Al Sadd x Esteghlal Betting tips for September 30 in AFC Champions League Elite
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30/9/2024 13:00 |
 Al Sadd1.93 |
X 3.30 |
Esteghlal  3.65 |
This is the bet from our artificial intelligence for Al Sadd x Esteghlal:
๐ฎ Al Sadd wins the match
๐ฐ When you bet the bonus of $500 from Bet365 on Al Sadd, you can win up to $965.00!
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The main points for the tip for Al Sadd x Esteghlal: ๐ If you had bet $100 on Al Sadd in each of its last 5 matches as home, you would have had a profit of $183.0. |
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Analysis from Al Sadd x Esteghlal for the AFC Champions League Elite – 30 of September
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๐๏ธ Al Sadd X Esteghlal – AFC Champions League Elite |
Even though it may not seem intuitive, a good betting model should not seek to get the result for Al Sadd x Esteghlal right, but instead show us in which events we have a positive expected value opportunity.
To achieve that, the algorithm analyses more than 1191189 matches from our database seeking for patterns to get to the winning probabilities for the home team, a tie or a victory for the away team. That was the conclusion from our artificial intelligence:
Tips for the 1×2 market for Al Sadd x Esteghlal
Is it a good idea to bet on Al Sadd?
๐ต Al Sadd: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 69.49% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 1.93. That is, when you make 1000 bets of $1 like this one, you:
- Would hit 690 times – profiting $641.70;
- And would lose other 310 times – having a loss of -$310.00 with them.
So this is a value bet. After all, at the end of these bets, you would have an expected profit of ๐ฐ$331.70.
Should you bet on draw?
โช draw: the algorithm believes the chances of this event happening are 13.97% and we have noticed that the avarage odds offered by the bookmakers are 3.30. This means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:
- Would have hit 140 times – having a profit of $322.00;
- And would have lost other 860 times – with a loss of -$860.00 because of them.
That is why this bet does not have value. In the end, you would have had a final loss of ๐ฐ-$538.00.
Is it a good idea to bet on Esteghlal?
๐ด Esteghlal: the algorithm believes the chances of this event happening are 16.54% and we have noticed that the avarage odds offered by the bookmakers are 3.65. That is, when you make 1000 bets of $1 like this one, you:
- Would hit 170 times – profiting $450.50;
- And would lose other 830 times – losing -$830.00 with them.
We are talking about a bet without profit, because after all you would have an expected final loss of ๐ฐ-$379.50.
Handicaps analysis for the match Al Sadd x Esteghlal
Another approach is trying to find the fair handicap for the main markets and our machine learning model will also give you a helping hand with that. In case you do not know what handicaps are, we will solve this problem now: we sorted out the material about Asian handicap on betting so you can click and save it to learn about it on the first opportunity.
These are the handicaps that our algorithm analysed for you:
โ Handicap 1×2: -0.75 Al Sadd
โฝ Expected goals: 2.75 goals
Tips for the Handicap 1×2 market for Al Sadd x Esteghlal
โ Handicap 1×2: our model believes that the ideal handicap is -0.75 Al Sadd and the available handicap to bet at the moment is -0.5 Al Sadd.
We can notice that the difference between the handicap predicted by the model and the one available to bet at the bookmaker is -0.25. Therefore, the recommended bet for the Handicap 1×2 is on: -0.5 Al Sadd.
Tips for the Goals Handicap market for Al Sadd x Esteghlal
โฝ Goals Handicap: considering the estimates of our model, the main handicap should be 2.75 goals, and the current handicap offered by bookies is 2.25 goals.
Since the difference between the handicap we calculated and the offered by the bookie is 0.50, this means that the best bet for the Goals Handicap is on: + 2.25 goals.
