Naft Maysan
⚖ Handicap 1×2: our model believes that the ideal handicap is -0.25 Al Najaf and the available handicap to bet at the moment is -0.25 Al Najaf.
The handicap that our algorithm found is the same as the bookies, which means that there is not any value to bet on the Handicap 1×2 market.
Tips for the Goals Handicap market for Al Najaf x Naft Maysan
⚽ Goals Handicap: considering the estimates of our model, the main handicap should be 2.00 goals, and the current handicap offered by bookies is 2.00 goals.
Since there is not big differences between the handicap offered by bookies and the one suggested by our algorithm, we can consider that there is no value to bet on the Goals Handicap market.
