Alcains x Arronches e Benfica Betting tips for February 2 in Portugal Campeonato Nacional

Our betting tip for Alcains x Arronches e Benfica, Sunday, 2/2/2025

📅 2/2/2025 15:00

Alcains 3.52

X 2.98

Arronches e Benfica 2.10

This is the bet from our artificial intelligence for Alcains x Arronches e Benfica:

👎 Unfortunately, we did not find any positive expected value bets for Alcains x Arronches e Benfica

The main points for the tip for Alcains x Arronches e Benfica: 👉 If you had bet $100 on Alcains in each of its last 5 matches as home, you would have had a loss of $-50.0. 👉 If you had bet $100 on Arronches e Benfica in each of its last 5 matches as away, you would have had a loss of $-500. 👉 Arronches e Benfica did not concede a goal in the last 4 matches as away team. 👉 Arronches e Benfica did not score any goals in the last 4 matches as away team. 👉 In the last 3 matches as the home team, Alcains scored at least 1 goal(s). 👉 In the last 4 Arronches e Benfica matches as the away team, it finished under 2.5 goals. 👉 In the last 4 road matches, Arronches e Benfica has not lost any of them.

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Analysis from Alcains x Arronches e Benfica for the Portugal Campeonato Nacional – 2 of February

Even though it may not seem intuitive, a good betting model should not seek to get the result for Alcains x Arronches e Benfica right, but instead show us in which events we have a positive expected value opportunity.

Therefore, to find the numbers, our artificial intelligence has colected information from around 1255121 matches on our betting database, in order to calculate the probabilities of this match ending with a home team victory, a tied match or even an away team victory. Check out the results:

Tips for the Match Odds market for Alcains x Arronches e Benfica

Is it a good idea to bet on Alcains?

🔵 Alcains: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 14.27% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 3.52. That is, when you make 1000 bets of $1 like this one, you:

• Would hit 140 times – profiting $352.80;
• And would lose other 860 times – losing -$860.00 with them.

So this bet does not have value. After all, you would have an expected loss of 💰-$507.20.

Is betting on draw worth it?

⚪ draw: our artificial intelligence has calculated that the probability of this event happening is around 34.31%, meanwhile the bookies are offering avarage odds of 2.98. That is, when you make 1000 bets of $1 like this one, you:

• Would have hit 340 times – having a profit of $673.20;
• And would lose other 660 times – having a loss of -$660.00 with them.

Although this bet has some value, notice that the expected profit is just 💰$13.20, which is not worth the risk in our point of view.

Is it a good idea to bet on Arronches e Benfica?

🔴 Arronches e Benfica: the algorithm believes the chances of this event happening are 51.42% and we have noticed that the avarage odds offered by the bookmakers are 2.10. This means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

• Would hit 510 times – this would give you a profit of $561.00
• And would lose other 490 times – losing -$490.00 with them.

It is a low stake bet, since after all you would have an final expected profit of just 💰$71.00. Which is not even that worthy considering the risk!

Handicaps analysis for the match Alcains x Arronches e Benfica

The handicap market is also very searched for by bettors in professional bookmakers and our model can help you with that. Maybe you do not even know what this is. If handicap is a 7-headed monster for you, all you have to do is click on our article about Asian handicap on football betting and you will find a complete material to quickly teach you how it works. Click on it and leave it open on another tab to read later..

Take a look at what our artificial intelligence has set apart for these markets:

⚖ Handicap 1×2: 0.0 Alcains
⚽ Expected goals: 2.50 goals

Tips for the Handicap 1×2 market for Alcains x Arronches e Benfica

⚖ Handicap 1×2: considering the estimates of our model, the main handicap should be 0.0 Alcains, and the current handicap offered by bookies is +0.25 Alcains.

Since the difference between the handicap we calculated and the offered by the bookie is -0.25, this means that the best bet for the Handicap 1×2 is on: +0.25 Alcains.

Tips for the Goals Handicap market for Alcains x Arronches e Benfica

⚽ Goals Handicap: our model believes that the ideal handicap is 2.50 goals and the available handicap to bet at the moment is 2.00 goals.

We can notice that the difference between the handicap predicted by the model and the one available to bet at the bookmaker is 0.50. Therefore, the recommended bet for the Goals Handicap is on: + 2.00 goals.