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Home Β» Predictions Β» Others Β» Al Najma x Abha Betting tips for January 6 in Saudi Arabia Division 1
Monday, 06 January 2025, 12h30 Saudi Arabia Division 1
Al Najma Al Najma
PREDICTION No tip
Abha Abha
Don't miss this prediction!

Al Najma x Abha Betting tips for January 6 in Saudi Arabia Division 1

Our betting tip for Al Najma x Abha, Monday, 6/1/2025
πŸ“… 6/1/2025
12:30
Al Najma Al Najma
2.04
X
3.25
Abha Abha
3.29

This is the tip that our machine learning model has selected for Al Najma x Abha:

πŸ‘Ž Unfortunately, we did not find any positive expected value bets for Al Najma x Abha

Some important points for the tip for Al Najma x Abha:

πŸ‘‰ If you had bet $100 on Al Najma in each of its last 5 matches as home, you would have had a profit of $406.0.
πŸ‘‰ If you had bet $100 on Abha in each of its last 5 matches as away, you would have had a loss of $-300.0.
πŸ‘‰ In the last 3 matches as the home team, Al Najma scored at least 1 goal(s).
πŸ‘‰ Al Najma is good playing home: it has 3 wins in a row in its last matches at home.

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Summary

Do you want other suggestions of bookmakers to bet on Al Najma x Abha?

If you want other options of bookmakers to bet on Al Najma x Abha, no problem. Right below you have the sports betting sites that we used the most in 2025. You will be in good hands on any of them, just pick your favorite and start betting:

Analysis from Al Najma x Abha for the Saudi Arabia Division 1 – 6 of January

🏟️ Al Najma X Abha – Saudi Arabia Division 1
πŸ“… 6 of January, 2025 – 12:30
πŸ”΅ Al Najma – Winning probability: 52.74% | Fair line: 1.9
βšͺ Tied game – Probability of tied match: 28.64% | Fair line: 3.49
πŸ”΄ Abha – Winning probability: 18.62% | Fair line: 5.37
βš– Handicap 1×2: -0.5 Al Najma
⚽ Expected goals: 2.25 goals
β›³ Expected corner kicks: 10.00 corner kicks

A good bettor is not the one with a high hits percentage, but the one who bets on positive expected value events. Our AI model knows it very well and has looked for these opportunities for the match between Al Najma and Abha.

To achieve that, the algorithm analyses more than 1242357 matches from our database seeking for patterns to get to the winning probabilities for the home team, a tie or a victory for the away team. That was the conclusion from our artificial intelligence:

Tips for the 1×2 market for Al Najma x Abha

Is betting on Al Najma worth it?

πŸ”΅ Al Najma: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 52.74% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 2.04. This means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

  • Would hit 530 times – profiting $551.20;
  • And would lose other 470 times – having a loss of -$470.00 with them.

We are talking about a bet without profit, because after all you would have an expected final loss of πŸ’°-$81.20.

Should you bet on draw?

βšͺ draw: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 28.64% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 3.25. That is, when you make 1000 bets of $1 like this one, you:

  • Would have hit 290 times – having a profit of $652.50;
  • And would have lost other 710 times – with a loss of -$710.00 because of them.

So this bet does not have value. After all, you would have an expected loss of πŸ’°-$57.50.

Should you bet on Abha?

πŸ”΄ Abha: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 18.62% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 3.29. This means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

  • Would have hit 190 times – having a profit of $435.10;
  • And would lose other 810 times – losing -$810.00 with them.

That is why this bet does not have value. In the end, you would have had a final loss of πŸ’°-$374.90.

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Handicaps analysis for the match Al Najma x Abha

Another approach is trying to find the fair handicap for the main markets and our machine learning model will also give you a helping hand with that. Maybe you do not even know what this is. If handicap is a 7-headed monster for you, all you have to do is click on our article about Asian handicap on football betting and you will find a complete material to quickly teach you how it works. Click on it and leave it open on another tab to read later..

Take a look at what our artificial intelligence has set apart for these markets:

βš– Handicap 1×2: -0.5 Al Najma
⚽ Expected goals: 2.25 goals

Tips for the Handicap 1×2 market for Al Najma x Abha

βš– Handicap 1×2: our model believes that the ideal handicap is -0.5 Al Najma and the available handicap to bet at the moment is -0.25 Al Najma.

We can notice that the difference between the handicap predicted by the model and the one available to bet at the bookmaker is -0.25. Therefore, the recommended bet for the Handicap 1×2 is on: -0.25 Al Najma.

Tips for the Goals Handicap market for Al Najma x Abha

⚽ Goals Handicap: our model believes that the ideal handicap is 2.25 goals and the available handicap to bet at the moment is 2.50 goals.

Since the difference between the handicap we calculated and the offered by the bookie is -0.25, this means that the best bet for the Goals Handicap is on: – 2.50 goals.

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Written by

Autor
Humberto Alves

Hi there! You can call me Beto! I'm 32 years old, graduated in Business Management and now I'm doing my second degree in Statistics and Data Science, which is really helpful to bring the Machine Learning models applied in sports betting that you see here. Even though I'm in this betting world since 2010, there's still a lot to be learned.

> Check other content created by Humberto Alves
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