Al Wasl SC x Al Ahli Jeddah Betting tips for September 30 in AFC Champions League Elite

Our betting tip for Al Wasl SC x Al Ahli Jeddah, Monday, 30/9/2024

📅 30/9/2024 13:00

Al Wasl SC 2.82

X 3.30

Al Ahli Jeddah 2.25

This is the bet from our artificial intelligence for Al Wasl SC x Al Ahli Jeddah:

🔮 Al Wasl SC wins the match
💰 When you bet the bonus of $500 from Bet365 on Al Wasl SC, you can win up to $1410.00!

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Or access: https://www.bet365.com 

The main points for the tip for Al Wasl SC x Al Ahli Jeddah: 👉 If you had bet $100 on Al Wasl SC in each of its last 5 matches as home, you would have had a profit of $312.0. 👉 If you had bet $100 on Al Ahli Jeddah in each of its last 5 matches as away, you would have had a loss of $-500. 👉 In the last 6 matches as the home team, Al Wasl SC scored at least 1 goal(s). 👉 In the last 4 Al Ahli Jeddah matches as the away team, it finished under 2.5 goals. 👉 In the last 5 matches as the away team, Al Ahli Jeddah conceded at least 1 goal(s). 👉 Al Wasl SC is good playing home: it has 5 wins in a row in its last matches at home.

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Analysis from Al Wasl SC x Al Ahli Jeddah for the AFC Champions League Elite – 30 of September

A good bettor is not the one with a high hits percentage, but the one who bets on positive expected value events. Our AI model knows it very well and has looked for these opportunities for the match between Al Wasl SC and Al Ahli Jeddah.

To achieve that, the algorithm analyses more than 1191189 matches from our database seeking for patterns to get to the winning probabilities for the home team, a tie or a victory for the away team. That was the conclusion from our artificial intelligence:

Tips for the Match Odds market for Al Wasl SC x Al Ahli Jeddah

Should you bet on Al Wasl SC?

🔵 Al Wasl SC: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 38.01% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 2.82. This means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

• Would hit 380 times – this would give you a profit of $691.60
• And would lose other 620 times – losing -$620.00 with them.

So this is a value bet. After all, at the end of these bets, you would have an expected profit of 💰$71.60.

Is betting on draw worth it?

⚪ draw: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 12.94% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 3.30. That is, when you make 1000 bets of $1 like this one, you:

• Would hit 130 times – profiting $299.00;
• And would lose other 870 times – losing -$870.00 with them.

Mathematically speaking, it is a negative expected value bet, because you would have an expected final loss of 💰-$571.00.

Is it a good idea to bet on Al Ahli Jeddah?

🔴 Al Ahli Jeddah: our artificial intelligence has calculated that the probability of this event happening is around 49.05%, meanwhile the bookies are offering avarage odds of 2.25. This means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

• Would have hit 490 times – having a profit of $612.50;
• And would have lost other 510 times – with a loss of -$510.00 because of them.

Even if it is a positive expected value bet, the expected profit is just 💰$102.50 which is not worth the risk in our opinion.

Handicaps analysis for the match Al Wasl SC x Al Ahli Jeddah

Another approach is trying to find the fair handicap for the main markets and our machine learning model will also give you a helping hand with that. In case you do not know what handicaps are, we will solve this problem now: we sorted out the material about Asian handicap on betting so you can click and save it to learn about it on the first opportunity.

Moving ahead we can see what the model has in store for these markets here:

⚖ Handicap 1×2: -0.75 Al Wasl SC
⚽ Expected goals: 3.00 goals

Tips for the Handicap 1×2 market for Al Wasl SC x Al Ahli Jeddah

⚖ Handicap 1×2: our model believes that the ideal handicap is -0.75 Al Wasl SC and the available handicap to bet at the moment is +0.25 Al Wasl SC.

We can notice that the difference between the handicap predicted by the model and the one available to bet at the bookmaker is -1.00. Therefore, the recommended bet for the Handicap 1×2 is on: +0.25 Al Wasl SC.

Tips for the Goals Handicap market for Al Wasl SC x Al Ahli Jeddah

⚽ Goals Handicap: considering the estimates of our model, the main handicap should be 3.00 goals, and the current handicap offered by bookies is 2.50 goals.

We can notice that the difference between the handicap predicted by the model and the one available to bet at the bookmaker is 0.50. Therefore, the recommended bet for the Goals Handicap is on: + 2.50 goals.