Alaves B x Teruel Betting tips for January 12 in Spain Segunda Division RFEF Group 2
| 📅 12/1/2025 11:00 |
 Alaves B2.15 |
X 3.00 |
Teruel  3.25 |
This is the bet made by our artificial intelligence for Alaves B x Teruel:
🔮 Tied Match
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Important information for your tip for Alaves B x Teruel: 👉 If you had bet $100 on Alaves B in each of its last 5 matches as home, you would have had a loss of $-182.0. |
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Analysis from Alaves B x Teruel for the Spain Segunda Division RFEF Group 2 – 12 of January
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🏟️ Alaves B X Teruel – Spain Segunda Division RFEF Group 2 |
Even though it may not seem intuitive, a good betting model should not seek to get the result for Alaves B x Teruel right, but instead show us in which events we have a positive expected value opportunity.
And to do so, the algorithm analysed more than 1244844 matches on our football database looking for patterns to find the probabilities of the match ending with a victory for the home team, a tie or even a victory for the away team. Getting down to these values:
Tips for the Match Odds market for Alaves B x Teruel
Is it a good idea to bet on Alaves B?
🔵 Alaves B: our artificial intelligence has calculated that the probability of this event happening is around 42.0%, meanwhile the bookies are offering avarage odds of 2.15. In other words, this means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:
- Would hit 420 times – profiting $483.00;
- And would lose other 580 times – having a loss of -$580.00 with them.
We are talking about a bet without profit, because after all you would have an expected final loss of 💰-$97.00.
Should you bet on draw?
⚪ draw: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 37.1% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 3.00. That is, when you make 1000 bets of $1 like this one, you:
- Would have hit 370 times – having a profit of $740.00;
- And would have lost other 630 times – with a loss of -$630.00 because of them.
It is a value bet, since after all you would have an expected final profit of 💰$110.00.
Is it worth betting on Teruel?
🔴 Teruel: the algorithm believes the chances of this event happening are 20.91% and we have noticed that the avarage odds offered by the bookmakers are 3.25. In other words, this means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:
- Would hit 210 times – profiting $472.50;
- And would lose other 790 times – having a loss of -$790.00 with them.
That is why this bet does not have value. In the end, you would have had a final loss of 💰-$317.50.
Handicaps analysis for the match Alaves B x Teruel
Another approach is trying to find the fair handicap for the main markets and our machine learning model will also give you a helping hand with that. Maybe you do not even know what this is. If handicap is a 7-headed monster for you, all you have to do is click on our article about Asian handicap on football betting and you will find a complete material to quickly teach you how it works. Click on it and leave it open on another tab to read later..
Moving ahead we can see what the model has in store for these markets here:
⚖ Handicap 1×2: -0.25 Alaves B
⚽ Expected goals: 2.00 goals
Tips for the Handicap 1×2 market for Alaves B x Teruel
⚖ Handicap 1×2: our model believes that the ideal handicap is -0.25 Alaves B and the available handicap to bet at the moment is -0.25 Alaves B.
Since the handicap offered by bookmakers is the same as the one we got with our model, there is not any value bets on the Handicap 1×2 market.
Tips for the Goals Handicap market for Alaves B x Teruel
⚽ Goals Handicap: our model believes that the ideal handicap is 2.00 goals and the available handicap to bet at the moment is 2.25 goals.
We can notice that the difference between the handicap predicted by the model and the one available to bet at the bookmaker is -0.25. Therefore, the recommended bet for the Goals Handicap is on: – 2.25 goals.
