Alaves B x Subiza Betting tips for December 1 in Spain Segunda Division RFEF Group 2

Our betting tip for Alaves B x Subiza, Sunday, 1/12/2024

📅 1/12/2024 11:00

Alaves B 1.43

X 3.80

Subiza 6.00

Our algorithm has selected this tip for Alaves B x Subiza:

🔮 Alaves B wins the match
💰 When you bet the bonus of $500 from Bet365 on Alaves B, you can win up to $715.00!

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Some important points for the tip for Alaves B x Subiza: 👉 If you had bet $100 on Alaves B in each of its last 5 matches as home, you would have had a loss of $-330.0. 👉 If you had bet $100 on Subiza in each of its last 5 matches as away, you would have had a loss of $-80.0. 👉 Subiza did not score any goals in the last 3 matches as away team. 👉 In the last 5 Subiza matches as the away team, it finished under 2.5 goals. 👉 In the last 3 matches as the away team, Subiza conceded at least 2 goal(s). 👉 It is not a good time for Subiza as away team: it comes from 3 losses in a row in its last away matches.

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Analysis from Alaves B x Subiza for the Spain Segunda Division RFEF Group 2 – 1 of December

When the best bet on Alaves B x Subiza is analysed, notice that our AI model is not interested in getting the right result, but instead in looking for situations where the bookies offer us a positive expected value.

And to do so, the algorithm analysed more than 1230121 matches on our football database looking for patterns to find the probabilities of the match ending with a victory for the home team, a tie or even a victory for the away team. Getting down to these values:

Tips for the Match Odds market for Alaves B x Subiza

Should you bet on Alaves B?

🔵 Alaves B: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 82.73% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 1.43. In other words, this means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

• Would hit 830 times – profiting $356.90;
• And would lose other 170 times – losing -$170.00 with them.

Mathematically speaking, this is a value bet because you would have an expected final profit of 💰$186.90.

Should you bet on draw?

⚪ draw: the algorithm believes the chances of this event happening are 11.84% and we have noticed that the avarage odds offered by the bookmakers are 3.80. This means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

• Would hit 120 times – this would give you a profit of $336.00
• And would lose other 880 times – having a loss of -$880.00 with them.

So this bet does not have value. After all, you would have an expected loss of 💰-$544.00.

Is it worth betting on Subiza?

🔴 Subiza: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 5.44% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 6.00. This means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

• Would hit 50 times – profiting $250.00;
• And would lose other 950 times – losing -$950.00 with them.

That is why this bet does not have value. In the end, you would have had a final loss of 💰-$700.00.

Handicaps analysis for the match Alaves B x Subiza

Another approach is trying to find the fair handicap for the main markets and our machine learning model will also give you a helping hand with that. Maybe you do not even know what this is. If handicap is a 7-headed monster for you, all you have to do is click on our article about Asian handicap on football betting and you will find a complete material to quickly teach you how it works. Click on it and leave it open on another tab to read later..

These are the handicaps that our algorithm analysed for you:

⚖ Handicap 1×2: -1.0 Alaves B
⚽ Expected goals: 2.75 goals

Tips for the Handicap 1×2 market for Alaves B x Subiza

⚖ Handicap 1×2: our model believes that the ideal handicap is -1.0 Alaves B and the available handicap to bet at the moment is -1.0 Alaves B.

Since the handicap offered by bookmakers is the same as the one we got with our model, there is not any value bets on the Handicap 1×2 market.

Tips for the Goals Handicap market for Alaves B x Subiza

⚽ Goals Handicap: considering the estimates of our model, the main handicap should be 2.75 goals, and the current handicap offered by bookies is 2.25 goals.

Since the difference between the handicap we calculated and the offered by the bookie is 0.50, this means that the best bet for the Goals Handicap is on: + 2.25 goals.