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Home » Predictions » Others » Alania Vladikavkaz II x Spartak Nalchik Betting tips for September 29 in Russia Division 2
Sunday, 29 September 2024, 09h00 Russia Division 2
Alania Vladikavkaz II Alania Vladikavkaz II
PREDICTION Spartak Nalchik Wins Probability 62% 1 X 2
Spartak Nalchik Spartak Nalchik
ODD: @1.78 Don't miss this prediction!

Alania Vladikavkaz II x Spartak Nalchik Betting tips for September 29 in Russia Division 2

Our betting tip for Alania Vladikavkaz II x Spartak Nalchik, Sunday, 29/9/2024
📅 29/9/2024
09:00
Alania Vladikavkaz II Alania Vladikavkaz II
3.76
X
3.55
Spartak Nalchik Spartak Nalchik
1.78

Our algorithm has selected this tip for Alania Vladikavkaz II x Spartak Nalchik:

🔮 Spartak Nalchik wins the match
💰 When you bet the bonus of $500 from Bet365 on Spartak Nalchik, you can win up to $890.00!

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The main points for the tip for Alania Vladikavkaz II x Spartak Nalchik:

👉 If you had bet $100 on Spartak Nalchik in each of its last 5 matches as away, you would have had a loss of $-500.
👉 In the last 4 head-to-head matches between Alania Vladikavkaz II x Spartak Nalchik, with Alania Vladikavkaz II as the home team, they finished over 2.5 goals.
👉 In the last 5 matches as the home team, Alania Vladikavkaz II conceded at least 1 goal(s).
👉 In the last 7 matches as the away team, Spartak Nalchik conceded at least 1 goal(s).
👉 It is not a good time for Spartak Nalchik as away team: it comes from 7 losses in a row in its last away matches.

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Summary

Do you want more options of bookies to bet on Alania Vladikavkaz II x Spartak Nalchik?

If you want to take a look at more options of betting websites, we, from the Clube, have listed our favorites for you. Right below you can check the best kenyan betting sites from 2024, carefully analysed by us. Pick yours and start betting now on Alania Vladikavkaz II x Spartak Nalchik:

Analysis from Alania Vladikavkaz II x Spartak Nalchik for the Russia Division 2 – 29 of September

🏟️ Alania Vladikavkaz II X Spartak Nalchik – Russia Division 2
📅 29 of September, 2024 – 09:00
🔵 Alania Vladikavkaz II – Winning probability: 13.15% | Fair line: 7.6
Tied game – Probability of tied match: 24.01% | Fair line: 4.16
🔴 Spartak Nalchik – Winning probability: 62.84% | Fair line: 1.59
⚖ Handicap 1×2: +1.25 Alania Vladikavkaz II
⚽ Expected goals: 2.50 goals
⛳ Expected corner kicks: 10.00 corner kicks

When the best bet on Alania Vladikavkaz II x Spartak Nalchik is analysed, notice that our AI model is not interested in getting the right result, but instead in looking for situations where the bookies offer us a positive expected value.

And to do so, the algorithm analysed more than 1190630 matches on our football database looking for patterns to find the probabilities of the match ending with a victory for the home team, a tie or even a victory for the away team. Getting down to these values:

Tips for the Match Odds market for Alania Vladikavkaz II x Spartak Nalchik

Is it a good idea to bet on Alania Vladikavkaz II?

🔵 Alania Vladikavkaz II: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 13.15% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 3.76. That is, when you make 1000 bets of $1 like this one, you:

  • Would hit 130 times – profiting $358.80;
  • And would have lost other 870 times – with a loss of -$870.00 because of them.

Mathematically speaking, it is a negative expected value bet, because you would have an expected final loss of 💰-$511.20.

Should you bet on draw?

draw: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 24.01% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 3.55. That is, when you make 1000 bets of $1 like this one, you:

  • Would have hit 240 times – having a profit of $612.00;
  • And would lose other 760 times – having a loss of -$760.00 with them.

Mathematically speaking, it is a negative expected value bet, because you would have an expected final loss of 💰-$148.00.

Is it a good idea to bet on Spartak Nalchik?

🔴 Spartak Nalchik: our artificial intelligence has calculated that the probability of this event happening is around 62.84%, meanwhile the bookies are offering avarage odds of 1.78. In other words, this means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

  • Would have hit 630 times – having a profit of $491.40;
  • And would have lost other 370 times – with a loss of -$370.00 because of them.

That is why this is a value bet. In the end, you would have had a final profit of 💰$121.40.

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Handicaps analysis for the match Alania Vladikavkaz II x Spartak Nalchik

Maybe you prefer another approach: betting on Asian handicaps. We thought about it and our model also seeks to find the main handicaps of the most important markets. If you have no idea what a handicap is, do not worry! We have a complete article about the Asian handicap on sporting betting that will answer all your questions. You can click on it and leave it open on another tab so you can read later.

Moving ahead we can see what the model has in store for these markets here:

⚖ Handicap 1×2: +1.25 Alania Vladikavkaz II
⚽ Expected goals: 2.50 goals

Tips for the Handicap 1×2 market for Alania Vladikavkaz II x Spartak Nalchik

⚖ Handicap 1×2: considering the estimates of our model, the main handicap should be +1.25 Alania Vladikavkaz II, and the current handicap offered by bookies is +0.75 Alania Vladikavkaz II.

Since the difference between the handicap we calculated and the offered by the bookie is 0.50, this means that the best bet for the Handicap 1×2 is on: -0.75 Spartak Nalchik.

Tips for the Goals Handicap market for Alania Vladikavkaz II x Spartak Nalchik

⚽ Goals Handicap: considering the estimates of our model, the main handicap should be 2.50 goals, and the current handicap offered by bookies is 2.75 goals.

We can notice that the difference between the handicap predicted by the model and the one available to bet at the bookmaker is -0.25. Therefore, the recommended bet for the Goals Handicap is on: – 2.75 goals.

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Written by

Autor
Humberto Alves

Hi there! You can call me Beto! I'm 32 years old, graduated in Business Management and now I'm doing my second degree in Statistics and Data Science, which is really helpful to bring the Machine Learning models applied in sports betting that you see here. Even though I'm in this betting world since 2010, there's still a lot to be learned.

> Check other content created by Humberto Alves
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