Al Safa x Abha Betting tips for April 16 in Saudi Arabia Division 1
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16/4/2025 15:45 |
 Al Safa3.40 |
X 3.30 |
Abha  2.08 |
Our algorithm has selected this tip for Al Safa x Abha:
๐ฎ Abha wins the match
๐ฐ When you bet the bonus of $500 from Bet365 on Abha, you can win up to $1040.00!
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Some important points for the tip for Al Safa x Abha: ๐ If you had bet $100 on Al Safa in each of its last 5 matches as home, you would have had a loss of $-500. |
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Analysis from Al Safa x Abha for the Saudi Arabia Division 1 – 16 of April
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๐๏ธ Al Safa X Abha – Saudi Arabia Division 1 |
When the best bet on Al Safa x Abha is analysed, notice that our AI model is not interested in getting the right result, but instead in looking for situations where the bookies offer us a positive expected value.
To achieve that, the algorithm analyses more than 1304980 matches from our database seeking for patterns to get to the winning probabilities for the home team, a tie or a victory for the away team. That was the conclusion from our artificial intelligence:
Tips for the Match Odds market for Al Safa x Abha
Is it a good idea to bet on Al Safa?
๐ต Al Safa: the algorithm believes the chances of this event happening are 6.2% and we have noticed that the avarage odds offered by the bookmakers are 3.40. This means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:
- Would hit 60 times – this would give you a profit of $144.00
- And would have lost other 940 times – with a loss of -$940.00 because of them.
We are talking about a bet without profit, because after all you would have an expected final loss of ๐ฐ-$796.00.
Should you bet on draw?
โช draw: the algorithm believes the chances of this event happening are 18.02% and we have noticed that the avarage odds offered by the bookmakers are 3.30. That is, when you make 1000 bets of $1 like this one, you:
- Would hit 180 times – this would give you a profit of $414.00
- And would lose other 820 times – having a loss of -$820.00 with them.
So this bet does not have value. After all, you would have an expected loss of ๐ฐ-$406.00.
Is betting on Abha worth it?
๐ด Abha: the algorithm believes the chances of this event happening are 75.78% and we have noticed that the avarage odds offered by the bookmakers are 2.08. In other words, this means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:
- Would hit 760 times – profiting $820.80;
- And would have lost other 240 times – with a loss of -$240.00 because of them.
It is a value bet, since after all you would have an expected final profit of ๐ฐ$580.80.
Handicaps analysis for the match Al Safa x Abha
Another approach is trying to find the fair handicap for the main markets and our machine learning model will also give you a helping hand with that. If you have no idea what a handicap is, do not worry! We have a complete article about the Asian handicap on sporting betting that will answer all your questions. You can click on it and leave it open on another tab so you can read later.
Moving ahead we can see what the model has in store for these markets here:
โ Handicap 1×2: +0.5 Al Safa
โฝ Expected goals: 2.50 goals
Tips for the Handicap 1×2 market for Al Safa x Abha
โ Handicap 1×2: considering the estimates of our model, the main handicap should be +0.5 Al Safa, and the current handicap offered by bookies is +0.25 Al Safa.
Since the difference between the handicap we calculated and the offered by the bookie is 0.25, this means that the best bet for the Handicap 1×2 is on: -0.25 Abha.
Tips for the Goals Handicap market for Al Safa x Abha
โฝ Goals Handicap: our model believes that the ideal handicap is 2.50 goals and the available handicap to bet at the moment is 2.50 goals. As the handicap available on the market is the same as that indicated by our robot, we will do nothing since there is not value bets on the Goals Handicap market.
