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Al Shabab Riyadh x Al Fateh SC Betting tips for January 20 in Saudi Arabia Premier League

Our betting tip for Al Shabab Riyadh x Al Fateh SC, Thursday, 20/1/2022
๐Ÿ“… 20/1/2022
15:10
Al Shabab Riyadh
1.55
X
3.83
Al Fateh SC
4.80

This is the bet made by our artificial intelligence for Al Shabab Riyadh x Al Fateh SC:

๐Ÿ”ฎ Al Shabab Riyadh wins the match
๐Ÿ’ฐ When you bet the bonus of $500 from Bet365 on Al Shabab Riyadh, you can win up to $775.00!

Or access: https://www.bet365.com
 

๐Ÿ“Š Check out the full analysis on Betfellows: Prognostic for Al Shabab Riyadh x Al Fateh SC

Place your Bet with Bet365 Bonus

Do you want more options of bookies to bet on Al Shabab Riyadh x Al Fateh SC?

If you want to take a look at more options of betting websites, we, from the Clube, have listed our favorites for you. Right below you can check the best bookies from 2022, carefully analysed by us. Pick yours and start betting now on Al Shabab Riyadh x Al Fateh SC:

Analysis from Al Shabab Riyadh x Al Fateh SC for the Saudi Arabia Premier League – 20 of January

๐ŸŸ๏ธ Al Shabab Riyadh X Al Fateh SC – Saudi Arabia Premier League
๐Ÿ“… 20 of January, 2022 – 15:10
๐Ÿ”ต Al Shabab Riyadh – Winning probability: 69.55% | Fair line: 1.44
โšช Tied game – Probability of tied match: 14.70% | Fair line: 6.8
๐Ÿ”ด Al Fateh SC – Winning probability: 15.76% | Fair line: 6.35
โš– Handicap 1×2: -1.0 Al Shabab Riyadh
โšฝ Expected goals: 2.50 goals
โ›ณ Expected corner kicks: 9.25 corner kicks

A good bettor is not the one with a high hits percentage, but the one who bets on positive expected value events. Our AI model knows it very well and has looked for these opportunities for the match between Al Shabab Riyadh and Al Fateh SC.

And to do so, the algorithm analysed more than 289954 matches on the database from our soccer prognostics platform, Betfellows, looking for patterns to find the probabilities of the match ending with a victory for the home team, a tie or even a victory for the away team. Getting down to these values:

Tips for the Match Odds market for Al Shabab Riyadh x Al Fateh SC

Is betting on Al Shabab Riyadh worth it?

๐Ÿ”ต Al Shabab Riyadh: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 69.55% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 1.55. This means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

  • Would hit 700 times – profiting $385.00;
  • And would have lost other 300 times – with a loss of -$300.00 because of them.

So this is a value bet. After all, at the end of these bets, you would have an expected profit of ๐Ÿ’ฐ$85.00.

Is betting on draw worth it?

โšช draw: our artificial intelligence has calculated that the probability of this event happening is around 14.7%, meanwhile the bookies are offering avarage odds of 3.83. That is, when you make 1000 bets of $1 like this one, you:

  • Would have hit 150 times – having a profit of $425.25;
  • And would lose other 850 times – having a loss of -$850.00 with them.

That is why this bet does not have value. In the end, you would have had a final loss of ๐Ÿ’ฐ-$424.75.

Should you bet on Al Fateh SC?

๐Ÿ”ด Al Fateh SC: our artificial intelligence has calculated that the probability of this event happening is around 15.76%, meanwhile the bookies are offering avarage odds of 4.80. In other words, this means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

  • Would hit 160 times – this would give you a profit of $608.00
  • And would have lost other 840 times – with a loss of -$840.00 because of them.

Mathematically speaking, it is a negative expected value bet, because you would have an expected final loss of ๐Ÿ’ฐ-$232.00.

Place your Bet with Bet365 Bonus

Handicaps analysis for the match Al Shabab Riyadh x Al Fateh SC

Maybe you prefer another approach: betting on Asian handicaps. We thought about it and our model also seeks to find the main handicaps of the most important markets. If you have no idea what a handicap is, do not worry! We have a complete article about the Asian handicap on sporting betting that will answer all your questions. You can click on it and leave it open on another tab so you can read later.

These are the handicaps that our algorithm analysed for you:

โš– Handicap 1×2: -1.0 Al Shabab Riyadh
โšฝ Expected goals: 2.50 goals

Tips for the Handicap 1×2 market for Al Shabab Riyadh x Al Fateh SC

โš– Handicap 1×2: our model believes that the ideal handicap is -1.0 Al Shabab Riyadh and the available handicap to bet at the moment is -1.0 Al Shabab Riyadh.

Since there is not big differences between the handicap offered by bookies and the one suggested by our algorithm, we can consider that there is no value to bet on the Handicap 1×2 market.

Tips for the Goals Handicap market for Al Shabab Riyadh x Al Fateh SC

โšฝ Goals Handicap: considering the estimates of our model, the main handicap should be 2.50 goals, and the current handicap offered by bookies is 2.75 goals.

We can notice that the difference between the handicap predicted by the model and the one available to bet at the bookmaker is -0.25. Therefore, the recommended bet for the Goals Handicap is on: – 2.75 goals.

Place your Bet with Bet365 Bonus

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Written by

Autor
Humberto Alves

Hi there! You can call me Beto! I'm 32 years old, graduated in Business Management and now I'm doing my second degree in Statistics and Data Science, which is really helpful to bring the Machine Learning models applied in sports betting that you see here. Even though I'm in this betting world since 2010, there's still a lot to be learned.

> Check other content created by Humberto Alves