Alcorcon x CF Intercity Betting tips for March 9 in Spain Primera Division RFEF Group 2

Our betting tip for Alcorcon x CF Intercity, Sunday, 9/3/2025

📅 9/3/2025 18:00

Alcorcon 2.20

X 3.00

CF Intercity 3.20

This is the bet made by our artificial intelligence for Alcorcon x CF Intercity:

👎 Unfortunately, we did not find any positive expected value bets for Alcorcon x CF Intercity

The main points for the tip for Alcorcon x CF Intercity: 👉 If you had bet $100 on Alcorcon in each of its last 5 matches as home, you would have had a loss of $-35.0. 👉 If you had bet $100 on CF Intercity in each of its last 5 matches as away, you would have had a loss of $-190.0. 👉 Alcorcon did not concede a goal in the last 3 matches as home team. 👉 In the last 3 Alcorcon matches as the home team, it finished under 2.5 goals. 👉 In the last 6 matches as the away team, CF Intercity conceded at least 1 goal(s).

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Analysis from Alcorcon x CF Intercity for the Spain Primera Division RFEF Group 2 – 9 of March

Even though it may not seem intuitive, a good betting model should not seek to get the result for Alcorcon x CF Intercity right, but instead show us in which events we have a positive expected value opportunity.

And to do so, the algorithm analysed more than 1277138 matches on our football database looking for patterns to find the probabilities of the match ending with a victory for the home team, a tie or even a victory for the away team. Getting down to these values:

Tips for the 1×2 market for Alcorcon x CF Intercity

Is it worth betting on Alcorcon?

🔵 Alcorcon: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 45.92% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 2.20. That is, when you make 1000 bets of $1 like this one, you:

• Would hit 460 times – this would give you a profit of $552.00
• And would have lost other 540 times – with a loss of -$540.00 because of them.

So this bet does not have value. After all, you would have an expected loss of 💰-$12.00.

Is it a good idea to bet on draw?

⚪ draw: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 33.64% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 3.00. That is, when you make 1000 bets of $1 like this one, you:

• Would have hit 340 times – having a profit of $680.00;
• And would have lost other 660 times – with a loss of -$660.00 because of them.

Even if it is a positive expected value bet, the expected profit is just 💰$20.00 which is not worth the risk in our opinion.

Is it a good idea to bet on CF Intercity?

🔴 CF Intercity: our artificial intelligence has calculated that the probability of this event happening is around 20.44%, meanwhile the bookies are offering avarage odds of 3.20. In other words, this means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

• Would hit 200 times – profiting $440.00;
• And would lose other 800 times – having a loss of -$800.00 with them.

Mathematically speaking, it is a negative expected value bet, because you would have an expected final loss of 💰-$360.00.

Handicaps analysis for the match Alcorcon x CF Intercity

Another approach is trying to find the fair handicap for the main markets and our machine learning model will also give you a helping hand with that. In case you do not know what handicaps are, we will solve this problem now: we sorted out the material about Asian handicap on betting so you can click and save it to learn about it on the first opportunity.

Take a look at what our artificial intelligence has set apart for these markets:

⚖ Handicap 1×2: -0.25 Alcorcon
⚽ Expected goals: 2.25 goals

Tips for the Handicap 1×2 market for Alcorcon x CF Intercity

⚖ Handicap 1×2: considering the estimates of our model, the main handicap should be -0.25 Alcorcon, and the current handicap offered by bookies is -0.25 Alcorcon.

Since the handicap offered by bookmakers is the same as the one we got with our model, there is not any value bets on the Handicap 1×2 market.

Tips for the Goals Handicap market for Alcorcon x CF Intercity

⚽ Goals Handicap: considering the estimates of our model, the main handicap should be 2.25 goals, and the current handicap offered by bookies is 2.25 goals.

Since there is not big differences between the handicap offered by bookies and the one suggested by our algorithm, we can consider that there is no value to bet on the Goals Handicap market.