Alcorcon B x Collado Villalba Betting tips for November 1 in Spain Tercera Group 7
📅 1/11/2024 11:00 |
Alcorcon B 2.50 |
X 3.00 |
Collado Villalba 2.60 |
This is the bet made by our artificial intelligence for Alcorcon B x Collado Villalba:
🔮 Tied Match
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Important information for your tip for Alcorcon B x Collado Villalba: 👉 If you had bet $100 on Alcorcon B in each of its last 5 matches as home, you would have had a loss of $-500. |
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Analysis from Alcorcon B x Collado Villalba for the Spain Tercera Group 7 – 1 of November
🏟️ Alcorcon B X Collado Villalba – Spain Tercera Group 7 |
A good bettor is not the one with a high hits percentage, but the one who bets on positive expected value events. Our AI model knows it very well and has looked for these opportunities for the match between Alcorcon B and Collado Villalba.
And to do so, the algorithm analysed more than 1213551 matches on our football database looking for patterns to find the probabilities of the match ending with a victory for the home team, a tie or even a victory for the away team. Getting down to these values:
Tips for the 1×2 market for Alcorcon B x Collado Villalba
Is betting on Alcorcon B worth it?
🔵 Alcorcon B: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 38.07% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 2.50. That is, when you make 1000 bets of $1 like this one, you:
- Would hit 380 times – this would give you a profit of $570.00
- And would have lost other 620 times – with a loss of -$620.00 because of them.
That is why this bet does not have value. In the end, you would have had a final loss of 💰-$50.00.
Is betting on draw worth it?
⚪ draw: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 36.41% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 3.00. This means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:
- Would have hit 360 times – having a profit of $720.00;
- And would lose other 640 times – having a loss of -$640.00 with them.
Mathematically speaking, this is a value bet because you would have an expected final profit of 💰$80.00.
Should you bet on Collado Villalba?
🔴 Collado Villalba: our artificial intelligence has calculated that the probability of this event happening is around 25.51%, meanwhile the bookies are offering avarage odds of 2.60. This means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:
- Would have hit 260 times – having a profit of $416.00;
- And would lose other 740 times – losing -$740.00 with them.
That is why this bet does not have value. In the end, you would have had a final loss of 💰-$324.00.
Handicaps analysis for the match Alcorcon B x Collado Villalba
Another important market to analyse is the Asian handicaps one, our algorithm is also going to help you with that. Maybe you do not even know what this is. If handicap is a 7-headed monster for you, all you have to do is click on our article about Asian handicap on football betting and you will find a complete material to quickly teach you how it works. Click on it and leave it open on another tab to read later..
These are the handicaps that our algorithm analysed for you:
⚖ Handicap 1×2: -0.25 Alcorcon B
⚽ Expected goals: 2.50 goals
Tips for the Handicap 1×2 market for Alcorcon B x Collado Villalba
⚖ Handicap 1×2: our model believes that the ideal handicap is -0.25 Alcorcon B and the available handicap to bet at the moment is 0.0 Alcorcon B.
We can notice that the difference between the handicap predicted by the model and the one available to bet at the bookmaker is -0.25. Therefore, the recommended bet for the Handicap 1×2 is on: 0.0 Alcorcon B.
Tips for the Goals Handicap market for Alcorcon B x Collado Villalba
⚽ Goals Handicap: considering the estimates of our model, the main handicap should be 2.50 goals, and the current handicap offered by bookies is 2.25 goals.
We can notice that the difference between the handicap predicted by the model and the one available to bet at the bookmaker is 0.25. Therefore, the recommended bet for the Goals Handicap is on: + 2.25 goals.