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Home » Predictions » Others » Alcorcon x Sevilla Atletico Betting tips for September 29 in Spain Primera Division RFEF Group 2
Sunday, 29 September 2024, 07h00 Spain Primera Division RFEF Group 2
Alcorcon Alcorcon
PREDICTION Alcorcon wins Probability 62% 1 X 2
Sevilla Atletico Sevilla Atletico
ODD: @1.83 Don't miss this prediction!

Alcorcon x Sevilla Atletico Betting tips for September 29 in Spain Primera Division RFEF Group 2

Our betting tip for Alcorcon x Sevilla Atletico, Sunday, 29/9/2024
📅 29/9/2024
07:00
Alcorcon Alcorcon
1.83
X
3.20
Sevilla Atletico Sevilla Atletico
4.08

Our algorithm has selected this tip for Alcorcon x Sevilla Atletico:

🔮 Alcorcon wins the match
💰 When you bet the bonus of $500 from Bet365 on Alcorcon, you can win up to $915.00!

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The main points for the tip for Alcorcon x Sevilla Atletico:

👉 If you had bet $100 on Alcorcon in each of its last 5 matches as home, you would have had a loss of $-53.0.
👉 If you had bet $100 on Sevilla Atletico in each of its last 5 matches as away, you would have had a loss of $-327.0.
👉 In the last 4 matches as the away team, Sevilla Atletico scored at least 1 goal(s).
👉 In the last 3 matches as the away team, Sevilla Atletico conceded at least 1 goal(s).

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Summary

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Analysis from Alcorcon x Sevilla Atletico for the Spain Primera Division RFEF Group 2 – 29 of September

🏟️ Alcorcon X Sevilla Atletico – Spain Primera Division RFEF Group 2
📅 29 of September, 2024 – 07:00
🔵 Alcorcon – Winning probability: 62.37% | Fair line: 1.6
Tied game – Probability of tied match: 24.14% | Fair line: 4.14
🔴 Sevilla Atletico – Winning probability: 13.50% | Fair line: 7.41
⚖ Handicap 1×2: -0.5 Alcorcon
⚽ Expected goals: 2.75 goals
⛳ Expected corner kicks: 9.00 corner kicks

A good bettor is not the one with a high hits percentage, but the one who bets on positive expected value events. Our AI model knows it very well and has looked for these opportunities for the match between Alcorcon and Sevilla Atletico.

And to do so, the algorithm analysed more than 1190630 matches on our football database looking for patterns to find the probabilities of the match ending with a victory for the home team, a tie or even a victory for the away team. Getting down to these values:

Tips for the Match Odds market for Alcorcon x Sevilla Atletico

Is betting on Alcorcon worth it?

🔵 Alcorcon: the algorithm believes the chances of this event happening are 62.37% and we have noticed that the avarage odds offered by the bookmakers are 1.83. That is, when you make 1000 bets of $1 like this one, you:

  • Would hit 620 times – profiting $514.60;
  • And would lose other 380 times – having a loss of -$380.00 with them.

So this is a value bet. After all, at the end of these bets, you would have an expected profit of 💰$134.60.

Is it worth betting on draw?

draw: our artificial intelligence has calculated that the probability of this event happening is around 24.14%, meanwhile the bookies are offering avarage odds of 3.20. In other words, this means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

  • Would hit 240 times – profiting $528.00;
  • And would lose other 760 times – losing -$760.00 with them.

We are talking about a bet without profit, because after all you would have an expected final loss of 💰-$232.00.

Is it a good idea to bet on Sevilla Atletico?

🔴 Sevilla Atletico: our artificial intelligence has calculated that the probability of this event happening is around 13.5%, meanwhile the bookies are offering avarage odds of 4.08. In other words, this means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

  • Would hit 130 times – profiting $400.40;
  • And would have lost other 870 times – with a loss of -$870.00 because of them.

So this bet does not have value. After all, you would have an expected loss of 💰-$469.60.

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Handicaps analysis for the match Alcorcon x Sevilla Atletico

The handicap market is also very searched for by bettors in professional bookmakers and our model can help you with that. In case you do not know what handicaps are, we will solve this problem now: we sorted out the material about Asian handicap on betting so you can click and save it to learn about it on the first opportunity.

Take a look at what our artificial intelligence has set apart for these markets:

⚖ Handicap 1×2: -0.5 Alcorcon
⚽ Expected goals: 2.75 goals

Tips for the Handicap 1×2 market for Alcorcon x Sevilla Atletico

⚖ Handicap 1×2: our model believes that the ideal handicap is -0.5 Alcorcon and the available handicap to bet at the moment is -0.5 Alcorcon. As the handicap available on the market is the same as that indicated by our robot, we will do nothing since there is not value bets on the Handicap 1×2 market.

Tips for the Goals Handicap market for Alcorcon x Sevilla Atletico

⚽ Goals Handicap: considering the estimates of our model, the main handicap should be 2.75 goals, and the current handicap offered by bookies is 2.00 goals.

Since the difference between the handicap we calculated and the offered by the bookie is 0.75, this means that the best bet for the Goals Handicap is on: + 2.00 goals.

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Written by

Autor
Humberto Alves

Hi there! You can call me Beto! I'm 32 years old, graduated in Business Management and now I'm doing my second degree in Statistics and Data Science, which is really helpful to bring the Machine Learning models applied in sports betting that you see here. Even though I'm in this betting world since 2010, there's still a lot to be learned.

> Check other content created by Humberto Alves
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