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Home » Predictions » Others » Alacranes de Durango x Agricultores FC Guasave Betting tips for October 31 in Mexico Segunda Division
Thursday, 31 October 2024, 02h00 Mexico Segunda Division
Alacranes de Durango Alacranes de Durango
PREDICTION Alacranes de Durango wins Probability 63% 1 X 2
Agricultores FC Guasave Agricultores FC Guasave
ODD: @1.73 Don't miss this prediction!

Alacranes de Durango x Agricultores FC Guasave Betting tips for October 31 in Mexico Segunda Division

Our betting tip for Alacranes de Durango x Agricultores FC Guasave, Thursday, 31/10/2024
📅 31/10/2024
02:00
Alacranes de Durango Alacranes de Durango
1.73
X
3.70
Agricultores FC Guasave Agricultores FC Guasave
3.90

Our algorithm has selected this tip for Alacranes de Durango x Agricultores FC Guasave:

🔮 Alacranes de Durango wins the match
💰 When you bet the bonus of $500 from Bet365 on Alacranes de Durango, you can win up to $865.00!

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Important information for your tip for Alacranes de Durango x Agricultores FC Guasave:

👉 If you had bet $100 on Alacranes de Durango in each of its last 5 matches as home, you would have had a loss of $-203.0.
👉 If you had bet $100 on Agricultores FC Guasave in each of its last 2 matches as away, you would have had a loss of $-200.
👉 In the last 4 matches as the home team, Alacranes de Durango scored at least 2 goal(s).
👉 In the last 3 Alacranes de Durango matches as the home team, it finished over 2.5 goals.

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Summary

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Analysis from Alacranes de Durango x Agricultores FC Guasave for the Mexico Segunda Division – 31 of October

🏟️ Alacranes de Durango X Agricultores FC Guasave – Mexico Segunda Division
📅 31 of October, 2024 – 02:00
🔵 Alacranes de Durango – Winning probability: 63.82% | Fair line: 1.57
Tied game – Probability of tied match: 21.49% | Fair line: 4.65
🔴 Agricultores FC Guasave – Winning probability: 14.69% | Fair line: 6.81
⚖ Handicap 1×2: -0.5 Alacranes de Durango
⚽ Expected goals: 3.50 goals
⛳ Expected corner kicks: 9.25 corner kicks

Even though it may not seem intuitive, a good betting model should not seek to get the result for Alacranes de Durango x Agricultores FC Guasave right, but instead show us in which events we have a positive expected value opportunity.

To achieve that, the algorithm analyses more than 1212930 matches from our database seeking for patterns to get to the winning probabilities for the home team, a tie or a victory for the away team. That was the conclusion from our artificial intelligence:

Tips for the Match Odds market for Alacranes de Durango x Agricultores FC Guasave

Is it a good idea to bet on Alacranes de Durango?

🔵 Alacranes de Durango: the algorithm believes the chances of this event happening are 63.82% and we have noticed that the avarage odds offered by the bookmakers are 1.73. That is, when you make 1000 bets of $1 like this one, you:

  • Would have hit 640 times – having a profit of $467.20;
  • And would lose other 360 times – having a loss of -$360.00 with them.

That is why this is a value bet. In the end, you would have had a final profit of 💰$107.20.

Is it a good idea to bet on draw?

draw: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 21.49% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 3.70. In other words, this means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

  • Would hit 210 times – this would give you a profit of $567.00
  • And would have lost other 790 times – with a loss of -$790.00 because of them.

Mathematically speaking, it is a negative expected value bet, because you would have an expected final loss of 💰-$223.00.

Is it worth betting on Agricultores FC Guasave?

🔴 Agricultores FC Guasave: the algorithm believes the chances of this event happening are 14.69% and we have noticed that the avarage odds offered by the bookmakers are 3.90. This means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

  • Would hit 150 times – this would give you a profit of $435.00
  • And would lose other 850 times – losing -$850.00 with them.

We are talking about a bet without profit, because after all you would have an expected final loss of 💰-$415.00.

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Handicaps analysis for the match Alacranes de Durango x Agricultores FC Guasave

The handicap market is also very searched for by bettors in professional bookmakers and our model can help you with that. If you have no idea what a handicap is, do not worry! We have a complete article about the Asian handicap on sporting betting that will answer all your questions. You can click on it and leave it open on another tab so you can read later.

This is what our nice robot has to tell us about these markets:

⚖ Handicap 1×2: -0.5 Alacranes de Durango
⚽ Expected goals: 3.50 goals

Tips for the Handicap 1×2 market for Alacranes de Durango x Agricultores FC Guasave

⚖ Handicap 1×2: our model believes that the ideal handicap is -0.5 Alacranes de Durango and the available handicap to bet at the moment is -0.75 Alacranes de Durango.

Since the difference between the handicap we calculated and the offered by the bookie is 0.25, this means that the best bet for the Handicap 1×2 is on: 0.75 Agricultores FC Guasave.

Tips for the Goals Handicap market for Alacranes de Durango x Agricultores FC Guasave

⚽ Goals Handicap: considering the estimates of our model, the main handicap should be 3.50 goals, and the current handicap offered by bookies is 3.00 goals.

We can notice that the difference between the handicap predicted by the model and the one available to bet at the bookmaker is 0.50. Therefore, the recommended bet for the Goals Handicap is on: + 3.00 goals.

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Written by

Autor
Humberto Alves

Hi there! You can call me Beto! I'm 32 years old, graduated in Business Management and now I'm doing my second degree in Statistics and Data Science, which is really helpful to bring the Machine Learning models applied in sports betting that you see here. Even though I'm in this betting world since 2010, there's still a lot to be learned.

> Check other content created by Humberto Alves
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