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Home » Predictions » Others » Alcorcon B x Leganes B Betting tips for November 30 in Spain Tercera Group 7
Saturday, 30 November 2024, 15h00 Spain Tercera Group 7
Alcorcon B Alcorcon B
PREDICTION No tip
Leganes B Leganes B
Don't miss this prediction!

Alcorcon B x Leganes B Betting tips for November 30 in Spain Tercera Group 7

Our betting tip for Alcorcon B x Leganes B, Saturday, 30/11/2024
📅 30/11/2024
15:00
Alcorcon B Alcorcon B
2.04
X
3.18
Leganes B Leganes B
3.38

Our algorithm has selected this tip for Alcorcon B x Leganes B:

👎 Unfortunately, we do not have any positive expected value tips for Alcorcon B x Leganes B

The main points for the tip for Alcorcon B x Leganes B:

👉 If you had bet $100 on Alcorcon B in each of its last 5 matches as home, you would have had a loss of $-309.0.
👉 In the last 4 matches as the home team, Alcorcon B scored at least 1 goal(s).
👉 In the last 3 matches as the away team, Leganes B conceded at least 1 goal(s).

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Summary

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Analysis from Alcorcon B x Leganes B for the Spain Tercera Group 7 – 30 of November

🏟️ Alcorcon B X Leganes B – Spain Tercera Group 7
📅 30 of November, 2024 – 15:00
🔵 Alcorcon B – Winning probability: 47.63% | Fair line: 2.1
Tied game – Probability of tied match: 30.24% | Fair line: 3.31
🔴 Leganes B – Winning probability: 22.13% | Fair line: 4.52
⚖ Handicap 1×2: -0.75 Alcorcon B
⚽ Expected goals: 3.00 goals
⛳ Expected corner kicks: 9.75 corner kicks

When the best bet on Alcorcon B x Leganes B is analysed, notice that our AI model is not interested in getting the right result, but instead in looking for situations where the bookies offer us a positive expected value.

To achieve that, the algorithm analyses more than 1229690 matches from our database seeking for patterns to get to the winning probabilities for the home team, a tie or a victory for the away team. That was the conclusion from our artificial intelligence:

Tips for the 1×2 market for Alcorcon B x Leganes B

Is it worth betting on Alcorcon B?

🔵 Alcorcon B: our artificial intelligence has calculated that the probability of this event happening is around 47.63%, meanwhile the bookies are offering avarage odds of 2.04. This means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

  • Would hit 480 times – profiting $499.20;
  • And would lose other 520 times – losing -$520.00 with them.

That is why this bet does not have value. In the end, you would have had a final loss of 💰-$20.80.

Is it worth betting on draw?

draw: the algorithm believes the chances of this event happening are 30.24% and we have noticed that the avarage odds offered by the bookmakers are 3.18. This means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

  • Would hit 300 times – profiting $654.00;
  • And would lose other 700 times – losing -$700.00 with them.

That is why this bet does not have value. In the end, you would have had a final loss of 💰-$46.00.

Should you bet on Leganes B?

🔴 Leganes B: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 22.13% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 3.38. In other words, this means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

  • Would hit 220 times – this would give you a profit of $523.60
  • And would lose other 780 times – losing -$780.00 with them.

We are talking about a bet without profit, because after all you would have an expected final loss of 💰-$256.40.

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Handicaps analysis for the match Alcorcon B x Leganes B

Another important market to analyse is the Asian handicaps one, our algorithm is also going to help you with that. If you have no idea what a handicap is, do not worry! We have a complete article about the Asian handicap on sporting betting that will answer all your questions. You can click on it and leave it open on another tab so you can read later.

Moving ahead we can see what the model has in store for these markets here:

⚖ Handicap 1×2: -0.75 Alcorcon B
⚽ Expected goals: 3.00 goals

Tips for the Handicap 1×2 market for Alcorcon B x Leganes B

⚖ Handicap 1×2: considering the estimates of our model, the main handicap should be -0.75 Alcorcon B, and the current handicap offered by bookies is -0.25 Alcorcon B.

Since the difference between the handicap we calculated and the offered by the bookie is -0.50, this means that the best bet for the Handicap 1×2 is on: -0.25 Alcorcon B.

Tips for the Goals Handicap market for Alcorcon B x Leganes B

⚽ Goals Handicap: considering the estimates of our model, the main handicap should be 3.00 goals, and the current handicap offered by bookies is 2.50 goals.

Since the difference between the handicap we calculated and the offered by the bookie is 0.50, this means that the best bet for the Goals Handicap is on: + 2.50 goals.

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Written by

Autor
Humberto Alves

Hi there! You can call me Beto! I'm 32 years old, graduated in Business Management and now I'm doing my second degree in Statistics and Data Science, which is really helpful to bring the Machine Learning models applied in sports betting that you see here. Even though I'm in this betting world since 2010, there's still a lot to be learned.

> Check other content created by Humberto Alves
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