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Home » Predictions » Others » Al-Nassr Riyadh x Al Riyadh Betting tips for April 12 in Saudi Arabia Pro League
Saturday, 12 April 2025, 18h00 Saudi Arabia Pro League
Al-Nassr Riyadh Al-Nassr Riyadh
PREDICTION Al-Nassr Riyadh wins Probability 95% 1 X 2
Al Riyadh Al Riyadh
ODD: @1.3 Don't miss this prediction!

Al-Nassr Riyadh x Al Riyadh Betting tips for April 12 in Saudi Arabia Pro League

Our betting tip for Al-Nassr Riyadh x Al Riyadh, Saturday, 12/4/2025
📅 12/4/2025
18:00
Al-Nassr Riyadh Al-Nassr Riyadh
1.30
X
5.75
Al Riyadh Al Riyadh
7.75

This is the bet from our artificial intelligence for Al-Nassr Riyadh x Al Riyadh:

🔮 Al-Nassr Riyadh wins the match
💰 When you bet the bonus of $500 from Bet365 on Al-Nassr Riyadh, you can win up to $650.00!

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The main points for the tip for Al-Nassr Riyadh x Al Riyadh:

👉 If you had bet $100 on Al-Nassr Riyadh in each of its last 5 matches as home, you would have had a loss of $-104.0.
👉 If you had bet $100 on Al Riyadh in each of its last 5 matches as away, you would have had a loss of $-500.
👉 In the last 7 matches as the home team, Al-Nassr Riyadh scored at least 2 goal(s).
👉 In the last 7 Al-Nassr Riyadh matches as the home team, it finished over 2.5 goals.
👉 In the last 6 matches as the away team, Al Riyadh conceded at least 1 goal(s).

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Summary

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Analysis from Al-Nassr Riyadh x Al Riyadh for the Saudi Arabia Pro League – 12 of April

🏟️ Al-Nassr Riyadh X Al Riyadh – Saudi Arabia Pro League
📅 12 of April, 2025 – 18:00
🔵 Al-Nassr Riyadh – Winning probability: 95.56% | Fair line: 1.05
Tied game – Probability of tied match: 2.97% | Fair line: 33.72
🔴 Al Riyadh – Winning probability: 1.48% | Fair line: 67.65
⚖ Handicap 1×2: -1.75 Al-Nassr Riyadh
⚽ Expected goals: 3.75 goals
⛳ Expected corner kicks: 10.00 corner kicks

A good bettor is not the one with a high hits percentage, but the one who bets on positive expected value events. Our AI model knows it very well and has looked for these opportunities for the match between Al-Nassr Riyadh and Al Riyadh.

And to do so, the algorithm analysed more than 1301554 matches on our football database looking for patterns to find the probabilities of the match ending with a victory for the home team, a tie or even a victory for the away team. Getting down to these values:

Tips for the 1×2 market for Al-Nassr Riyadh x Al Riyadh

Should you bet on Al-Nassr Riyadh?

🔵 Al-Nassr Riyadh: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 95.56% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 1.30. In other words, this means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

  • Would hit 960 times – profiting $288.00;
  • And would have lost other 40 times – with a loss of -$40.00 because of them.

So this is a value bet. After all, at the end of these bets, you would have an expected profit of 💰$248.00.

Is it a good idea to bet on draw?

draw: the algorithm believes the chances of this event happening are 2.97% and we have noticed that the avarage odds offered by the bookmakers are 5.75. In other words, this means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

  • Would have hit 30 times – having a profit of $142.50;
  • And would lose other 970 times – losing -$970.00 with them.

We are talking about a bet without profit, because after all you would have an expected final loss of 💰-$827.50.

Is betting on Al Riyadh worth it?

🔴 Al Riyadh: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 1.48% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 7.75. That is, when you make 1000 bets of $1 like this one, you:

  • Would have hit 10 times – having a profit of $67.50;
  • And would lose other 990 times – having a loss of -$990.00 with them.

We are talking about a bet without profit, because after all you would have an expected final loss of 💰-$922.50.

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Handicaps analysis for the match Al-Nassr Riyadh x Al Riyadh

Another important market to analyse is the Asian handicaps one, our algorithm is also going to help you with that. Maybe you do not even know what this is. If handicap is a 7-headed monster for you, all you have to do is click on our article about Asian handicap on football betting and you will find a complete material to quickly teach you how it works. Click on it and leave it open on another tab to read later..

This is what our nice robot has to tell us about these markets:

⚖ Handicap 1×2: -1.75 Al-Nassr Riyadh
⚽ Expected goals: 3.75 goals

Tips for the Handicap 1×2 market for Al-Nassr Riyadh x Al Riyadh

⚖ Handicap 1×2: our model believes that the ideal handicap is -1.75 Al-Nassr Riyadh and the available handicap to bet at the moment is -1.5 Al-Nassr Riyadh.

Since the difference between the handicap we calculated and the offered by the bookie is -0.25, this means that the best bet for the Handicap 1×2 is on: -1.5 Al-Nassr Riyadh.

Tips for the Goals Handicap market for Al-Nassr Riyadh x Al Riyadh

⚽ Goals Handicap: our model believes that the ideal handicap is 3.75 goals and the available handicap to bet at the moment is 3.50 goals.

Since the difference between the handicap we calculated and the offered by the bookie is 0.25, this means that the best bet for the Goals Handicap is on: + 3.50 goals.

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Written by
Autor
Humberto Alves

Hi there! You can call me Beto! I'm 32 years old, graduated in Business Management and now I'm doing my second degree in Statistics and Data Science, which is really helpful to bring the Machine Learning models applied in sports betting that you see here. Even though I'm in this betting world since 2010, there's still a lot to be learned.

> Check other content created by Humberto Alves
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