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Home » Predictions » Others » Alajuelense x Cartagines Betting tips for February 3 in Costa Rica Primera Division
Monday, 03 February 2025, 01h00 Costa Rica Primera Division
Alajuelense Alajuelense
PREDICTION Alajuelense wins Probability 77% 1 X 2
Cartagines Cartagines
ODD: @1.5 Don't miss this prediction!

Alajuelense x Cartagines Betting tips for February 3 in Costa Rica Primera Division

Our betting tip for Alajuelense x Cartagines, Monday, 3/2/2025
📅 3/2/2025
01:00
Alajuelense Alajuelense
1.50
X
3.90
Cartagines Cartagines
5.40

This is the tip that our machine learning model has selected for Alajuelense x Cartagines:

🔮 Alajuelense wins the match
💰 When you bet the bonus of $500 from Bet365 on Alajuelense, you can win up to $750.00!

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Some important points for the tip for Alajuelense x Cartagines:

👉 If you had bet $100 on Alajuelense in each of its last 5 matches as home, you would have had a loss of $-30.0.
👉 If you had bet $100 on Cartagines in each of its last 5 matches as away, you would have had a loss of $-500.
👉 In the last 3 matches as the away team, Cartagines scored at least 1 goal(s).
👉 In the last 5 matches as the away team, Cartagines conceded at least 1 goal(s).

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Summary

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Analysis from Alajuelense x Cartagines for the Costa Rica Primera Division – 3 of February

🏟️ Alajuelense X Cartagines – Costa Rica Primera Division
📅 3 of February, 2025 – 01:00
🔵 Alajuelense – Winning probability: 77.29% | Fair line: 1.29
Tied game – Probability of tied match: 15.30% | Fair line: 6.53
🔴 Cartagines – Winning probability: 7.41% | Fair line: 13.5
⚖ Handicap 1×2: -1.25 Alajuelense
⚽ Expected goals: 3.25 goals
⛳ Expected corner kicks: 9.50 corner kicks

A good bettor is not the one with a high hits percentage, but the one who bets on positive expected value events. Our AI model knows it very well and has looked for these opportunities for the match between Alajuelense and Cartagines.

And to do so, the algorithm analysed more than 1255527 matches on our football database looking for patterns to find the probabilities of the match ending with a victory for the home team, a tie or even a victory for the away team. Getting down to these values:

Tips for the Match Odds market for Alajuelense x Cartagines

Is it worth betting on Alajuelense?

🔵 Alajuelense: our artificial intelligence has calculated that the probability of this event happening is around 77.29%, meanwhile the bookies are offering avarage odds of 1.50. That is, when you make 1000 bets of $1 like this one, you:

  • Would have hit 770 times – having a profit of $385.00;
  • And would have lost other 230 times – with a loss of -$230.00 because of them.

That is why this is a value bet. In the end, you would have had a final profit of 💰$155.00.

Is it worth betting on draw?

draw: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 15.3% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 3.90. In other words, this means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

  • Would hit 150 times – profiting $435.00;
  • And would lose other 850 times – having a loss of -$850.00 with them.

That is why this bet does not have value. In the end, you would have had a final loss of 💰-$415.00.

Is it a good idea to bet on Cartagines?

🔴 Cartagines: the algorithm believes the chances of this event happening are 7.41% and we have noticed that the avarage odds offered by the bookmakers are 5.40. In other words, this means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

  • Would have hit 70 times – having a profit of $308.00;
  • And would have lost other 930 times – with a loss of -$930.00 because of them.

That is why this bet does not have value. In the end, you would have had a final loss of 💰-$622.00.

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Handicaps analysis for the match Alajuelense x Cartagines

The handicap market is also very searched for by bettors in professional bookmakers and our model can help you with that. In case you do not know what handicaps are, we will solve this problem now: we sorted out the material about Asian handicap on betting so you can click and save it to learn about it on the first opportunity.

Take a look at what our artificial intelligence has set apart for these markets:

⚖ Handicap 1×2: -1.25 Alajuelense
⚽ Expected goals: 3.25 goals

Tips for the Handicap 1×2 market for Alajuelense x Cartagines

⚖ Handicap 1×2: considering the estimates of our model, the main handicap should be -1.25 Alajuelense, and the current handicap offered by bookies is -1.0 Alajuelense.

Since the difference between the handicap we calculated and the offered by the bookie is -0.25, this means that the best bet for the Handicap 1×2 is on: -1.0 Alajuelense.

Tips for the Goals Handicap market for Alajuelense x Cartagines

⚽ Goals Handicap: our model believes that the ideal handicap is 3.25 goals and the available handicap to bet at the moment is 2.50 goals.

We can notice that the difference between the handicap predicted by the model and the one available to bet at the bookmaker is 0.75. Therefore, the recommended bet for the Goals Handicap is on: + 2.50 goals.

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Written by

Autor
Humberto Alves

Hi there! You can call me Beto! I'm 32 years old, graduated in Business Management and now I'm doing my second degree in Statistics and Data Science, which is really helpful to bring the Machine Learning models applied in sports betting that you see here. Even though I'm in this betting world since 2010, there's still a lot to be learned.

> Check other content created by Humberto Alves
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