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Home ยป Predictions ยป Others ยป Albion FC x Cerrito Betting tips for October 1 in Uruguay Segunda
Tuesday, 01 October 2024, 10h00 Uruguay Segunda
Albion FC Albion FC
PREDICTION Draw Match Probability 37% 1 X 2
Cerrito Cerrito
ODD: @2.95 Don't miss this prediction!

Albion FC x Cerrito Betting tips for October 1 in Uruguay Segunda

Our betting tip for Albion FC x Cerrito, Tuesday, 1/10/2024
๐Ÿ“… 1/10/2024
10:00
Albion FC Albion FC
2.00
X
2.95
Cerrito Cerrito
3.70

This is the bet made by our artificial intelligence for Albion FC x Cerrito:

๐Ÿ”ฎ Tied Match
๐Ÿ’ฐ When you bet the bonus of $500 from Bet365 on a tie, you can win up to $1475.00!

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Some important points for the tip for Albion FC x Cerrito:

๐Ÿ‘‰ If you had bet $100 on Albion FC in each of its last 5 matches as home, you would have had a profit of $180.0.
๐Ÿ‘‰ If you had bet $100 on Cerrito in each of its last 5 matches as away, you would have had a profit of $145.0.
๐Ÿ‘‰ In the last 7 matches as the home team, Albion FC scored at least 1 goal(s).
๐Ÿ‘‰ In the last 5 matches as the home team against Cerrito, Albion FC scored at least 1 goal(s).
๐Ÿ‘‰ Playing as the home team, Albion FC conceded at least 1 goal(s) in all the last 5 head-to-head against Cerrito.

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Summary

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Analysis from Albion FC x Cerrito for the Uruguay Segunda – 1 of October

๐ŸŸ๏ธ Albion FC X Cerrito – Uruguay Segunda
๐Ÿ“… 1 of October, 2024 – 10:00
๐Ÿ”ต Albion FC – Winning probability: 43.98% | Fair line: 2.27
โšช Tied game – Probability of tied match: 37.14% | Fair line: 2.69
๐Ÿ”ด Cerrito – Winning probability: 18.88% | Fair line: 5.3
โš– Handicap 1×2: -0.25 Albion FC
โšฝ Expected goals: 2.00 goals
โ›ณ Expected corner kicks: 9.75 corner kicks

A good bettor is not the one with a high hits percentage, but the one who bets on positive expected value events. Our AI model knows it very well and has looked for these opportunities for the match between Albion FC and Cerrito.

And to do so, the algorithm analysed more than 1192611 matches on our football database looking for patterns to find the probabilities of the match ending with a victory for the home team, a tie or even a victory for the away team. Getting down to these values:

Tips for the Match Odds market for Albion FC x Cerrito

Should you bet on Albion FC?

๐Ÿ”ต Albion FC: the algorithm believes the chances of this event happening are 43.98% and we have noticed that the avarage odds offered by the bookmakers are 2.00. That is, when you make 1000 bets of $1 like this one, you:

  • Would hit 440 times – profiting $440.00;
  • And would have lost other 560 times – with a loss of -$560.00 because of them.

That is why this bet does not have value. In the end, you would have had a final loss of ๐Ÿ’ฐ-$120.00.

Is it a good idea to bet on draw?

โšช draw: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 37.14% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 2.95. In other words, this means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

  • Would have hit 370 times – having a profit of $721.50;
  • And would lose other 630 times – losing -$630.00 with them.

That is why this is a value bet. In the end, you would have had a final profit of ๐Ÿ’ฐ$91.50.

Is betting on Cerrito worth it?

๐Ÿ”ด Cerrito: the algorithm believes the chances of this event happening are 18.88% and we have noticed that the avarage odds offered by the bookmakers are 3.70. In other words, this means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

  • Would hit 190 times – profiting $513.00;
  • And would lose other 810 times – losing -$810.00 with them.

We are talking about a bet without profit, because after all you would have an expected final loss of ๐Ÿ’ฐ-$297.00.

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Handicaps analysis for the match Albion FC x Cerrito

The handicap market is also very searched for by bettors in professional bookmakers and our model can help you with that. If you have no idea what a handicap is, do not worry! We have a complete article about the Asian handicap on sporting betting that will answer all your questions. You can click on it and leave it open on another tab so you can read later.

These are the handicaps that our algorithm analysed for you:

โš– Handicap 1×2: -0.25 Albion FC
โšฝ Expected goals: 2.00 goals

Tips for the Handicap 1×2 market for Albion FC x Cerrito

โš– Handicap 1×2: our model believes that the ideal handicap is -0.25 Albion FC and the available handicap to bet at the moment is -0.5 Albion FC.

Since the difference between the handicap we calculated and the offered by the bookie is 0.25, this means that the best bet for the Handicap 1×2 is on: 0.5 Cerrito.

Tips for the Goals Handicap market for Albion FC x Cerrito

โšฝ Goals Handicap: considering the estimates of our model, the main handicap should be 2.00 goals, and the current handicap offered by bookies is 2.00 goals.

The handicap that our algorithm found is the same as the bookies, which means that there is not any value to bet on the Goals Handicap market.

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Written by

Autor
Humberto Alves

Hi there! You can call me Beto! I'm 32 years old, graduated in Business Management and now I'm doing my second degree in Statistics and Data Science, which is really helpful to bring the Machine Learning models applied in sports betting that you see here. Even though I'm in this betting world since 2010, there's still a lot to be learned.

> Check other content created by Humberto Alves
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