Al-Yarmouk x Al-Jalil Betting tips for October 1 in Jordan Division 1

Our betting tip for Al-Yarmouk x Al-Jalil, Tuesday, 1/10/2024

📅 1/10/2024 12:00

Al-Yarmouk 2.15

X 3.31

Al-Jalil 2.95

This is the tip that our machine learning model has selected for Al-Yarmouk x Al-Jalil:

👎 Umm…too bad! We did not find any positive expected value bets for Al-Yarmouk x Al-Jalil

Important information for your tip for Al-Yarmouk x Al-Jalil: 👉 If you had bet $100 on Al-Yarmouk in each of its last 5 matches as home, you would have had a profit of $67.0. 👉 If you had bet $100 on Al-Jalil in each of its last 5 matches as away, you would have had a loss of $-238.0. 👉 In the last 5 matches as the home team, Al-Yarmouk scored at least 1 goal(s).

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Analysis from Al-Yarmouk x Al-Jalil for the Jordan Division 1 – 1 of October

Even though it may not seem intuitive, a good betting model should not seek to get the result for Al-Yarmouk x Al-Jalil right, but instead show us in which events we have a positive expected value opportunity.

To achieve that, the algorithm analyses more than 1192611 matches from our database seeking for patterns to get to the winning probabilities for the home team, a tie or a victory for the away team. That was the conclusion from our artificial intelligence:

Tips for the Match Odds market for Al-Yarmouk x Al-Jalil

Is it a good idea to bet on Al-Yarmouk?

🔵 Al-Yarmouk: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 42.85% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 2.15. In other words, this means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

• Would have hit 430 times – having a profit of $494.50;
• And would lose other 570 times – having a loss of -$570.00 with them.

Mathematically speaking, it is a negative expected value bet, because you would have an expected final loss of 💰-$75.50.

Should you bet on draw?

⚪ draw: the algorithm believes the chances of this event happening are 24.16% and we have noticed that the avarage odds offered by the bookmakers are 3.31. In other words, this means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

• Would hit 240 times – profiting $554.40;
• And would lose other 760 times – losing -$760.00 with them.

Mathematically speaking, it is a negative expected value bet, because you would have an expected final loss of 💰-$205.60.

Is it a good idea to bet on Al-Jalil?

🔴 Al-Jalil: our artificial intelligence has calculated that the probability of this event happening is around 32.99%, meanwhile the bookies are offering avarage odds of 2.95. In other words, this means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

• Would have hit 330 times – having a profit of $643.50;
• And would have lost other 670 times – with a loss of -$670.00 because of them.

That is why this bet does not have value. In the end, you would have had a final loss of 💰-$26.50.

Handicaps analysis for the match Al-Yarmouk x Al-Jalil

Another important market to analyse is the Asian handicaps one, our algorithm is also going to help you with that. Maybe you do not even know what this is. If handicap is a 7-headed monster for you, all you have to do is click on our article about Asian handicap on football betting and you will find a complete material to quickly teach you how it works. Click on it and leave it open on another tab to read later..

Moving ahead we can see what the model has in store for these markets here:

⚖ Handicap 1×2: 0.0 Al-Yarmouk
⚽ Expected goals: 2.50 goals

Tips for the Handicap 1×2 market for Al-Yarmouk x Al-Jalil

⚖ Handicap 1×2: considering the estimates of our model, the main handicap should be 0.0 Al-Yarmouk, and the current handicap offered by bookies is -0.25 Al-Yarmouk.

Since the difference between the handicap we calculated and the offered by the bookie is 0.25, this means that the best bet for the Handicap 1×2 is on: 0.25 Al-Jalil.

Tips for the Goals Handicap market for Al-Yarmouk x Al-Jalil

⚽ Goals Handicap: considering the estimates of our model, the main handicap should be 2.50 goals, and the current handicap offered by bookies is 2.25 goals.

We can notice that the difference between the handicap predicted by the model and the one available to bet at the bookmaker is 0.25. Therefore, the recommended bet for the Goals Handicap is on: + 2.25 goals.