Alcoyano x Hercules Betting tips for March 9 in Spain Primera Division RFEF Group 2

Our betting tip for Alcoyano x Hercules, Sunday, 9/3/2025

📅 9/3/2025 16:30

Alcoyano 2.45

X 2.80

Hercules 3.02

This is the tip that our machine learning model has selected for Alcoyano x Hercules:

🔮 Tied Match
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The main points for the tip for Alcoyano x Hercules: 👉 If you had bet $100 on Alcoyano in each of its last 5 matches as home, you would have had a loss of $-275.0. 👉 If you had bet $100 on Hercules in each of its last 5 matches as away, you would have had a loss of $-200.0. 👉 Alcoyano did not concede a goal in the last 4 matches as home team. 👉 In the last 8 Alcoyano matches as the home team, it finished under 2.5 goals. 👉 In the last 5 head-to-head matches between Alcoyano x Hercules, with Alcoyano as the home team, they finished under 2.5 goals. 👉 In the last 7 matches as the away team, Hercules conceded at least 1 goal(s).

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Analysis from Alcoyano x Hercules for the Spain Primera Division RFEF Group 2 – 9 of March

When the best bet on Alcoyano x Hercules is analysed, notice that our AI model is not interested in getting the right result, but instead in looking for situations where the bookies offer us a positive expected value.

To achieve that, the algorithm analyses more than 1277138 matches from our database seeking for patterns to get to the winning probabilities for the home team, a tie or a victory for the away team. That was the conclusion from our artificial intelligence:

Tips for the 1×2 market for Alcoyano x Hercules

Is betting on Alcoyano worth it?

🔵 Alcoyano: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 42.91% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 2.45. This means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

• Would hit 430 times – profiting $623.50;
• And would lose other 570 times – losing -$570.00 with them.

Mathematically speaking, it is a negative expected value bet, because you would have an expected final loss of 💰-$53.50.

Is it worth betting on draw?

⚪ draw: our artificial intelligence has calculated that the probability of this event happening is around 36.82%, meanwhile the bookies are offering avarage odds of 2.80. This means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

• Would hit 370 times – profiting $666.00;
• And would lose other 630 times – losing -$630.00 with them.

So this is a value bet. After all, at the end of these bets, you would have an expected profit of 💰$36.00.

Is it worth betting on Hercules?

🔴 Hercules: our artificial intelligence has calculated that the probability of this event happening is around 20.27%, meanwhile the bookies are offering avarage odds of 3.02. That is, when you make 1000 bets of $1 like this one, you:

• Would have hit 200 times – having a profit of $404.00;
• And would lose other 800 times – having a loss of -$800.00 with them.

So this bet does not have value. After all, you would have an expected loss of 💰-$396.00.

Handicaps analysis for the match Alcoyano x Hercules

Another important market to analyse is the Asian handicaps one, our algorithm is also going to help you with that. In case you do not know what handicaps are, we will solve this problem now: we sorted out the material about Asian handicap on betting so you can click and save it to learn about it on the first opportunity.

Moving ahead we can see what the model has in store for these markets here:

⚖ Handicap 1×2: 0.0 Alcoyano
⚽ Expected goals: 2.00 goals

Tips for the Handicap 1×2 market for Alcoyano x Hercules

⚖ Handicap 1×2: considering the estimates of our model, the main handicap should be 0.0 Alcoyano, and the current handicap offered by bookies is 0.0 Alcoyano.

Since the handicap offered by bookmakers is the same as the one we got with our model, there is not any value bets on the Handicap 1×2 market.

Tips for the Goals Handicap market for Alcoyano x Hercules

⚽ Goals Handicap: our model believes that the ideal handicap is 2.00 goals and the available handicap to bet at the moment is 2.00 goals.

Since the handicap offered by bookmakers is the same as the one we got with our model, there is not any value bets on the Goals Handicap market.