Alajuelense x Unam Pumas Betting tips for March 14 in CONCACAF Champions Cup
| 📅 14/3/2025 02:00 |
 Alajuelense3.05 |
X 3.25 |
Unam Pumas  2.19 |
This is the bet from our artificial intelligence for Alajuelense x Unam Pumas:
🔮 Unam Pumas wins the match
💰 When you bet the bonus of $500 from Bet365 on Unam Pumas, you can win up to $1095.00!
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Some important points for the tip for Alajuelense x Unam Pumas: 👉 If you had bet $100 on Alajuelense in each of its last 5 matches as home, you would have had a loss of $-233.0. |
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Analysis from Alajuelense x Unam Pumas for the CONCACAF Champions Cup – 14 of March
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🏟️ Alajuelense X Unam Pumas – CONCACAF Champions Cup |
A good bettor is not the one with a high hits percentage, but the one who bets on positive expected value events. Our AI model knows it very well and has looked for these opportunities for the match between Alajuelense and Unam Pumas.
To achieve that, the algorithm analyses more than 1280916 matches from our database seeking for patterns to get to the winning probabilities for the home team, a tie or a victory for the away team. That was the conclusion from our artificial intelligence:
Tips for the 1×2 market for Alajuelense x Unam Pumas
Should you bet on Alajuelense?
🔵 Alajuelense: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 28.35% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 3.05. That is, when you make 1000 bets of $1 like this one, you:
- Would have hit 280 times – having a profit of $574.00;
- And would lose other 720 times – losing -$720.00 with them.
That is why this bet does not have value. In the end, you would have had a final loss of 💰-$146.00.
Is it worth betting on draw?
⚪ draw: the algorithm believes the chances of this event happening are 17.42% and we have noticed that the avarage odds offered by the bookmakers are 3.25. In other words, this means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:
- Would have hit 170 times – having a profit of $382.50;
- And would lose other 830 times – losing -$830.00 with them.
Mathematically speaking, it is a negative expected value bet, because you would have an expected final loss of 💰-$447.50.
Is it worth betting on Unam Pumas?
🔴 Unam Pumas: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 54.22% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 2.19. That is, when you make 1000 bets of $1 like this one, you:
- Would hit 540 times – profiting $642.60;
- And would lose other 460 times – losing -$460.00 with them.
That is why this is a value bet. In the end, you would have had a final profit of 💰$182.60.
Handicaps analysis for the match Alajuelense x Unam Pumas
Another approach is trying to find the fair handicap for the main markets and our machine learning model will also give you a helping hand with that. Maybe you do not even know what this is. If handicap is a 7-headed monster for you, all you have to do is click on our article about Asian handicap on football betting and you will find a complete material to quickly teach you how it works. Click on it and leave it open on another tab to read later..
This is what our nice robot has to tell us about these markets:
⚖ Handicap 1×2: +0.75 Alajuelense
⚽ Expected goals: 3.00 goals
Tips for the Handicap 1×2 market for Alajuelense x Unam Pumas
⚖ Handicap 1×2: considering the estimates of our model, the main handicap should be +0.75 Alajuelense, and the current handicap offered by bookies is +0.25 Alajuelense.
Since the difference between the handicap we calculated and the offered by the bookie is 0.50, this means that the best bet for the Handicap 1×2 is on: -0.25 Unam Pumas.
Tips for the Goals Handicap market for Alajuelense x Unam Pumas
⚽ Goals Handicap: our model believes that the ideal handicap is 3.00 goals and the available handicap to bet at the moment is 2.25 goals.
We can notice that the difference between the handicap predicted by the model and the one available to bet at the bookmaker is 0.75. Therefore, the recommended bet for the Goals Handicap is on: + 2.25 goals.
